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Championship
Referee: L Smith
Blackburn
T T T S S
1–0
Full-time
Leeds
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Blackburn Leeds
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
1,7
2,7
Scored
0,7
2,0
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 16/17 matches
Win Ø 52%
44%
59%
Points per game
1,6
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
44%
41%
Both score Ø 34%
38%
29%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,1
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,17 xG 1,28
29% Possession 71%
11 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 9
3 Offside 4
9 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Blackburn 9. · Leeds 1.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Leeds 17 10 5 2 +19 +18.8 35
2 Sheffield United 16 10 4 2 +14 +7.5 34
3 Burnley 17 9 6 2 +15 +4.7 33
4 Sunderland 16 9 5 2 +14 +2.0 32
5 Middlesbrough 18 9 3 6 +11 +16.6 30
6 Watford 18 9 3 6 +2 -2.9 30
7 West Brom 17 6 9 2 +7 +5.1 27
8 Millwall 17 6 7 4 +5 +8.5 25
9 Blackburn 16 7 4 5 +3 -0.3 25
10 Norwich 17 5 7 5 +6 +3.8 22
11 Swansea 17 6 4 7 +1 -3.6 22
12 Bristol City 16 5 7 4 +0 +0.5 22
13 Sheffield Weds 17 6 4 7 -6 -0.4 22
14 Stoke 17 5 6 6 -1 -7.1 21
15 Derby 17 5 5 7 -1 +0.1 20
16 Oxford 18 4 6 8 -8 -11.2 18
17 Luton 17 5 3 9 -11 -1.5 18
18 Preston 17 3 8 6 -8 -3.6 17
19 Plymouth 17 4 5 8 -16 -19.3 17
20 Coventry 16 4 4 8 -3 +5.1 16
21 Cardiff 17 4 4 9 -11 -6.6 16
22 Hull 18 3 6 9 -9 -2.9 15
23 QPR 18 2 9 7 -11 -5.3 15
24 Portsmouth 15 2 6 7 -12 -7.9 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Blackburn Leeds
1–0 T. Cantwell
22′
23′
🟨 Jayden Bogle
Half-time 1–0
Lewis Travis 🟨
54′
Tyrhys Dolan 🟨
62′
M. Gueye 🔁
↦ Y. Ohashi
63′
69′
🔁 M. Solomon
↦ W. Gnonto
69′
🔁 P. Bamford
↦ J. Piroe
69′
🔁 L. Ramazani
↦ B. Aaronson
73′
🟨 Largie Ramazani
82′
🔁 Mateo Joseph
↦ J. Rothwell
R. Hedges 🔁
↦ T. Cantwell
91′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Blackburn

4-2-3-1
1 A. Pears G
2 C. Brittain D
5 D. Hyam D
15 D. Batth D
3 H. Pickering D
6 S. Tronstad M
27 L. Travis M
10 T. Dolan M
8 T. Cantwell M
24 O. Beck M
23 Y. Ohashi F
Bench (9)
9 M. Gueye
19 R. Hedges
13 J. Hilton
21 J. Buckley
33 A. Cozier-Duberry
42 L. Baker
11 J. Rankin-Costello
4 K. McFadzean
20 H. Leonard

Coach: J. Eustace

Leeds

4-2-3-1
1 I. Meslier G
2 J. Bogle D
6 J. Rodon D
5 P. Struijk D
3 J. Firpo D
22 A. Tanaka M
8 J. Rothwell M
7 D. James M
11 B. Aaronson M
29 W. Gnonto M
10 J. Piroe F
Bench (9)
14 M. Solomon
9 P. Bamford
17 L. Ramazani
19 Mateo Joseph
23 J. Guilavogui
50 C. Crew
37 J. Debayo
39 M. Wöber
26 K. Darlow

Coach: D. Farke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
4,26
U
3,64
B
1,83
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,97
U2,5 ✓
1,83
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Smith · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.