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Super League

Referee: S Horisberger

Basel

S T S S S

1–1

Full-time

Lausanne

S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel Lausanne

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 83%

83%

Points per game

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

100%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

83%

Average goals

4,8

1,8

Scored

3,7

1,7

Conceded

1,2

0,2

Goal diff per game

+2,5

+1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 54%

60%

47%

Points per game

1,9

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

67%

53%

Both score Ø 47%

53%

40%

Average goals

3,6

2,9

Scored

2,5

1,5

Conceded

1,1

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,82 xG 1,68

57% Possession 43%

11 Shots 16

2 Shots on target 7

5 Blocked shots 6

6 Goalkeeper saves 1

7 Corners 2

2 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Basel 1. · Lausanne 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Basel	15	9	1	5	+22	+11.3	28
2	Lugano	15	8	4	3	+9	+4.1	28
3	Zurich	15	7	5	3	+4	-2.8	26
4	Servette	15	7	4	4	+0	-1.5	25
5	Luzern	15	6	5	4	+4	+0.4	23
6	Lausanne	15	7	2	6	+3	+9.6	23
7	St. Gallen	15	5	6	4	+6	-2.0	21
8	Sion	15	4	5	6	-1	+7.5	17
9	Young Boys	15	4	5	6	-5	-1.5	17
10	Yverdon	15	4	4	7	-10	-9.8	16
11	Winterthur	15	3	3	9	-21	-14.4	12
12	Grasshoppers	15	2	4	9	-11	-0.9	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	8	6	1	1	+10	+5.5	19
2	Lausanne	8	6	0	2	+8	+8.6	18
3	Basel	7	5	0	2	+8	+9.2	15
4	Luzern	8	4	2	2	+5	+5.1	14
5	Servette	7	4	2	1	+1	+0.5	14
6	St. Gallen	8	3	4	1	+7	+0.4	13
7	Sion	8	3	4	1	+6	+9.9	13
8	Zurich	7	3	3	1	+3	-2.3	12
9	Young Boys	7	3	2	2	+1	-4.8	11
10	Yverdon	7	3	1	3	-4	-1.7	10
11	Winterthur	7	3	1	3	-6	-3.8	10
12	Grasshoppers	8	1	4	3	-3	+3.2	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zurich	8	4	2	2	+1	-0.4	14
2	Basel	8	4	1	3	+14	+2.2	13
3	Servette	8	3	2	3	-1	-2.0	11
4	Luzern	7	2	3	2	-1	-4.8	9
5	Lugano	7	2	3	2	-1	-1.4	9
6	St. Gallen	7	2	2	3	-1	-2.4	8
7	Young Boys	8	1	3	4	-6	+3.3	6
8	Yverdon	8	1	3	4	-6	-8.1	6
9	Lausanne	7	1	2	4	-5	+1.0	5
10	Sion	7	1	1	5	-7	-2.4	4
11	Grasshoppers	7	1	0	6	-8	-4.2	3
12	Winterthur	8	0	2	6	-15	-10.6	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.