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2. Bundesliga

Referee: N Winter

Elversberg

S T T S S

1–3

Full-time

Paderborn

S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elversberg Paderborn

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 46%

46%

Points per game

1,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

54%

69%

Both score Ø 62%

54%

69%

Average goals

2,9

Scored

1,8

1,7

Conceded

1,1

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

46% Possession 54%

6 Shots 17

2 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 6

2 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Elversberg 4. · Paderborn 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	13	6	6	1	+6	24
2	Kaiserslautern	14	6	5	3	+6	23
3	Karlsruhe	13	6	5	2	+4	23
4	Elversberg	13	6	4	3	+10	22
5	Hannover	13	7	1	5	+5	22
6	FC Koln	13	6	3	4	+5	21
7	Fortuna Dusseldorf	13	6	3	4	+3	21
8	Hertha	14	6	3	5	+2	21
9	Magdeburg	14	5	6	3	+2	21
10	Hamburg	13	5	5	3	+9	20
11	Darmstadt	13	5	4	4	+4	19
12	Nurnberg	13	5	3	5	+3	18
13	Schalke 04	14	3	4	7	-6	13
14	Greuther Furth	13	3	4	6	-6	13
15	Braunschweig	13	3	3	7	-11	12
16	Ulm	13	2	5	6	-3	11
17	Preußen Münster	13	2	5	6	-5	11
18	Regensburg	13	2	1	10	-28	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hannover	7	6	0	1	+8	18
2	Paderborn	6	4	2	0	+7	14
3	Hamburg	7	3	4	0	+10	13
4	Elversberg	6	4	1	1	+7	13
5	Karlsruhe	6	3	2	1	+2	11
6	FC Koln	7	3	1	3	+5	10
7	Braunschweig	6	3	1	2	+3	10
8	Nurnberg	6	3	1	2	+2	10
9	Kaiserslautern	6	2	3	1	+3	9
10	Darmstadt	7	2	3	2	+3	9
11	Schalke 04	7	2	1	4	-2	7
12	Hertha	7	2	1	4	-3	7
13	Regensburg	7	2	1	4	-9	7
14	Preußen Münster	7	1	3	3	-2	6
15	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	1	3	3	-5	6
16	Magdeburg	7	0	5	2	-5	5
17	Greuther Furth	7	1	2	4	-8	5
18	Ulm	6	1	1	4	-2	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Magdeburg	7	5	1	1	+7	16
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	6	5	0	1	+8	15
3	Hertha	7	4	2	1	+5	14
4	Kaiserslautern	8	4	2	2	+3	14
5	Karlsruhe	7	3	3	1	+2	12
6	FC Koln	6	3	2	1	+0	11
7	Darmstadt	6	3	1	2	+1	10
8	Paderborn	7	2	4	1	-1	10
9	Elversberg	7	2	3	2	+3	9
10	Greuther Furth	6	2	2	2	+2	8
11	Nurnberg	7	2	2	3	+1	8
12	Hamburg	6	2	1	3	-1	7
13	Ulm	7	1	4	2	-1	7
14	Schalke 04	7	1	3	3	-4	6
15	Preußen Münster	6	1	2	3	-3	5
16	Hannover	6	1	1	4	-3	4
17	Braunschweig	7	0	2	5	-14	2
18	Regensburg	6	0	0	6	-19	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.