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Championship
Referee: S Allison
Swansea
T T S S T
1–1
Full-time
West Brom
T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Swansea West Brom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 36%
36%
36%
Points per game
1,3
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
48%
40%
Both score Ø 50%
48%
52%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,91 xG 1,01
59% Possession 41%
11 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 6
4 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Swansea 12. · West Brom 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Leeds 25 15 7 3 +29 +28.0 52
2 Burnley 25 13 10 2 +21 +7.6 49
3 Sunderland 23 13 7 3 +17 +4.8 46
4 Sheffield United 23 13 6 4 +16 +10.2 45
5 Middlesbrough 25 11 7 7 +11 +13.4 40
6 West Brom 25 9 12 4 +11 +4.2 39
7 Blackburn 24 11 6 7 +6 -0.2 39
8 Watford 24 11 4 9 +0 -4.1 37
9 Sheffield Weds 25 10 6 9 -2 -5.1 36
10 Bristol City 24 8 10 6 +3 +4.3 34
11 Norwich 25 8 9 8 +5 +6.5 33
12 Swansea 25 9 6 10 +0 +1.7 33
13 Millwall 24 7 8 9 +1 +6.5 29
14 QPR 25 6 11 8 -6 -6.7 29
15 Preston 25 6 11 8 -6 -2.5 29
16 Coventry 24 7 7 10 -2 +15.1 28
17 Derby 25 7 6 12 -3 -3.1 27
18 Oxford 24 7 6 11 -12 -12.9 27
19 Stoke 25 6 8 11 -8 -13.5 26
20 Luton 25 7 4 14 -16 -3.6 25
21 Portsmouth 23 5 8 10 -10 -11.7 23
22 Hull 25 5 7 13 -11 -4.0 22
23 Cardiff 24 5 7 12 -15 -11.1 22
24 Plymouth 24 4 7 13 -29 -23.9 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Swansea West Brom
1′
🟨 Ousmane Diakité
Half-time 0–0
50′
🟨 Callum Styles
57′
🔁 A. Mowatt
↦ O. Diakité
F. Bianchini 🔁
↦ Ž. Vipotnik
58′
58′
🔁 T. Fellows
↦ J. Wallace
61′
🟨 Jayson Molumby
Harry Darling 🟨
62′
66′
T. Fellows 0–1
J. Molumby
68′
🔁 J. Swift
↦ M. Johnston
M. Peart-Harris 🔁
↦ Eom Ji-Sung
75′
K. Naughton 🔁
↦ C. Christie
75′
81′
🔁 G. Diangana
↦ J. Maja
81′
🔁 D. Cole
↦ K. Ahearne-Grant
A. Abdulai 🔁
↦ Gonçalo Franco
87′
J. Allen 🔁
↦ L. Cullen
88′
1–1 J. Allen
Ronald
92′
Myles Peart-Harris 🟨
95′
95′
🟨 Mason Holgate
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Swansea

4-2-3-1
22 L. Vigouroux G
2 J. Key D
23 C. Christie D
6 H. Darling D
14 J. Tymon D
17 Gonçalo Franco M
8 M. Grimes M
35 Ronald M
20 L. Cullen M
10 Eom Ji-Sung M
9 Ž. Vipotnik F
Bench (9)
19 F. Bianchini
25 M. Peart-Harris
26 K. Naughton
47 A. Abdulai
7 J. Allen
36 B. Lloyd
33 J. McLaughlin
21 N. Tjoe-A-On
4 J. Fulton

Coach: L. Williams

West Brom

4-2-3-1
1 A. Palmer G
2 D. Furlong D
3 M. Holgate D
14 T. Heggem D
4 C. Styles D
8 J. Molumby M
17 O. Diakité M
7 J. Wallace M
18 K. Ahearne-Grant M
22 M. Johnston M
9 J. Maja F
Bench (9)
27 A. Mowatt
31 T. Fellows
10 J. Swift
11 G. Diangana
44 D. Cole
23 J. Wildsmith
5 K. Bartley
15 C. Taylor
20 U. Račić

Coach: C. Brunt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,53
U ✓
3,28
B
2,77
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,08
U2,5 ✓
1,73
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Allison · 65 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.