Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

Primeira Liga

Referee: Luís Godinho

Benfica

U U S S T

1–2

Full-time

Sp Braga

U T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Benfica Sp Braga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

1,5

3,2

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

0,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Primeira Liga · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 63%

75%

50%

Points per game

2,4

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

50%

56%

Both score Ø 44%

38%

50%

Average goals

2,9

Scored

2,3

1,8

Conceded

0,6

1,1

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,66 xG 0,56

59% Possession 41%

21 Shots 6

5 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 2

2 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Benfica 3. · Sp Braga 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	17	13	2	2	+34	+28.8	41
2	Porto	16	13	1	2	+31	+19.4	40
3	Benfica	16	12	2	2	+28	+17.5	38
4	Santa Clara	16	10	0	6	+2	+8.1	30
5	Sp Braga	16	8	4	4	+10	+12.7	28
6	Guimaraes	17	6	7	4	+4	+6.5	25
7	Casa Pia	16	6	5	5	-1	-2.5	23
8	Moreirense	17	6	4	7	-3	+0.4	22
9	Famalicao	16	4	7	5	+0	-5.3	19
10	Rio Ave	16	5	4	7	-10	-9.6	19
11	Gil Vicente	16	4	6	6	-7	-8.1	18
12	Estrela	16	4	4	8	-11	-8.5	16
13	AVS	17	2	9	6	-11	-8.6	15
14	Estoril	16	3	6	7	-12	-15.8	15
15	Nacional	16	3	4	9	-12	-3.4	13
16	Farense	16	3	4	9	-12	-14.7	13
17	Boavista	16	2	6	8	-13	-4.6	12
18	Arouca	16	3	3	10	-17	-12.5	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Porto	9	9	0	0	+23	+18.7	27
2	Benfica	8	8	0	0	+23	+12.3	24
3	Sp Lisbon	8	7	0	1	+14	+13.0	21
4	Santa Clara	8	6	0	2	+2	+7.7	18
5	Rio Ave	8	4	4	0	+4	+2.3	16
6	Guimaraes	8	4	3	1	+4	+4.4	15
7	Moreirense	8	4	3	1	+2	-1.8	15
8	Estrela	8	4	2	2	+1	-1.9	14
9	Gil Vicente	7	3	3	1	+5	-0.9	12
10	Sp Braga	9	3	3	3	+3	+9.5	12
11	Casa Pia	8	3	3	2	+2	+1.8	12
12	Estoril	9	3	3	3	-3	-6.7	12
13	Famalicao	9	2	4	3	-2	-0.7	10
14	AVS	9	2	4	3	-5	-6.5	10
15	Nacional	7	3	1	3	-5	-2.2	10
16	Arouca	8	2	2	4	-5	-6.8	8
17	Farense	8	2	1	5	-7	-5.2	7
18	Boavista	7	0	3	4	-8	-1.0	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	9	6	2	1	+20	+15.9	20
2	Sp Braga	7	5	1	1	+7	+3.2	16
3	Benfica	8	4	2	2	+5	+5.2	14
4	Porto	7	4	1	2	+8	+0.7	13
5	Santa Clara	8	4	0	4	+0	+0.4	12
6	Casa Pia	8	3	2	3	-3	-4.3	11
7	Guimaraes	9	2	4	3	+0	+2.2	10
8	Famalicao	7	2	3	2	+2	-4.6	9
9	Boavista	9	2	3	4	-5	-3.6	9
10	Moreirense	9	2	1	6	-5	+2.2	7
11	Farense	8	1	3	4	-5	-9.5	6
12	Gil Vicente	9	1	3	5	-12	-7.2	6
13	AVS	8	0	5	3	-6	-2.1	5
14	Arouca	8	1	1	6	-12	-5.7	4
15	Nacional	9	0	3	6	-7	-1.2	3
16	Estoril	7	0	3	4	-9	-9.2	3
17	Rio Ave	8	1	0	7	-14	-12.0	3
18	Estrela	8	0	2	6	-12	-6.6	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.