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Süper Lig
Referee: A Akarsu
Galatasaray
U S U S S
2–1
Full-time
Goztep
S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Galatasaray Goztep
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
4,7
3,7
Scored
2,8
2,3
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 69%
88%
50%
Points per game
2,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 76%
88%
63%
Both score Ø 69%
75%
63%
Average goals
4,1
3,3
Scored
2,9
1,9
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,29 xG 0,53
59% Possession 41%
12 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
10 Corners 4
2 Offside 5
12 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Galatasaray 1. · Goztep 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 16 14 2 0 +28 +16.7 44
2 Fenerbahce 16 11 3 2 +25 +17.6 36
3 Samsunspor 16 9 3 4 +12 +9.6 30
4 Eyüpspor 18 8 6 4 +10 -1.3 30
5 Goztep 16 8 4 4 +10 +5.9 28
6 Besiktas 17 7 6 4 +7 +5.9 27
7 Buyuksehyr 17 7 5 5 +5 +6.9 26
8 Gaziantep 16 6 3 7 -2 -3.7 21
9 Alanyaspor 17 5 6 6 -2 +1.5 21
10 Rizespor 17 6 3 8 -9 +4.3 21
11 Antalyaspor 17 6 3 8 -11 -10.6 21
12 Kasimpasa 16 4 8 4 -1 -1.8 20
13 Konyaspor 17 5 5 7 -6 -6.4 20
14 Trabzonspor 16 4 7 5 +2 -2.2 19
15 Sivasspor 17 5 4 8 -7 -13.1 19
16 Kayserispor 16 3 6 7 -16 -7.5 15
17 Bodrumspor 16 4 2 10 -10 -4.4 14
18 Hatayspor 16 1 6 9 -13 -7.0 9
19 Ad. Demirspor 17 2 2 13 -22 -10.4 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Galatasaray Goztep
9′
🟨 Djalma Silva
1–0 V. Osimhen
10′
27′
Rômulo 1–1
A. Dennis
37′
🟨 Anthony Junior Dennis
Half-time 1–1
Gabriel Sara 🟨
58′
2–1 Y. Akgün
D. Mertens
61′
69′
🔁 Juan
↦ K. Matsuki
69′
🔁 Victor Hugo
↦ D. Tijanič
R. Sallai 🔁
↦ D. Mertens
74′
Lucas Torreira ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
84′
M. Batshuayi 🔁
↦ V. Osimhen
87′
B. Kutlu 🔁
↦ I. Jakobs
87′
89′
🔁 A. Ildız
↦ A. Dennis
89′
🔁 İ. Köybaşı
↦ Djalma Silva
89′
🔁 T. Altıkardeş
↦ L. Nielsen
V. Nelsson 🔁
↦ B. Yılmaz
92′
E. Jelert 🔁
↦ Y. Akgün
92′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Galatasaray

4-2-3-1
1 F. Muslera G
23 K. Ayhan D
6 D. Sánchez D
42 A. Bardakcı D
4 I. Jakobs D
34 L. Torreira M
20 Gabriel Sara M
11 Y. Akgün M
10 D. Mertens M
53 B. Yılmaz M
45 V. Osimhen F
Bench (10)
7 R. Sallai
44 M. Batshuayi
18 B. Kutlu
25 V. Nelsson
24 E. Jelert
19 G. Güvenç
90 M. Baltacı
5 E. Aydın
30 Y. Demir
83 E. Akman

Coach: O. Buruk

Goztep

3-4-1-2
97 M. Lis G
26 M. Bokélé D
5 Héliton D
22 K. Günter D
24 L. Nielsen M
16 A. Dennis M
20 N. Miroshi M
66 Djalma Silva M
43 D. Tijanič F
7 K. Matsuki F
79 Rômulo F
Bench (10)
11 Juan
6 Victor Hugo
8 A. Ildız
12 İ. Köybaşı
4 T. Altıkardeş
54 E. Seçgin
77 O. Bayrak
30 N. Sangaré
18 F. Malak
1 A. Özçimen

Coach: S. Stoilov

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,31
U
5,70
B
8,00
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,34
U2,5
3,08
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Akarsu · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.