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Championship
Referee: D Whitestone
Stoke
U T T S U
0–0
Full-time
Plymouth
T U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stoke Plymouth
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,5
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,3
2,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 25/24 matches
Win Ø 21%
24%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
36%
58%
Both score Ø 47%
44%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,90 xG 0,08
65% Possession 35%
18 Shots 2
3 Shots on target 1
7 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 3
0 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stoke 19. · Plymouth 24.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Leeds 25 15 7 3 +29 +28.0 52
2 Burnley 25 13 10 2 +21 +7.6 49
3 Sunderland 23 13 7 3 +17 +4.8 46
4 Sheffield United 23 13 6 4 +16 +10.2 45
5 Middlesbrough 25 11 7 7 +11 +13.4 40
6 West Brom 25 9 12 4 +11 +4.2 39
7 Blackburn 24 11 6 7 +6 -0.2 39
8 Watford 24 11 4 9 +0 -4.1 37
9 Sheffield Weds 25 10 6 9 -2 -5.1 36
10 Bristol City 24 8 10 6 +3 +4.3 34
11 Norwich 25 8 9 8 +5 +6.5 33
12 Swansea 25 9 6 10 +0 +1.7 33
13 Millwall 24 7 8 9 +1 +6.5 29
14 QPR 25 6 11 8 -6 -6.7 29
15 Preston 25 6 11 8 -6 -2.5 29
16 Coventry 24 7 7 10 -2 +15.1 28
17 Derby 25 7 6 12 -3 -3.1 27
18 Oxford 24 7 6 11 -12 -12.9 27
19 Stoke 25 6 8 11 -8 -13.5 26
20 Luton 25 7 4 14 -16 -3.6 25
21 Portsmouth 23 5 8 10 -10 -11.7 23
22 Hull 25 5 7 13 -11 -4.0 22
23 Cardiff 24 5 7 12 -15 -11.1 22
24 Plymouth 24 4 7 13 -29 -23.9 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stoke Plymouth
Lynden Gooch 🟨
27′
41′
🟨 Conor Hazard
Half-time 0–0
W. Burger 🔁
↦ S. Gallagher
49′
59′
🟨 Rami Al Hajj
65′
🔁 F. Issaka
↦ M. Obafemi
70′
🔁 A. Forshaw
↦ D. Gyabi
79′
🔁 J. Houghton
↦ R. Al Hajj
79′
🔁 N. Ogbeta
↦ M. Sorinola
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Stoke

4-2-3-1
1 V. Johansson G
22 J. Tchamadeu D
26 A. Phillips D
16 B. Wilmot D
2 L. Gooch D
12 T. Seko M
24 A. Moran M
11 L. Koumas M
10 Bae Jun-Ho M
20 S. Gallagher M
9 T. Cannon F
Bench (9)
6 W. Burger
5 M. Rose
18 B. Lawal
3 E. Stevens
37 E. Tezgel
14 N. Ennis
30 S. Sidibe
13 J. Bonham
23 B. Gibson

Coach: M. Robins

Plymouth

3-4-2-1
21 C. Hazard G
6 K. Szűcs D
5 Julio Pleguezuelo D
22 B. Galloway D
29 M. Sorinola M
18 D. Gyabi M
20 A. Randell M
2 B. Mumba M
10 M. Whittaker F
28 R. Al Hajj F
14 M. Obafemi F
Bench (9)
35 F. Issaka
27 A. Forshaw
4 J. Houghton
3 N. Ogbeta
39 T. Finn
31 D. Grimshaw
44 V. Pálsson
7 I. Cissoko
34 C. Roberts

Coach: K. Nancekivell

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,65
U ✓
4,14
B
4,70
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,64
U2,5 ✓
2,22
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Whitestone · 166 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.