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Premiership

Referee: D Dickinson

Dundee United

S S S U U

2–3

Full-time

Hearts

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee United Hearts

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,8

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

1,5

1,8

Conceded

1,3

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,3

This season — Premiership · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

1,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

4,0

2,0

Scored

2,0

Conceded

2,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1,12 xG 2,02

28% Possession 72%

13 Shots 16

5 Shots on target 8

5 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 9

0 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Dundee United 7. · Hearts 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celtic	2	2	0	0	+3	+2.5	6
2	Livingston	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.6	4
3	Hearts	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.1	3
4	Hibernian	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
5	Rangers	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.9	2
6	Motherwell	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.8	2
7	Dundee United	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
8	Kilmarnock	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
9	Dundee	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.0	1
10	St Mirren	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.5	1
11	Falkirk	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.7	1
12	Aberdeen	2	0	0	2	-4	-0.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Livingston	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
2	Hearts	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.1	3
3	Celtic	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.8	3
4	Falkirk	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
5	Kilmarnock	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
6	Motherwell	1	0	1	0	+0	+2.0	1
7	Rangers	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
8	St Mirren	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
9	Dundee	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
10	Aberdeen	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celtic	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
2	Hibernian	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
3	Dundee United	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
4	Livingston	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
5	Rangers	1	0	1	0	+0	-2.0	1
6	Dundee	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
7	Motherwell	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
8	St Mirren	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.8	0
9	Falkirk	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0
10	Aberdeen	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.