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Eliteserien

Referee: Sigurd Smehus Kringstad

Haugesund

T T T T T

3–2

Full-time

Sarpsborg 08

S U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Haugesund Sarpsborg 08

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,2

Scored

0,2

1,5

Conceded

2,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

-2,0

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 17/16 matches

Win Ø 16%

31%

Points per game

0,1

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

59%

56%

Both score Ø 49%

29%

69%

Average goals

2,9

Scored

0,3

1,6

Conceded

2,6

1,3

Goal diff per game

-2,3

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,38 xG 3,13

39% Possession 61%

7 Shots 29

5 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 14

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 11

2 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Haugesund 16. · Sarpsborg 08 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	18	12	3	3	+27	+24.5	39
2	Viking	18	12	3	3	+20	+16.1	39
3	Brann	17	10	3	4	+6	+14.7	33
4	Tromso	17	10	3	4	+6	+4.8	33
5	Rosenborg	18	8	6	4	+3	+6.9	30
6	Sandefjord	16	9	0	7	+10	-3.9	27
7	Fredrikstad	18	7	5	6	+3	-2.7	26
8	KFUM Oslo	16	7	3	6	+9	+3.5	24
9	Molde	17	7	2	8	+2	+2.6	23
10	Sarpsborg 08	16	5	7	4	+5	+10.8	22
11	Valerenga	17	6	3	8	-4	-4.2	21
12	Kristiansund	17	5	4	8	-13	-12.9	19
13	Bryne	16	5	3	8	-8	-4.0	18
14	Ham-Kam	17	4	5	8	-11	-12.1	17
15	Stromsgodset	17	3	0	14	-16	-15.8	9
16	Haugesund	17	0	2	15	-39	-28.3	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sandefjord	8	8	0	0	+20	+3.2	24
2	Bodo/Glimt	10	7	1	2	+18	+16.2	22
3	Viking	9	6	2	1	+12	+10.8	20
4	Brann	9	6	2	1	+6	+9.2	20
5	Rosenborg	9	5	4	0	+10	+9.5	19
6	Fredrikstad	10	6	1	3	+7	-1.2	19
7	Tromso	8	5	1	2	+4	+6.0	16
8	KFUM Oslo	8	4	1	3	+7	+1.8	13
9	Molde	9	4	1	4	+2	+5.3	13
10	Bryne	8	4	1	3	-1	+3.1	13
11	Valerenga	8	3	2	3	+1	-0.1	11
12	Sarpsborg 08	8	2	3	3	+1	+4.2	9
13	Ham-Kam	8	2	3	3	-5	-5.8	9
14	Kristiansund	8	2	2	4	-5	-6.4	8
15	Stromsgodset	8	1	0	7	-9	-4.2	3
16	Haugesund	8	0	2	6	-19	-7.5	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	9	6	1	2	+8	+5.3	19
2	Bodo/Glimt	8	5	2	1	+9	+8.3	17
3	Tromso	9	5	2	2	+2	-1.2	17
4	Sarpsborg 08	8	3	4	1	+4	+6.6	13
5	Brann	8	4	1	3	+0	+5.6	13
6	KFUM Oslo	8	3	2	3	+2	+1.8	11
7	Rosenborg	9	3	2	4	-7	-2.5	11
8	Kristiansund	9	3	2	4	-8	-6.4	11
9	Molde	8	3	1	4	+0	-2.7	10
10	Valerenga	9	3	1	5	-5	-4.1	10
11	Ham-Kam	9	2	2	5	-6	-6.4	8
12	Fredrikstad	8	1	4	3	-4	-1.6	7
13	Stromsgodset	9	2	0	7	-7	-11.6	6
14	Bryne	8	1	2	5	-7	-7.1	5
15	Sandefjord	8	1	0	7	-10	-7.1	3
16	Haugesund	9	0	0	9	-20	-20.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.