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OBOS-ligaen

Referee: Mathias Støfringshaug

Lillestrom

S S S S S

5–1

Full-time

Aalesund

U S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Aalesund

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,2

3,2

Scored

1,8

2,0

Conceded

0,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,8

This season — OBOS-ligaen · 17/16 matches

Win Ø 58%

71%

44%

Points per game

2,4

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

59%

56%

Both score Ø 52%

35%

69%

Average goals

2,7

2,9

Scored

2,2

1,8

Conceded

0,5

1,1

Goal diff per game

+1,6

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Lillestrom 1. · Aalesund 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lillestrom	17	12	5	0	+28	41
2	Start	17	10	4	3	+17	34
3	Aalesund	16	7	8	1	+10	29
4	Sogndal	17	7	4	6	+3	25
5	Lyn	17	7	3	7	+7	24
6	Egersund	16	7	3	6	-2	24
7	Ranheim	16	7	3	6	-2	24
8	Odd	17	6	4	7	-1	22
9	hodd	17	6	4	7	-6	22
10	Kongsvinger	16	5	6	5	+4	21
11	Moss	17	6	3	8	-9	21
12	Raufoss	17	4	8	5	+0	20
13	Asane	17	4	5	8	-8	17
14	Stabaek	17	3	6	8	-10	15
15	Mjondalen	17	3	5	9	-20	14
16	Skeid	17	1	7	9	-11	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Aalesund	9	5	4	0	+9	19
2	Odd	8	5	3	0	+7	18
3	Moss	8	6	0	2	+6	18
4	Lillestrom	7	5	2	0	+8	17
5	Start	9	5	1	3	+7	16
6	Raufoss	10	4	4	2	+4	16
7	Sogndal	9	4	3	2	+3	15
8	Ranheim	10	4	2	4	-4	14
9	hodd	7	4	1	2	+3	13
10	Asane	9	3	3	3	-2	12
11	Kongsvinger	7	3	2	2	+4	11
12	Egersund	8	3	2	3	-6	11
13	Stabaek	9	2	3	4	-2	9
14	Lyn	8	2	2	4	-3	8
15	Mjondalen	8	1	3	4	-11	6
16	Skeid	8	0	4	4	-9	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lillestrom	10	7	3	0	+20	24
2	Start	8	5	3	0	+10	18
3	Lyn	9	5	1	3	+10	16
4	Egersund	8	4	1	3	+4	13
5	Ranheim	6	3	1	2	+2	10
6	Aalesund	7	2	4	1	+1	10
7	Kongsvinger	9	2	4	3	+0	10
8	Sogndal	8	3	1	4	+0	10
9	hodd	10	2	3	5	-9	9
10	Mjondalen	9	2	2	5	-9	8
11	Skeid	9	1	3	5	-2	6
12	Stabaek	8	1	3	4	-8	6
13	Asane	8	1	2	5	-6	5
14	Raufoss	7	0	4	3	-4	4
15	Odd	9	1	1	7	-8	4
16	Moss	9	0	3	6	-15	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.