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Premiership

Referee: N Walsh

Hibernian

U U T S S

2–2

Full-time

Kilmarnock

S S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian Kilmarnock

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,2

This season — Premiership · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

3,0

4,0

Scored

2,0

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1,24 xG 0,96

60% Possession 40%

12 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 4

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 7

0 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hibernian 4. · Kilmarnock 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celtic	2	2	0	0	+3	+2.5	6
2	Livingston	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.6	4
3	Hearts	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.1	3
4	Hibernian	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
5	Rangers	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.9	2
6	Motherwell	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.8	2
7	Dundee United	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
8	Kilmarnock	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
9	Dundee	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.0	1
10	St Mirren	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.5	1
11	Falkirk	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.7	1
12	Aberdeen	2	0	0	2	-4	-0.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Livingston	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
2	Hearts	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.1	3
3	Celtic	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.8	3
4	Falkirk	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
5	Kilmarnock	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
6	Motherwell	1	0	1	0	+0	+2.0	1
7	Rangers	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
8	St Mirren	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
9	Dundee	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
10	Aberdeen	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celtic	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
2	Hibernian	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
3	Dundee United	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
4	Livingston	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
5	Rangers	1	0	1	0	+0	-2.0	1
6	Dundee	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
7	Motherwell	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
8	St Mirren	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.8	0
9	Falkirk	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0
10	Aberdeen	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.