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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: Herman Holthe
Mjondalen
T U S T S
2–3
Full-time
Sogndal
U U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mjondalen Sogndal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,3
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 30%
18%
41%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
65%
65%
Both score Ø 71%
65%
76%
Average goals
3,4
3,2
Scored
1,1
1,7
Conceded
2,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Mjondalen 15. · Sogndal 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lillestrom 18 13 5 0 +32 44
2 Start 17 10 4 3 +17 34
3 Aalesund 17 7 8 2 +6 29
4 Sogndal 17 7 4 6 +3 25
5 Lyn 17 7 3 7 +7 24
6 Egersund 16 7 3 6 -2 24
7 Ranheim 16 7 3 6 -2 24
8 Odd 17 6 4 7 -1 22
9 hodd 17 6 4 7 -6 22
10 Kongsvinger 16 5 6 5 +4 21
11 Moss 17 6 3 8 -9 21
12 Raufoss 17 4 8 5 +0 20
13 Asane 17 4 5 8 -8 17
14 Stabaek 17 3 6 8 -10 15
15 Mjondalen 17 3 5 9 -20 14
16 Skeid 17 1 7 9 -11 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mjondalen Sogndal
6′
O. Hintsa 0–1
15′
O. Hintsa 0–2
F. Sturgeon
I. Vik 🟨
22′
27′
🔁 K. Steinset
↦ F. Sturgeon
1–2 K. Arierhi
L. Reutersward
36′
Half-time 1–2
E. Willumsen 🔁
↦ F. Godwin
61′
J. Bruusgaard 🔁
↦ L. Reutersward
61′
2–2 K. Arierhi
A. Molund
62′
66′
🔁 M. Sjolstad
↦ R. Onyango
66′
🔁 M. Oren
↦ V. Hagen
K. Bata 🔁
↦ E. Midtgarden
78′
S. Eriksen 🔁
↦ K. Saetherbo
78′
81′
🟨 L. Vapne
85′
🔁 P. Asp
↦ O. Hintsa
89′
P. Asp 2–3
M. Sjolstad
90′
🟨 L. Pimenta
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Mjondalen

87 L. Oy
27 K. Kekeli
5 E. Midtgarden
15 F. Kvam
10 K. Saetherbo
2 I. Vik
16 F. Godwin
3 A. Molund
28 E. Sawaneh
20 K. Arierhi
7 L. Reutersward
Bench (9)
13 P. S. Bro
8 E. Willumsen
11 J. Bruusgaard
17 K. Bata
18 N. Arsbog
21 S. Bratvold
26 S. Eriksen
34 L. Ween
66 L. A. Nicol

Coach: Kevin Andrew Nicol

Sogndal

1 L. Jendal
2 D. Bras
88 R. Onyango
16 L. Vapne
33 S. A. Granheim
13 P. Flo
18 V. Hagen
8 J. Flaten
23 F. Sturgeon
9 O. Hintsa
7 S. Pedersen
Bench (7)
21 D. Saetren
11 E. Mensah
14 J. Haruna
17 M. Sjolstad
20 P. Asp
29 K. Steinset
32 M. Oren

Coach: Luís Berkemeier Pimenta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.