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NM-cupen

Strommen

S T U T S

4–5

Full-time

Lillestrom

T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Strommen Lillestrom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

3,7

3,5

Scored

1,7

2,0

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — NM-cupen · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

6,0

7,0

Scored

4,0

7,0

Conceded

2,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+7,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Strommen 39. · Lillestrom 32. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bryne	2	2	0	0	+17	6
2	Tromso	2	2	0	0	+12	6
3	Alta	2	2	0	0	+12	6
4	Stromsgodset	2	2	0	0	+10	6
5	Brann	2	2	0	0	+9	6
6	Raufoss	2	2	0	0	+9	6
7	Rosenborg	2	2	0	0	+8	6
8	Bodo/Glimt	2	2	0	0	+8	6
9	Tromsdalen Uil	2	2	0	0	+7	6
10	Ham-Kam	2	2	0	0	+7	6
11	Ranheim	2	2	0	0	+7	6
12	Stabaek	2	2	0	0	+7	6
13	Viking	2	2	0	0	+6	6
14	Asane	2	2	0	0	+6	6
15	hodd	2	2	0	0	+6	6
16	Sandnes ULF	2	2	0	0	+6	6
17	Molde	2	2	0	0	+6	6
18	Lysekloster	2	2	0	0	+6	6
19	Levanger	2	2	0	0	+5	6
20	KFUM Oslo	2	2	0	0	+5	6
21	Arendal	2	2	0	0	+4	6
22	Odd	2	2	0	0	+3	6
23	Råde	2	2	0	0	+3	6
24	Eidsvold	2	2	0	0	+3	6
25	Kristiansund	2	2	0	0	+2	6
26	Kjelsås	2	2	0	0	+2	6
27	Egersund	2	2	0	0	+2	6
28	Sogndal	2	1	1	0	+4	4
29	Frøya	2	1	1	0	+2	4
30	Fredrikstad	1	1	0	0	+10	3
31	Kongsvinger	2	1	0	1	+7	3
32	Lillestrom	1	1	0	0	+7	3
33	Eik-Tønsberg	1	1	0	0	+6	3
34	Hønefoss	1	1	0	0	+5	3
35	Sarpsborg 08	1	1	0	0	+4	3
36	Træff	2	1	0	1	+3	3
37	Valerenga	1	1	0	0	+3	3
38	Moss	2	1	0	1	+2	3
39	Strommen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
40	Mjondalen	2	1	0	1	+2	3
41	Oppsal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
42	Strindheim	2	1	0	1	+1	3
43	Skeid	2	1	0	1	+1	3
44	Junkeren	2	1	0	1	+1	3
45	Skjervøy	2	1	0	1	+1	3
46	Aalesund	2	1	0	1	+1	3
47	Elverum	2	1	0	1	+0	3
48	Stjørdals-Blink	2	1	0	1	+0	3
49	Lyn	2	1	0	1	+0	3
50	Pors Grenland	2	1	0	1	+0	3
51	Flekkerøy	2	1	0	1	+0	3
52	Bjarg	2	1	0	1	-1	3
53	Ull/Kisa	2	1	0	1	-1	3
54	Frigg	2	1	0	1	-1	3
55	Jerv	2	1	0	1	-1	3
56	Vard	2	1	0	1	-2	3
57	Fram	2	1	0	1	-2	3
58	Bærum	2	1	0	1	-3	3
59	Melhus	2	1	0	1	-3	3
60	Fløya	2	1	0	1	-5	3
61	Djerv	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Sotra	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Start	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Haugesund	1	0	1	0	+0	1
65	Torvastad	2	0	1	1	-1	1
66	Askøy	2	0	1	1	-3	1
67	Stord	2	0	1	1	-4	1
68	Mandalskameratene	2	0	1	1	-7	1
69	Trygg/Lade	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Brattvåg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Mjølner	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Notodden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Lørenskog	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Express	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Nordstrand	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Vidar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Sandefjord	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Byåsen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Hei	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Sandviken	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	Madla	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Gjelleråsen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Nardo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Bossekop	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Grorud	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Brodd	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Follo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	Åskollen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
89	Toten	1	0	0	1	-2	0
90	Ullern	1	0	0	1	-2	0
91	Asker	1	0	0	1	-2	0
92	Os	1	0	0	1	-2	0
93	Kvik Halden	1	0	0	1	-2	0
94	Fana	1	0	0	1	-2	0
95	Spjelkavik	1	0	0	1	-2	0
96	Randesund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
97	Gamle Oslo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
98	Heming	1	0	0	1	-2	0
99	Funnefoss / Vormsund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
100	Årvoll	1	0	0	1	-2	0
101	Fjøra	1	0	0	1	-3	0
102	Ørn Horten	1	0	0	1	-3	0
103	Sprint-Jeløy	1	0	0	1	-3	0
104	Tiller	1	0	0	1	-3	0
105	Rana	1	0	0	1	-3	0
106	Union Carl Berner	1	0	0	1	-3	0
107	Førde	1	0	0	1	-4	0
108	Surnadal	1	0	0	1	-4	0
109	Sarpsborg	1	0	0	1	-4	0
110	Mosjøen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
111	Senja	1	0	0	1	-5	0
112	Volda	1	0	0	1	-5	0
113	Gjøvik-Lyn	1	0	0	1	-5	0
114	Eide	1	0	0	1	-5	0
115	Ridabu	1	0	0	1	-5	0
116	Varhaug	1	0	0	1	-5	0
117	Lyngbø	1	0	0	1	-6	0
118	Flint	1	0	0	1	-6	0
119	Brønnøysund	1	0	0	1	-6	0
120	Sortland	1	0	0	1	-6	0
121	Sverresborg	1	0	0	1	-6	0
122	Bjørkelangen	1	0	0	1	-7	0
123	Hallingdal	1	0	0	1	-7	0
124	Nybergsund	1	0	0	1	-8	0
125	Skreia	1	0	0	1	-8	0
126	Drøbak / Frogn	1	0	0	1	-10	0
127	Forus og Gausel	1	0	0	1	-10	0
128	Kirkenes	1	0	0	1	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Råde	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Hønefoss	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Træff	2	1	0	1	+3	3
4	Tromsdalen Uil	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Oppsal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Kjelsås	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	hodd	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Eidsvold	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Flekkerøy	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Frigg	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Fram	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Melhus	2	1	0	1	-3	3
13	Frøya	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Torvastad	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Askøy	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Stord	2	0	1	1	-4	1
17	Mandalskameratene	2	0	1	1	-7	1
18	Trygg/Lade	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Skeid	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Brattvåg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Mjølner	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Lørenskog	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Strindheim	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Express	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Stjørdals-Blink	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Pors Grenland	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Nordstrand	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Vidar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Hei	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Skjervøy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Sandviken	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Madla	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Elverum	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Gjelleråsen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Nardo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Ull/Kisa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Bossekop	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Brodd	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Åskollen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Toten	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Junkeren	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Ullern	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Asker	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Os	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Fana	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Spjelkavik	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Randesund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Gamle Oslo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Heming	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Funnefoss / Vormsund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Årvoll	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Fjøra	1	0	0	1	-3	0
53	Jerv	1	0	0	1	-3	0
54	Ørn Horten	1	0	0	1	-3	0
55	Sprint-Jeløy	1	0	0	1	-3	0
56	Tiller	1	0	0	1	-3	0
57	Bjarg	1	0	0	1	-3	0
58	Rana	1	0	0	1	-3	0
59	Union Carl Berner	1	0	0	1	-3	0
60	Førde	1	0	0	1	-4	0
61	Sarpsborg	1	0	0	1	-4	0
62	Vard	1	0	0	1	-4	0
63	Mosjøen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
64	Senja	1	0	0	1	-5	0
65	Volda	1	0	0	1	-5	0
66	Bærum	1	0	0	1	-5	0
67	Eide	1	0	0	1	-5	0
68	Ridabu	1	0	0	1	-5	0
69	Varhaug	1	0	0	1	-5	0
70	Lyngbø	1	0	0	1	-6	0
71	Flint	1	0	0	1	-6	0
72	Fløya	1	0	0	1	-6	0
73	Brønnøysund	1	0	0	1	-6	0
74	Sortland	1	0	0	1	-6	0
75	Sverresborg	1	0	0	1	-6	0
76	Bjørkelangen	1	0	0	1	-7	0
77	Hallingdal	1	0	0	1	-7	0
78	Nybergsund	1	0	0	1	-8	0
79	Skreia	1	0	0	1	-8	0
80	Drøbak / Frogn	1	0	0	1	-10	0
81	Forus og Gausel	1	0	0	1	-10	0
82	Kirkenes	1	0	0	1	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bryne	2	2	0	0	+17	6
2	Tromso	2	2	0	0	+12	6
3	Alta	2	2	0	0	+12	6
4	Stromsgodset	2	2	0	0	+10	6
5	Brann	2	2	0	0	+9	6
6	Raufoss	2	2	0	0	+9	6
7	Rosenborg	2	2	0	0	+8	6
8	Bodo/Glimt	2	2	0	0	+8	6
9	Ham-Kam	2	2	0	0	+7	6
10	Ranheim	2	2	0	0	+7	6
11	Stabaek	2	2	0	0	+7	6
12	Viking	2	2	0	0	+6	6
13	Asane	2	2	0	0	+6	6
14	Sandnes ULF	2	2	0	0	+6	6
15	Molde	2	2	0	0	+6	6
16	Lysekloster	2	2	0	0	+6	6
17	Levanger	2	2	0	0	+5	6
18	KFUM Oslo	2	2	0	0	+5	6
19	Arendal	2	2	0	0	+4	6
20	Odd	2	2	0	0	+3	6
21	Kristiansund	2	2	0	0	+2	6
22	Egersund	2	2	0	0	+2	6
23	Sogndal	2	1	1	0	+4	4
24	Fredrikstad	1	1	0	0	+10	3
25	Kongsvinger	2	1	0	1	+7	3
26	Lillestrom	1	1	0	0	+7	3
27	Eik-Tønsberg	1	1	0	0	+6	3
28	Tromsdalen Uil	1	1	0	0	+5	3
29	hodd	1	1	0	0	+5	3
30	Sarpsborg 08	1	1	0	0	+4	3
31	Junkeren	1	1	0	0	+3	3
32	Valerenga	1	1	0	0	+3	3
33	Bjarg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	Vard	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	Moss	2	1	0	1	+2	3
36	Strommen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
37	Strindheim	1	1	0	0	+2	3
38	Skjervøy	1	1	0	0	+2	3
39	Mjondalen	2	1	0	1	+2	3
40	Elverum	1	1	0	0	+2	3
41	Bærum	1	1	0	0	+2	3
42	Frøya	1	1	0	0	+2	3
43	Jerv	1	1	0	0	+2	3
44	Skeid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
45	Eidsvold	1	1	0	0	+2	3
46	Stjørdals-Blink	1	1	0	0	+1	3
47	Aalesund	2	1	0	1	+1	3
48	Fløya	1	1	0	0	+1	3
49	Ull/Kisa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
50	Kjelsås	1	1	0	0	+1	3
51	Pors Grenland	1	1	0	0	+1	3
52	Lyn	2	1	0	1	+0	3
53	Djerv	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Sotra	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Start	1	0	1	0	+0	1
56	Haugesund	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Notodden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Sandefjord	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Byåsen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Grorud	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Follo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Kvik Halden	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Surnadal	1	0	0	1	-4	0
64	Gjøvik-Lyn	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.