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Conference League
Referee: Oleksiy Derevinskyi
Rosenborg
S S T U S
2–1
Full-time
Mainz
T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rosenborg Mainz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
2,2
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

40% Possession 60%
13 Shots 13
8 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 5
0 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Rosenborg Mainz
26′
⚽ N. Amiri 0–1
34′
🟨 Stefan Bell
36′
🟨 Dominik Kohr
Jesper Reitan-Sunde ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
41′
1–1 D. Islamovic ⚽
43′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 A. Hanche-Olsen
↦ D. Kohr
64′
🔁 A. Sieb
↦ B. Hollerbach
82′
🔁 M. Leitsch
↦ S. Bell
82′
🔁 A. Nordin
↦ Lee Jae-Sung
O. Saeter 🔁
↦ J. Reitan-Sunde
86′
U. Jenssen 🔁
↦ A. Pereira
86′
2–1 O. Saeter ⚽
O. Selnaes
90′
I. Fossum 🔁
↦ M. K. Ceide
92′
N. Holm 🔁
↦ S. Nordli
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Rosenborg

4-4-2
1 S. Tangvik G
16 A. F. Witry D
38 M. K. Ceide D
21 T. Nemcik D
19 A. Pereira D
45 J. Reitan-Sunde M
6 S. Vaananen M
10 O. Selnaes M
7 S. Nordli M
39 D. Islamovic F
35 E. K. Ceide F
Bench (12)
12 R. Sandberg
24 H. Sorum
2 E. Reitan
4 L. Racic
5 M. Zeidan
8 I. Fossum
9 O. Saeter
15 J. Mortensen
18 N. Holm
23 U. Jenssen
50 H. Volden
60 E. Slordal

Coach: Alfred Johansson

Mainz

3-4-3
27 R. Zentner G
21 D. da Costa D
16 S. Bell D
31 D. Kohr D
19 A. Caci M
6 K. Sano M
10 N. Amiri M
2 P. Mwene M
8 P. Nebel F
17 B. Hollerbach F
7 Lee Jae-Sung F
Bench (11)
1 L. Riess
33 D. Batz
5 M. Leitsch
9 A. Nordin
11 A. Sieb
15 L. Maloney
24 S. Kawasaki
25 A. Hanche-Olsen
30 S. Widmer
37 B. Bobzien
48 K. Potulski

Coach: Bo Bjørnholt Henriksen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.