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LaLiga2
Referee: Miguel Sesma
Malaga
S U T U U
0–0
Full-time
Oviedo
S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Oviedo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 33%
22%
44%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
56%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
56%
44%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,1
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
12 Shots 20
4 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 4
6 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 6
3 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 23
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Malaga 12. · Oviedo 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Santander 9 6 2 1 +6 20
2 Zaragoza 9 5 1 3 +7 16
3 Huesca 9 5 1 3 +6 16
4 Levante 9 4 3 2 +4 15
5 Sp Gijon 9 4 3 2 +4 15
6 Mirandes 9 4 3 2 +3 15
7 Eibar 9 4 3 2 +1 15
8 Oviedo 9 4 3 2 +0 15
9 Burgos 9 4 2 3 +1 14
10 Castellon 9 4 1 4 +2 13
11 Granada 9 3 4 2 +0 13
12 Malaga 9 2 6 1 -1 12
13 Cordoba 10 3 3 4 -2 12
14 Elche 9 3 2 4 +0 11
15 Albacete 9 3 2 4 -2 11
16 Eldense 9 3 2 4 -2 11
17 Cadiz 9 2 4 3 -4 10
18 La Coruna 9 2 3 4 -2 9
19 Almeria 9 2 3 4 -4 9
20 Ferrol 9 2 3 4 -5 9
21 Cartagena 10 2 0 8 -8 6
22 Tenerife 9 1 2 6 -4 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Malaga Oviedo
Carlos Puga 🟨
39′
43′
🔁 R. Alhassane
↦ Carlos Pomares
Half-time 0–0
A. Moloney 🔁
↦ Dani Lorenzo
46′
Gabilondo 🔁
↦ Puga
46′
63′
🔁 H. Hassan
↦ I. Chaira
63′
🔁 Jaime Seoane
↦ Santi Cazorla
Sergio Castel 🔁
↦ Kevin Medina
64′
Julen Lobete 🔁
↦ David Larrubia
77′
82′
🔁 D. Paraschiv
↦ Alemão
82′
🔁 Álex Cardero
↦ Sebas Moyano
Antonio Cordero 🔁
↦ Dioni
84′
86′
🟨 Oier Luengo Redondo
Sergio Castel Martínez 🟨
87′
100′
🟨 Kwasi Sibo
Einar Galilea ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
102′
104′
🟥 Oier Luengo Redondo
Antonio Cordero
penalty missed
106′
106′
🟨 Santiago Colombatto
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Malaga

4-2-3-1
1 Alfonso Herrero G
3 Puga D
5 Álex Pastor D
4 Einar Galilea D
14 Víctor García D
12 Manu Molina M
29 Izan Merino M
10 David Larrubia M
22 Dani Lorenzo M
11 Kevin Medina M
17 Dioni F
Bench (12)
35 A. Moloney
2 Gabilondo
25 Sergio Castel
24 Julen Lobete
26 Antonio Cordero
13 Carlos López
20 Nélson Monte
21 Y. Rahmani
8 Juanpe
9 R. Baturina
18 Dani Sánchez
6 Ramón Enríquez

Coach: Sergio Pellicer

Oviedo

4-2-3-1
13 Aarón Escandell G
15 Oier Luengo D
4 David Costas D
12 Dani Calvo D
21 Carlos Pomares D
6 K. Sibo M
11 S. Colombatto M
16 I. Chaira M
8 Santi Cazorla M
7 Sebas Moyano M
9 Alemão F
Bench (10)
3 R. Alhassane
23 H. Hassan
20 Jaime Seoane
14 D. Paraschiv
27 Álex Cardero
5 Alberto del Moral
2 Álvaro Lemos
26 Miguel Narváez
17 Masca
24 Lucas Ahijado

Coach: Javier Calleja

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,68
U ✓
2,90
B
2,84
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,54
U2,5 ✓
1,49
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Miguel Sesma · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.