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Serie A

Referee: J Sacchi

Sassuolo

S T U T U

1–2

Full-time

Spezia

S S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sassuolo Spezia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,5

Scored

1,2

Conceded

2,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,2

This season — Serie A · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 30%

40%

20%

Points per game

1,6

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

55%

75%

Both score Ø 68%

70%

65%

Average goals

3,2

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

53% Possession 47%

8 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 5

4 Offside 3

20 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sassuolo 8. · Spezia 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	21	14	5	2	+28	47
2	Milan	20	14	4	2	+18	46
3	Roma	20	12	4	4	+11	40
4	Juventus	19	11	6	2	+21	39
5	Napoli	19	12	1	6	+24	37
6	Lazio	20	11	4	5	+8	37
7	Atalanta	20	10	6	4	+19	36
8	Sassuolo	20	8	7	5	+3	31
9	Verona	20	8	6	6	+5	30
10	Sampdoria	20	8	2	10	-1	26
11	Fiorentina	21	5	7	9	-12	22
12	Benevento	20	6	4	10	-17	22
13	Udinese	20	5	6	9	-7	21
14	Genoa	20	5	6	9	-8	21
15	Bologna	20	5	5	10	-10	20
16	Spezia	20	4	6	10	-11	18
17	Torino	20	2	9	9	-9	15
18	Cagliari	20	3	6	11	-14	15
19	Parma	20	2	7	11	-24	13
20	Crotone	20	3	3	14	-24	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Roma	11	8	3	0	+15	27
2	Inter	10	8	1	1	+16	25
3	Juventus	9	6	2	1	+10	20
4	Napoli	10	6	1	3	+17	19
5	Milan	10	5	3	2	+5	18
6	Atalanta	10	5	2	3	+10	17
7	Verona	10	5	2	3	+5	17
8	Lazio	10	5	2	3	+2	17
9	Fiorentina	11	4	4	3	+0	16
10	Bologna	10	4	2	4	-1	14
11	Sampdoria	10	4	1	5	+1	13
12	Sassuolo	9	3	4	2	+1	13
13	Genoa	10	3	2	5	-2	11
14	Crotone	10	3	1	6	-7	10
15	Udinese	10	2	3	5	-5	9
16	Cagliari	10	2	3	5	-6	9
17	Benevento	10	2	3	5	-9	9
18	Parma	10	1	4	5	-12	7
19	Torino	10	0	6	4	-5	6
20	Spezia	10	1	3	6	-9	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	10	9	1	0	+13	28
2	Inter	11	6	4	1	+12	22
3	Lazio	10	6	2	2	+6	20
4	Juventus	10	5	4	1	+11	19
5	Atalanta	10	5	4	1	+9	19
6	Napoli	9	6	0	3	+7	18
7	Sassuolo	11	5	3	3	+2	18
8	Verona	10	3	4	3	+0	13
9	Sampdoria	10	4	1	5	-2	13
10	Roma	9	4	1	4	-4	13
11	Benevento	10	4	1	5	-8	13
12	Spezia	10	3	3	4	-2	12
13	Udinese	10	3	3	4	-2	12
14	Genoa	10	2	4	4	-6	10
15	Torino	10	2	3	5	-4	9
16	Cagliari	10	1	3	6	-8	6
17	Bologna	10	1	3	6	-9	6
18	Parma	10	1	3	6	-12	6
19	Fiorentina	10	1	3	6	-12	6
20	Crotone	10	0	2	8	-17	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.