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Serie B
Referee: D Minelli
Spezia
T U S U U
0–0
Full-time
Cosenza
S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spezia Cosenza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
This season — Serie B · 9/10 matches
Win Ø 26%
11%
40%
Points per game
0,8
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
56%
60%
Both score Ø 47%
44%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
0,9
1,4
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
19 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Spezia 17. · Cosenza 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 10 7 2 1 +12 23
2 Catanzaro 10 6 3 1 +5 21
3 Palermo 9 6 2 1 +10 20
4 Venezia 10 5 3 2 +5 18
5 Cremonese 11 4 4 3 +2 16
6 Modena 10 4 4 2 +1 16
7 Cosenza 10 4 2 4 +3 14
8 Como 9 4 2 3 +0 14
9 Sudtirol 9 3 4 2 +3 13
10 Brescia 8 3 4 1 +3 13
11 Cittadella 11 3 4 4 -4 13
12 Ascoli 10 3 3 4 +0 12
13 Pisa 10 3 3 4 -1 12
14 Bari 10 1 8 1 +0 11
15 Reggiana 10 2 5 3 -4 11
16 Sampdoria 10 2 3 5 -3 9
17 Spezia 9 1 4 4 -5 7
18 Ternana 10 1 3 6 -4 6
19 FeralpiSalo 10 1 2 7 -14 5
20 Lecco 8 1 1 6 -9 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Spezia Cosenza
Mirko Antonucci 🟨
3′
9′
🟨 Andrea Meroni
Salvatore Elia 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–0
F. Cassata 🔁
↦ F. Bandinelli
46′
46′
🔁 T. D'Orazio
↦ A. Fontanarosa
55′
🔁 S. Mazzocchi
↦ M. Viviani
56′
🔁 G. Tutino
↦ L. Canotto
R. Kouda 🔁
↦ S. Elia
63′
L. Moro 🔁
↦ F. Esposito
63′
66′
🟨 Gennaro Tutino
69′
🟨 Tommaso D'Orazio
72′
🟨 Michael Venturi
73′
🔁 A. Florenzi
↦ M. Marras
77′
🔁 G. Calò
↦ M. Praszelik
T. Cipot 🔁
↦ M. Antonucci
79′
Iva Gelashvili 🟨
90′
P. Candelari 🔁
↦ S. Żurkowski
91′
92′
🟨 Idriz Voca
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Spezia

3-4-1-2
69 B. Drągowski G
27 K. Amian D
33 I. Gelashvili D
5 L. Serpe D
7 S. Elia M
10 S. Esposito M
25 F. Bandinelli M
13 A. Reca M
17 S. Żurkowski F
48 M. Antonucci F
9 F. Esposito F
Bench (12)
29 F. Cassata
80 R. Kouda
24 L. Moro
11 T. Cipot
36 P. Candelari
40 P. Zovko
19 R. Krollis
15 N. Pietra
4 João Moutinho
55 P. Hristov
21 G. Corradini
1 J. Zoet

Coach: M. Alvini

Cosenza

4-2-3-1
1 A. Micai G
27 P. Martino D
13 A. Meroni D
23 M. Venturi D
6 A. Fontanarosa D
26 M. Praszelik M
24 M. Viviani M
7 M. Marras M
42 I. Voca M
31 L. Canotto M
10 F. Forte F
Bench (12)
11 T. D'Orazio
30 S. Mazzocchi
9 G. Tutino
34 A. Florenzi
14 G. Calò
3 A. Rispoli
2 F. Sgarbi
77 L. Marson
20 A. Arioli
19 V. Crespi
98 F. Zuccon
21 M. Zilli

Coach: F. Caserta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,91
U ✓
3,40
B
4,09
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,07
U2,5 ✓
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Minelli · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.