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Coppa Italia

Referee: P Tremolada

Torino

U T S T U

1–0

Full-time

Carrarese

T U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Torino Carrarese

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

72% Possession 28%

11 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 3

0 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 14

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fiorentina	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Monza	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Ascoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Parma	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Venezia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Arezzo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Benevento	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Catanzaro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Sudtirol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Vicenza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Catania	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Modena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Padova	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Ravenna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Potenza	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Union Brescia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Avellino	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	+/−	P
1	Fiorentina	1	1	0	+3	3
2	Monza	1	1	0	+3	3
3	Benevento	1	1	0	+2	3
4	Ascoli	1	1	0	+2	3
5	Parma	1	1	0	+2	3
6	Arezzo	1	1	0	+2	3
7	Venezia	1	1	0	+1	3
8	Udinese	1	1	0	+1	3
9	Cagliari	1	1	0	+1	3
10	Catanzaro	1	0	1	+0	1
11	Vicenza	1	0	1	+0	1

#	Team	K	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sudtirol	1	1	0	+0	1
2	Catania	2	1	1	-2	1
3	Modena	1	0	1	-1	0
4	Padova	1	0	1	-1	0
5	Arezzo	1	0	1	-1	0
6	Ravenna	1	0	1	-2	0
7	Potenza	1	0	1	-2	0
8	Union Brescia	1	0	1	-2	0
9	Benevento	1	0	1	-3	0
10	Avellino	1	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.