2. Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Osnabruck
Magdeburg
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–2
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Braunschweig
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +4 | +2.5 | 3 |
| 2 |
Nurnberg
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | +0.3 | 3 |
| 3 |
Cottbus
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | -1.7 | 3 |
| 4 |
Heidenheim
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | +0.7 | 3 |
| 5 |
Karlsruhe
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | +0.2 | 3 |
| 6 |
Hertha
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | -0.4 | 3 |
| 7 |
Bochum
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | +0.1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Holstein Kiel
|
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +0 | +0.2 | 2 |
| 9 |
St Pauli
|
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +0 | +0.4 | 2 |
| 10 |
Darmstadt
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | -0.7 | 1 |
| 11 |
Greuther Furth
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | +0.1 | 1 |
| 12 |
Wolfsburg
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | +0.4 | 1 |
| 13 |
Kaiserslautern
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | -0.4 | 1 |
| 14 |
Osnabruck
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -0.7 | 0 |
| 15 |
Bielefeld
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -0.2 | 0 |
| 16 |
Hannover
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | +1.7 | 0 |
| 17 |
Dresden
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | -0.3 | 0 |
| 18 |
Magdeburg
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | -2.2 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
J. Krumrey
G
R. Fabinski
D
J. Muller
D
N. Wiemann
D
P. Kammerbauer
M
F. Wagner
M
B. Jacobsen
M
T. Lesueur
M
D. Kopacz
F
R. Meissner
F
I. Badjie
F
Coach: Timo Schultz
D. Reimann
G
P. Nadjombe
D
T. Muller
D
A. Garcia MacNulty
D
A. Nollenberger
D
F. Michel
M
L. Hyrylainen
M
L. Mergner
M
E. Iyoha
F
M. Zukowski
F
B. Atik
F
Coach: Petrik Sander
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Heidenheim
Osnabruck
Osnabruck
Freiburg
Osnabruck
Hertha
St Pauli
Osnabruck
Osnabruck
Schalke 04
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.