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Championship
Referee: Adam Herczeg
Bolton
T U S T T
2–1
Full-time
Preston
T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bolton Preston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,8
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
2,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,10 xG 1,12
55% Possession 45%
15 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 2
3 Offside 7
12 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

9. Feb -19 Bolton – Preston 1–2 1. Sep -18 Preston – Bolton 2–2 3. Mar -18 Bolton – Preston 1–3 17. Nov -17 Preston – Bolton 0–0 12. Mar -16 Bolton – Preston 1–2

Match report

Bolton Preston
13′
🟨 Ali McCann
1–0 S. Dalby ⚽
14′
2–0 T. Gale ⚽
J. McAtee
25′
27′
🟨 Jordan Thompson
42′
🟨 Pol Valentín
Half-time 2–0
Josh Sheehan 🟨
48′
64′
🔁 O. Offiah
↦ P. Valentin
64′
🔁 L. Leroy
↦ J. Thompson
64′
🔁 J. Erabi
↦ C. Lang
S. Iling Junior 🔁
↦ G. Larrazabal
75′
R. Hardie 🔁
↦ J. McAtee
75′
79′
🔁 A. Vukcevic
↦ A. Hughes
79′
🔁 T. Small
↦ D. Burgzorg
E. Toal 🔁
↦ M. Conway
82′
L. Brunt 🔁
↦ L. Stephenson
85′
K. Dong 🔁
↦ T. Gale
85′
86′
⚽ J. Erabi 2–1
A. Vukcevic
Chris Forino 🟨
88′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Bolton

4-2-3-1
1 J. Bonham G
27 L. Stephenson D
3 C. Forino-Joseph D
14 A. Famewo D
25 M. Conway D
8 J. Sheehan M
21 E. Erhahon M
22 G. Larrazabal M
45 J. McAtee M
11 T. Gale M
10 S. Dalby F
Bench (9)
23 D. Harrington
6 B. Davies
5 L. Brunt
29 C. Christie
18 E. Toal
12 D. Watson
16 S. Iling Junior
39 R. Hardie
7 K. Dong

Coach: Steven Schumacher

Preston

4-2-3-1
1 D. Iversen G
2 P. Valentin D
14 J. Storey D
6 L. Lindsay D
16 A. Hughes D
8 A. McCann M
15 J. Thompson M
7 A. Devine M
10 C. Lang M
37 D. Burgzorg M
28 M. Osmajic F
Bench (9)
21 L. Nicholls
3 A. Vukcevic
24 O. Offiah
11 T. Small
32 E. Nolan
23 A. Moran
27 L. Leroy
9 J. Erabi
30 G. Gryba

Coach: Paul Heckingbottom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,19
🔒
U
3,37
🔒
B
3,21
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,93
🔒
U2,5
1,82
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Adam Herczeg · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.