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Primeira Liga

Referee: Joao Antonio Ferreira Goncalves

Academico Viseu

U S S U U

0–1

Full-time

Santa Clara

S U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Academico Viseu Santa Clara

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Primeira Liga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

4,0

Scored

2,0

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,58 xG 1,27

60% Possession 40%

10 Shots 8

1 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 2

1 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Academico Viseu 10. · Santa Clara 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.4	4
2	Porto	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.0	3
3	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.5	3
4	Maritimo	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.7	3
5	Arouca	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.8	3
6	Estrela	2	0	2	0	+0	-2.1	2
7	Santa Clara	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.5	1
8	Nacional	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
9	Benfica	1	0	1	0	+0	+2.4	1
10	Academico Viseu	1	0	1	0	+0	-2.4	1
11	Moreirense	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
12	Sp Braga	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
13	Estoril	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
14	Famalicao	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
15	Alverca	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.4	1
16	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.5	0
17	Casa Pia	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.7	0
18	Guimaraes	2	0	0	2	-2	+1.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Porto	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.0	3
2	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.1	3
3	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.5	3
4	Maritimo	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.7	3
5	Santa Clara	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.5	1
6	Benfica	1	0	1	0	+0	+2.4	1
7	Moreirense	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
8	Estrela	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.5	1
9	Alverca	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
10	Estoril	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
11	Guimaraes	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Arouca	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.8	3
2	Nacional	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
3	Academico Viseu	1	0	1	0	+0	-2.4	1
4	Sp Braga	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
5	Sp Lisbon	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.5	1
6	Estrela	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
7	Famalicao	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
8	Guimaraes	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
9	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.5	0
10	Casa Pia	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.7	0
11	Alverca	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.0	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.