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Ligue 1

Referee: F Letexier

Marseille

T T T U T

1–0

Full-time

Lyon

T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Marseille Lyon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,2

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 50%

54%

46%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

54%

62%

Both score Ø 62%

54%

69%

Average goals

2,5

2,9

Scored

1,7

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%

6 Shots 11

2 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 4

2 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Marseille 6. · Lyon 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	14	12	2	0	+29	38
2	Lens	14	10	3	1	+15	33
3	Rennes	14	8	4	2	+16	28
4	Monaco	14	8	3	3	+9	27
5	Lorient	14	8	3	3	+5	27
6	Marseille	13	7	3	3	+11	24
7	Lille	14	7	2	5	+3	23
8	Lyon	13	6	2	5	+6	20
9	Nice	14	5	4	5	-2	19
10	Clermont	14	5	4	5	-3	19
11	Reims	14	3	7	4	-5	16
12	Toulouse	14	4	4	6	-6	16
13	Troyes	14	3	5	6	-4	14
14	Montpellier	14	4	1	9	-5	13
15	Auxerre	14	3	4	7	-12	13
16	Nantes	14	2	6	6	-7	12
17	Ajaccio	14	3	2	9	-10	11
18	Strasbourg	14	1	7	6	-9	10
19	Brest	14	2	4	8	-13	10
20	Angers	14	2	2	10	-18	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lens	7	7	0	0	+11	21
2	Rennes	7	6	0	1	+14	18
3	Lyon	7	5	1	1	+10	16
4	Paris SG	6	5	1	0	+7	16
5	Marseille	7	4	1	2	+4	13
6	Lorient	7	4	1	2	+3	13
7	Lille	7	4	1	2	-1	13
8	Toulouse	8	3	3	2	-1	12
9	Monaco	7	3	2	2	+1	11
10	Clermont	7	3	1	3	-5	10
11	Nantes	6	2	3	1	+2	9
12	Montpellier	7	3	0	4	-2	9
13	Auxerre	7	2	3	2	-2	9
14	Reims	7	2	3	2	-3	9
15	Troyes	7	1	5	1	-1	8
16	Nice	7	2	2	3	-3	8
17	Strasbourg	7	0	4	3	-6	4
18	Ajaccio	7	1	1	5	-7	4
19	Angers	8	1	1	6	-9	4
20	Brest	6	0	3	3	-9	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	8	7	1	0	+22	22
2	Monaco	7	5	1	1	+8	16
3	Lorient	7	4	2	1	+2	14
4	Lens	7	3	3	1	+4	12
5	Marseille	6	3	2	1	+7	11
6	Nice	7	3	2	2	+1	11
7	Lille	7	3	1	3	+4	10
8	Rennes	7	2	4	1	+2	10
9	Clermont	7	2	3	2	+2	9
10	Reims	7	1	4	2	-2	7
11	Ajaccio	7	2	1	4	-3	7
12	Brest	8	2	1	5	-4	7
13	Troyes	7	2	0	5	-3	6
14	Strasbourg	7	1	3	3	-3	6
15	Montpellier	7	1	1	5	-3	4
16	Lyon	6	1	1	4	-4	4
17	Toulouse	6	1	1	4	-5	4
18	Angers	6	1	1	4	-9	4
19	Auxerre	7	1	1	5	-10	4
20	Nantes	8	0	3	5	-9	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.