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Pro League

Referee: L D'hondt

Genk

S S S T T

1–0

Full-time

Waregem

U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Waregem

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

2,2

3,3

Scored

1,3

2,0

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,7

This season — Pro League · 16/20 matches

Win Ø 57%

88%

25%

Points per game

2,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

69%

55%

Both score Ø 56%

56%

55%

Average goals

3,3

3,5

Scored

2,6

1,4

Conceded

0,7

2,1

Goal diff per game

+1,9

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%

9 Shots 7

3 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

1 Corners 5

0 Offside 5

17 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genk 2. · Waregem 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	17	14	2	1	+22	44
2	Genk	16	14	1	1	+31	43
3	Antwerp	17	12	2	3	+16	38
4	St Truiden	21	9	6	6	+3	33
5	Club Brugge	16	10	2	4	+15	32
6	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	21	9	5	7	+9	32
7	Gent	16	9	2	5	+13	29
8	Anderlecht	19	8	2	9	+6	26
9	Cercle Brugge	16	7	5	4	+4	26
10	Charleroi	19	8	1	10	-6	25
11	Standard	17	7	3	7	+0	24
12	Westerlo	17	6	4	7	+0	22
13	Mechelen	20	6	4	10	-8	22
14	Eupen	22	7	1	14	-17	22
15	Kortrijk	20	6	3	11	-16	21
16	Waregem	20	5	4	11	-15	19
17	Oostende	22	5	3	14	-23	18
18	Seraing	20	4	3	13	-17	15
19	Seraing United	20	4	3	13	-17	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	9	8	1	0	+17	25
2	Antwerp	9	8	1	0	+15	25
3	St. Gilloise	7	6	1	0	+9	19
4	Mechelen	12	5	3	4	+2	18
5	Club Brugge	8	5	2	1	+11	17
6	Gent	7	5	1	1	+8	16
7	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	10	5	1	4	+6	16
8	Anderlecht	11	5	1	5	+4	16
9	Cercle Brugge	8	4	3	1	+7	15
10	Waregem	11	4	1	6	-9	13
11	Westerlo	9	3	3	3	+6	12
12	Oostende	10	4	0	6	-6	12
13	St Truiden	9	3	2	4	-1	11
14	Standard	8	3	1	4	+0	10
15	Charleroi	9	3	1	5	-3	10
16	Eupen	11	3	0	8	-9	9
17	Kortrijk	10	2	2	6	-12	8
18	Seraing	10	0	2	8	-12	2
19	Seraing United	10	0	2	8	-12	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	10	8	1	1	+13	25
2	St Truiden	12	6	4	2	+4	22
3	Genk	7	6	0	1	+14	18
4	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	11	4	4	3	+3	16
5	Club Brugge	8	5	0	3	+4	15
6	Charleroi	10	5	0	5	-3	15
7	Standard	9	4	2	3	+0	14
8	Gent	9	4	1	4	+5	13
9	Antwerp	8	4	1	3	+1	13
10	Kortrijk	10	4	1	5	-4	13
11	Seraing	10	4	1	5	-5	13
12	Seraing United	10	4	1	5	-5	13
13	Eupen	11	4	1	6	-8	13
14	Cercle Brugge	8	3	2	3	-3	11
15	Anderlecht	8	3	1	4	+2	10
16	Westerlo	8	3	1	4	-6	10
17	Waregem	9	1	3	5	-6	6
18	Oostende	12	1	3	8	-17	6
19	Mechelen	8	1	1	6	-10	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.