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Pro League
Referee: J Boterberg
Mechelen
S S U T S
2–1
Full-time
Oostende
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Oostende
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,8
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
0,8
2,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,5
This season — Pro League · 19/21 matches
Win Ø 25%
26%
24%
Points per game
1,0
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
68%
71%
Both score Ø 63%
58%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,2
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
1,9
2,1
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

58% Possession 42%
16 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
10 Corners 1
5 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Mechelen 15. · Oostende 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 17 14 2 1 +22 44
2 Genk 16 14 1 1 +31 43
3 Antwerp 17 12 2 3 +16 38
4 Club Brugge 16 10 2 4 +15 32
5 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 21 9 5 7 +9 32
6 St Truiden 20 8 6 6 +1 30
7 Gent 16 9 2 5 +13 29
8 Anderlecht 19 8 2 9 +6 26
9 Cercle Brugge 16 7 5 4 +4 26
10 Charleroi 19 8 1 10 -6 25
11 Standard 17 7 3 7 +0 24
12 Westerlo 17 6 4 7 +0 22
13 Eupen 21 7 1 13 -15 22
14 Kortrijk 20 6 3 11 -16 21
15 Mechelen 19 5 4 10 -9 19
16 Waregem 20 5 4 11 -15 19
17 Oostende 21 5 3 13 -22 18
18 Seraing 20 4 3 13 -17 15
19 Seraing United 20 4 3 13 -17 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen Oostende
Geoffry Hairemans ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
15′
30′
🟨 Matej Rodin
Rob Schoofs ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
35′
1–0 Alessio Da Cruz
40′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 B. Capon
↦ Z. Medley
David Bates 🟨
50′
J. Van Hecke 🔁
↦ Alessio Da Cruz
59′
K. Mrabti 🔁
↦ Y. Malede
59′
62′
🔁 P. Dwomoh
↦ A. Amade
63′
N. Bätzner 1–1
T. Sakamoto
2–1 D. Bates
G. Hairemans
70′
F. Soelle Soelle 🔁
↦ G. Hairemans
73′
73′
🔁 S. Wylin
↦ T. Ndicka
73′
🔁 A. Musayev
↦ D. Atanga
76′
🟥 Adedapo Awokoya-Mebude
76′
ℹ️ Adedapo Awokoya-Mebude
VAR: Card upgrade
82′
🔁 M. Berte
↦ N. Bätzner
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Mechelen

4-3-3
1 G. Coucke G
5 S. Walsh D
27 D. Bates D
14 D. Lavalée D
18 A. Van Hoorenbeeck D
66 B. Verstraete M
22 Alessio Da Cruz M
16 R. Schoofs M
7 G. Hairemans F
10 Y. Malede F
11 N. Storm F
Bench (7)
6 J. Van Hecke
19 K. Mrabti
28 F. Soelle Soelle
35 B. Bafdili
15 Y. Thoelen
34 N. Mukau
20 G. Engvall

Coach: S. Defour

Oostende

3-4-2-1
1 D. Phillips G
33 A. Tanghe D
88 M. Rodin D
3 Z. Medley D
18 T. Sakamoto M
10 Kenny Rocha Santos M
23 A. Amade M
7 T. Ndicka M
77 D. Atanga F
34 N. Bätzner F
14 D. Awokoya-Mebude F
Bench (7)
27 B. Capon
80 P. Dwomoh
36 S. Wylin
20 A. Musayev
90 M. Berte
11 I. Boonen
28 G. Hubert

Coach: D. Thalhammer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,74
U
3,97
B
4,26
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,63
U2,5
2,23
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Boterberg · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.