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Premiership
Referee: J Beaton
ST Johnstone
S T T T T
2–4
Full-time
Livingston
T T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

ST Johnstone Livingston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,5
This season — Premiership · 21/20 matches
Win Ø 37%
33%
40%
Points per game
1,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
62%
45%
Both score Ø 54%
57%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,4
Scored
1,1
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

55% Possession 45%
15 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 3
4 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ST Johnstone 8. · Livingston 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 21 19 1 1 +48 58
2 Rangers 21 15 4 2 +28 49
3 Hearts 21 10 5 6 +6 35
4 Aberdeen 21 9 2 10 +3 29
5 Livingston 20 8 4 8 -8 28
6 St Mirren 20 7 6 7 -5 27
7 Hibernian 21 8 2 11 -8 26
8 ST Johnstone 21 7 3 11 -8 24
9 Kilmarnock 21 5 5 11 -18 20
10 Motherwell 20 5 4 11 -6 19
11 Dundee United 20 5 4 11 -12 19
12 Ross County 21 4 4 13 -20 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

ST Johnstone Livingston
8′
S. Kelly 0–1
S. Bradley
15′
S. Kelly 0–2
N. Devlin
39′
J. Penrice 0–3
B. Anderson
Half-time 0–3
J. Murphy 🔁
↦ D. Wotherspoon
46′
C. MacPherson 🔁
↦ A. Mitchell
46′
C. McLennan 🔁
↦ G. Carey
46′
D. Phillips 🔁
↦ R. McGowan
50′
64′
🟨 Stephane Omeonga
1–3 J. Murphy
N. Clark
65′
2–3 C. McLennan
67′
Liam Gordon 🟨
69′
70′
🔁 S. Pittman
↦ A. Shinnie
70′
🔁 J. Holt
↦ S. Oméonga
T. Bair 🔁
↦ N. Clark
75′
76′
🔁 K. Guthrie
↦ B. Anderson
81′
J. Penrice 2–4
S. Kelly
83′
🔁 A. Obileye
↦ S. Kelly
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

ST Johnstone

3-4-1-2
1 R. Matthews G
5 A. Mitchell D
6 L. Gordon D
4 A. Considine D
14 D. Wright M
23 G. Carey M
13 R. McGowan M
19 A. Montgomery M
10 D. Wotherspoon F
37 N. Clark F
7 S. May F
Bench (9)
29 J. Murphy
18 C. MacPherson
26 C. McLennan
34 D. Phillips
17 T. Bair
11 M. O'Halloran
2 J. Brown
21 A. Crawford
12 E. Parish

Coach: C. Davidson

Livingston

4-3-3
1 S. George G
2 N. Devlin D
5 J. Fitzwater D
15 M. Boyes D
29 J. Penrice D
22 A. Shinnie M
24 S. Kelly M
33 S. Oméonga M
16 S. Bradley F
9 B. Anderson F
17 S. Kelly F
Bench (9)
8 S. Pittman
18 J. Holt
28 K. Guthrie
6 A. Obileye
7 D. Bahamboula
11 C. Montaño
32 J. Hamilton
3 J. Longridge
10 Esmaël Gonçalves

Coach: D. Martindale

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,38
U
3,11
B ✓
3,13
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,30
U2,5
1,60
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Beaton · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.