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Coupe de France
Referee: H Ben El Hadj
Thaon
S U U
0–0
Full-time
Nantes
U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Thaon Nantes
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,3
1,7
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
0,7
0,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
This season — Coupe de France · 3/1 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,7
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
0,7
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

27% Possession 73%
3 Shots 14
0 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
1 Corners 8
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Thaon 32. · Nantes 65. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris FC 4 4 0 0 +10 12
2 Grenoble 4 4 0 0 +7 12
3 Grasse 4 3 1 0 +4 10
4 Annecy 3 3 0 0 +13 9
5 Vierzon FC 3 3 0 0 +9 9
6 Belfort 3 3 0 0 +6 9
7 Pau FC 3 3 0 0 +5 9
8 Le Puy Foot 3 3 0 0 +4 9
9 Stade Plabennec 4 3 0 1 +3 9
10 Dunkerque 3 2 1 0 +7 7
11 Les Herbiers 4 2 1 1 +5 7
12 Niort 3 2 1 0 +4 7
13 Strasbourg Koenigshoffen 4 2 1 1 +1 7
14 Chambéry 4 2 1 1 +0 7
15 Évreux 27 4 2 1 1 -2 7
16 Reims 2 2 0 0 +10 6
17 Toulouse 2 2 0 0 +8 6
18 Nimes 3 2 0 1 +6 6
19 Granville 3 2 0 1 +5 6
20 Lyon 2 2 0 0 +4 6
21 Bordeaux 3 2 0 1 +3 6
22 Bastia 4 1 3 0 +3 6
23 Marseille 2 2 0 0 +3 6
24 Chateauroux 3 2 0 1 +2 6
25 Metz 3 2 0 1 +1 6
26 Rodez 4 1 3 0 +1 6
27 Avranches 3 2 0 1 +1 6
28 Avoine OCC 3 2 0 1 +1 6
29 Olympique St Quentin 3 2 0 1 +0 6
30 La Châtaigneraie 3 2 0 1 -2 6
31 Amiens 3 1 2 0 +10 5
32 Thaon 3 1 2 0 +3 5
33 Pays de Cassel 3 1 2 0 +1 5
34 Chamalières 4 1 2 1 -1 5
35 Lorient 2 1 1 0 +6 4
36 Sochaux 2 1 1 0 +3 4
37 Caen 2 1 1 0 +3 4
38 Reims Sainte-Anne 2 1 1 0 +3 4
39 Guingamp 2 1 1 0 +2 4
40 Saint-Estève Perpignan 2 1 1 0 +2 4
41 Limonest 2 1 1 0 +2 4
42 Bellevue Nantes 2 1 1 0 +2 4
43 Aubagne 3 1 1 1 +1 4
44 Valenciennes 3 1 1 1 +1 4
45 Jura Sud Foot 3 1 1 1 +1 4
46 Reipertswiller 2 1 1 0 +1 4
47 Drancy 2 1 1 0 +1 4
48 Bergerac 2 1 1 0 +1 4
49 Angers 2 1 1 0 +1 4
50 La Tamponnaise 3 1 1 1 +0 4
51 Wasquehal 3 1 1 1 -1 4
52 Linas-Montlhery 3 1 1 1 -1 4
53 Stade Pontivy 3 1 1 1 -2 4
54 Villerupt Thil 3 1 1 1 -3 4
55 Loon-Plage 3 1 1 1 -4 4
56 Gobelins 2 1 0 1 +4 3
57 Villefranche 2 1 0 1 +3 3
58 Epinal 2 1 0 1 +3 3
59 Louhans-Cuiseaux 2 1 0 1 +2 3
60 Rumilly Vallières 2 1 0 1 +2 3
61 Paris SG 1 1 0 0 +2 3
62 Lille 1 1 0 0 +2 3
63 Brest 1 1 0 0 +2 3
64 Lens 1 1 0 0 +2 3
65 Nantes 1 1 0 0 +2 3
66 Thiers 2 1 0 1 +1 3
67 Châtellerault 2 1 0 1 +1 3
68 Olympique Marcquois 2 1 0 1 +1 3
69 Lyon Duchere 2 1 0 1 +0 3
70 Colomiers 2 1 0 1 +0 3
71 Union Cosnoise 2 1 0 1 +0 3
72 Rennes 2 1 0 1 +0 3
73 Haguenau 2 1 0 1 +0 3
74 Onet-le-Château 2 1 0 1 +0 3
75 Roche Saint-Genest 2 1 0 1 +0 3
76 Bourges Foot 18 3 0 3 0 +0 3
77 Vire 3 1 0 2 -1 3
78 Boé Bon Encontre 2 1 0 1 -1 3
79 Ajaccio 2 1 0 1 -1 3
80 Marnaval 2 1 0 1 -1 3
81 Mâcon 2 1 0 1 -2 3
82 Feignies-Aulnoye 2 1 0 1 -2 3
83 Stade Béthunois 2 1 0 1 -3 3
84 Marcoussis Nozay 2 1 0 1 -5 3
85 Aiglon 2 1 0 1 -9 3
86 Alençon 2 0 2 0 +0 2
87 Oissel 2 0 2 0 +0 2
88 St-Pryvé St-Hilaire 2 0 2 0 +0 2
89 Plouvorn 2 0 2 0 +0 2
90 Hyères 3 0 2 1 -2 2
91 Vannes 3 0 2 1 -2 2
92 Lannion 3 0 2 1 -6 2
93 Le Havre 1 0 1 0 +0 1
94 Monaco 1 0 1 0 +0 1
95 Auxerre 1 0 1 0 +0 1
96 Saint-Malo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
97 Olympique d'Alès 1 0 1 0 +0 1
98 Le Mans 1 0 1 0 +0 1
99 Alberes Argelès 1 0 1 0 +0 1
100 Red Star 1 0 1 0 +0 1
101 Angoulême 1 0 1 0 +0 1
102 Poissy 1 0 1 0 +0 1
103 Laval 1 0 1 0 +0 1
104 Dijon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
105 Toulon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
106 Quevilly Rouen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
107 Concarneau 1 0 1 0 +0 1
108 Bourgoin-Jallieu 1 0 1 0 +0 1
109 Gueugnon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
110 Châteaubriant 1 0 1 0 +0 1
111 Fleury 91 1 0 1 0 +0 1
112 AC Paris 15 1 0 1 0 +0 1
113 Chambly Thelle FC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
114 Le Geldar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
115 Etoile de Morne-à-l'Eau 1 0 1 0 +0 1
116 Sporting Baie-Mahault 1 0 1 0 +0 1
117 St Etienne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
118 Strasbourg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
119 Prix-lès-Mézières 1 0 1 0 +0 1
120 Vitré 1 0 1 0 +0 1
121 Saint-Apollinaire 1 0 1 0 +0 1
122 Clermont 1 0 1 0 +0 1
123 Merpins 1 0 1 0 +0 1
124 Sablé 1 0 1 0 +0 1
125 Saint-Pierroise 1 0 1 0 +0 1
126 Trélissac 2 0 1 1 -1 1
127 Drapeau Fougères 2 0 1 1 -1 1
128 Orvault SF 2 0 1 1 -1 1
129 Aubervilliers 2 0 1 1 -1 1
130 Ergué-Gaberic 2 0 1 1 -1 1
131 Lège-Cap-Ferret 2 0 1 1 -3 1
132 Grand Santi 2 0 1 1 -3 1
133 Montauban TG 2 0 1 1 -4 1
134 Velay 1 0 0 1 -1 0
135 Nancy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
136 Agde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
137 Le Pays du Valois 1 0 0 1 -1 0
138 Montpellier 1 0 0 1 -1 0
139 Hienghène Sport 1 0 0 1 -1 0
140 Golden Lion 1 0 0 1 -1 0
141 Feurs 1 0 0 1 -1 0
142 Savigneux Montbrison 1 0 0 1 -1 0
143 Biars-Bretenoux 1 0 0 1 -1 0
144 Chaumont 1 0 0 1 -1 0
145 Escaudain 1 0 0 1 -1 0
146 Raon l'Etape 1 0 0 1 -1 0
147 Poitiers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
148 Nice 1 0 0 1 -1 0
149 Gallia Lucciana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
150 Mérignac-Arlac 1 0 0 1 -1 0
151 Jura Dolois 1 0 0 1 -1 0
152 Saint-Priest 1 0 0 1 -1 0
153 Grand-Quevilly 1 0 0 1 -1 0
154 Saint-Grégoire 1 0 0 1 -1 0
155 Éperlecques 1 0 0 1 -1 0
156 Cholet 1 0 0 1 -1 0
157 Chauray 1 0 0 1 -1 0
158 Gandrange 1 0 0 1 -1 0
159 NDC Angers 1 0 0 1 -2 0
160 SA Mérignac 1 0 0 1 -2 0
161 Les Ulis 1 0 0 1 -2 0
162 Vaulx 1 0 0 1 -2 0
163 Villers-lès-Nancy 1 0 0 1 -2 0
164 Saint-Doulchard 1 0 0 1 -2 0
165 Narbonne 1 0 0 1 -2 0
166 Cambrai 1 0 0 1 -2 0
167 Troyes 1 0 0 1 -2 0
168 Andrézieux 1 0 0 1 -2 0
169 Chartres-de-Bretagne 1 0 0 1 -2 0
170 Fréjus St-Raphaël 1 0 0 1 -2 0
171 Cournon 1 0 0 1 -2 0
172 Lescar 1 0 0 1 -2 0
173 Basse Goulaine 1 0 0 1 -2 0
174 Pont Saintte-Maxence 1 0 0 1 -2 0
175 Auray 1 0 0 1 -2 0
176 JA Armentières 1 0 0 1 -2 0
177 Vénissieux 1 0 0 1 -2 0
178 Bondues 1 0 0 1 -2 0
179 Geispolsheim 1 0 0 1 -3 0
180 Illzach Modenheim 1 0 0 1 -3 0
181 Téteghem 1 0 0 1 -3 0
182 Bastia-Borgo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
183 Hombourg-Haut 1 0 0 1 -3 0
184 Salinieres Aigues Mortes 1 0 0 1 -3 0
185 Beauvais 1 0 0 1 -3 0
186 Sarre Union 1 0 0 1 -3 0
187 Vénus 1 0 0 1 -3 0
188 Stade Bordelais 1 0 0 1 -3 0
189 Saint-Louis Neuweg 1 0 0 1 -3 0
190 Séné 1 0 0 1 -3 0
191 Heillecourt 1 0 0 1 -4 0
192 Havre Caucriauville 1 0 0 1 -4 0
193 Mareuil 1 0 0 1 -5 0
194 Liancourt Clermont 1 0 0 1 -5 0
195 Tarentaise 1 0 0 1 -5 0
196 Diables Noirs 1 0 0 1 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Thaon Nantes
Half-time 0–0
Bafodé Cissé 🟨
46′
Y.Dufour 🟨
48′
Victor Didierjean 🟨
48′
56′
🟨 Jean-Charles Castelletto
59′
🔁 I. Ganago
↦ F. Mollet
64′
🟨 Andrei Girotto
73′
🔁 F. Centonze
↦ S. Corchia
73′
🔁 L. Doucet
↦ S. Moutoussamy
M. Condi 🔁
↦ Y. Dufour
74′
A. Colin 🔁
↦ L. Petitpain
84′
85′
🟨 Jaouen Hadjam
R. Uhlrich 🔁
↦ S. Lecoanet
91′
121′
⚽ E. Guessand 0–1
1–1 A. Colin ⚽
122′
123′
⚽ J. Hadjam 1–2
2–2 K. Koriche ⚽
124′
125′
⚽ Andrei Girotto 2–3
T. Gazagnes ❌
penalty missed
126′
127′
❌ I. Ganago
penalty missed
V. Didierjean ❌
penalty missed
128′
129′
⚽ Mostafa Mohamed 2–4
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Thaon

5-3-2
1 R. Rodriguez G
7 L. Petitpain D
5 T. Condi D
4 B. Cissé D
3 V. Didierjean D
2 R. Michelutti D
11 S. Lecoanet M
6 T. Gazagnes M
8 K. Koriche M
10 Y. Dufour F
9 M. Comara F
Bench (9)
14 M. Condi
12 A. Colin
15 R. Uhlrich
13 P. Benier
18 Y. Marchal
17 A. Louis
16 A. Parisot
19 G. Dumas
20 A. Leroy

Coach: R. Chouleur

Nantes

4-2-3-1
1 R. Descamps G
2 S. Corchia D
5 J. Castelletto D
3 Andrei Girotto D
4 J. Hadjam D
8 S. Moutoussamy M
6 M. Sissoko M
7 E. Guessand M
10 F. Mollet M
11 M. Coco M
9 Mostafa Mohamed F
Bench (7)
14 I. Ganago
12 F. Centonze
18 L. Doucet
17 Pedro Chirivella
13 M. Diaz
16 A. Lafont
15 N. Zeze

Coach: A. Kombouare

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

H Ben El Hadj · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.