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LaLiga2
Referee: Álvaro Moreno
Lugo
T T S T T
1–2
Full-time
Villarreal B
S U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugo Villarreal B
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,2
2,3
Scored
0,3
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 26%
22%
30%
Points per game
0,9
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
30%
52%
Both score Ø 46%
43%
48%
Average goals
2,0
2,4
Scored
0,8
1,1
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

37% Possession 63%
10 Shots 17
5 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 4
6 Goalkeeper saves 4
1 Corners 9
0 Offside 2
19 Free kicks against 7
5 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lugo 21. · Villarreal B 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Eibar 24 13 7 4 +10 46
2 Las Palmas 24 12 9 3 +14 45
3 Levante 24 10 11 3 +11 41
4 Alaves 24 11 7 6 +5 40
5 Burgos 24 10 9 5 +8 39
6 Granada 24 11 5 8 +10 38
7 Albacete 23 9 9 5 +3 36
8 Leganes 24 9 7 8 +2 34
9 Cartagena 24 9 6 9 +0 33
10 Andorra 23 9 5 9 +6 32
11 Sp Gijon 24 7 10 7 -1 31
12 Huesca 24 7 10 7 -1 31
13 Oviedo 24 8 7 9 -3 31
14 Mirandes 24 7 9 8 -1 30
15 Tenerife 24 7 9 8 -1 30
16 Zaragoza 24 7 8 9 -1 29
17 Villarreal B 23 7 7 9 -4 28
18 Santander 24 6 7 11 -5 25
19 Ponferradina 24 6 7 11 -9 25
20 Malaga 24 4 9 11 -10 21
21 Lugo 23 5 6 12 -11 21
22 Ibiza 24 4 4 16 -22 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

17. Sep -22 Villarreal B – Lugo 3–1

Match report

Lugo Villarreal B
Ángel Baena 🟨
8′
39′
🟨 Álex Millán
Half-time 0–0
Alberto Rodríguez 🟨
47′
48′
ℹ️ Carlos Romero
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Alberto Rodríguez 🟨
52′
Alberto Rodríguez 🟥
52′
54′
🟨 Hugo Pérez
54′
Álex Millán 0–1
Andrés Castrín 🔁
↦ Marc Carbó
55′
64′
🔁 Álex Forés
↦ Álex Millán
64′
🔁 Dani Tasende
↦ Antonio Pacheco
Manu Barreiro 🔁
↦ Sebas Moyano
65′
J. Cuéllar 🔁
↦ Ángel Baena
65′
1–1 J. Cuéllar
Manu Barreiro
66′
67′
Óscar Whalley 2–1
own goal
Josep Señé 🟨
79′
Pablo Clavería 🟨
80′
I. Thiam 🔁
↦ Clavería
83′
M. El Hacen 🔁
↦ Álex Pérez
84′
84′
🔁 N. Iosifov
↦ H. Hassan
91′
🔁 Abraham del Moral
↦ Carlos Romero
91′
🔁 T. Geralnik
↦ Sergio Lozano
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Lugo

4-3-3
13 Óscar Whalley G
15 Miguel Loureiro D
24 Álex Pérez D
21 Alberto Rodríguez D
12 Zé Ricardo D
22 Marc Carbó M
4 Clavería M
8 Josep Señé M
11 Ángel Baena F
16 Chris Ramos F
7 Sebas Moyano F
Bench (10)
27 Andrés Castrín
9 Manu Barreiro
29 J. Cuéllar
32 I. Thiam
18 M. El Hacen
17 N. Lozano
28 Dani Vidal
20 Bruno Pirri
1 P. Sequeira
23 Jordi Calavera

Coach: Fran Justo

Villarreal B

4-4-2
13 Iker Álvarez G
5 Sergio Carreira D
28 Hugo Pérez D
19 Pablo Íñiguez D
18 Carlos Romero D
14 H. Hassan M
16 Ramón Terrats M
8 Carlo Adriano M
21 Sergio Lozano M
20 Antonio Pacheco F
9 Álex Millán F
Bench (8)
17 Álex Forés
3 Dani Tasende
15 N. Iosifov
27 Abraham del Moral
22 T. Geralnik
24 L. Torres
2 Migue Leal
25 Gianni

Coach: Miguel Álvarez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,43
U
2,97
B ✓
3,11
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,48
U2,5
1,52
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Álvaro Moreno · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.