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Süper Lig
Referee: B Pakkan
Alanyaspor
U U S T S
2–2
Full-time
Karagumruk
T S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alanyaspor Karagumruk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
83%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
3,7
5,0
Scored
2,0
2,8
Conceded
1,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
This season — Süper Lig · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 31%
33%
28%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
61%
78%
Both score Ø 70%
61%
78%
Average goals
3,4
4,2
Scored
1,7
2,1
Conceded
1,7
2,1
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%
15 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 2
1 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Alanyaspor 9. · Karagumruk 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Galatasaray 19 14 3 2 +24 45
2 Fenerbahce 18 12 2 4 +23 38
3 Buyuksehyr 19 11 4 4 +10 37
4 Ad. Demirspor 19 9 7 3 +17 34
5 Besiktas 17 9 5 3 +11 32
6 Trabzonspor 18 9 5 4 +1 32
7 Konyaspor 18 6 9 3 +6 27
8 Kayserispor 18 8 2 8 +3 26
9 Alanyaspor 18 6 6 6 -1 24
10 Karagumruk 18 5 6 7 +1 21
11 Giresunspor 19 5 6 8 -10 21
12 Gaziantep 19 4 7 8 -3 19
13 Ankaragücü 18 5 4 9 -6 19
14 Kasimpasa 19 5 4 10 -13 19
15 Antalyaspor 18 5 3 10 -8 18
16 Sivasspor 19 4 6 9 -8 18
17 Hatayspor 18 4 5 9 -18 17
18 İstanbulspor 18 4 3 11 -18 15
19 Ümraniyespor 18 3 5 10 -11 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Alanyaspor Karagumruk
1–0 U. Güneş
6′
Half-time 1–0
Ivan Cavaleiro 🔁
↦ E. Bekiroğlu
53′
59′
F. Borini 1–1
M. Diagne
I. Doumbia 🔁
↦ A. Lusamba
66′
Candeias 🔁
↦ Z. Ferhat
66′
73′
🔁 B. Kapacak
↦ E. Colley
73′
🔁 C. Kazim-Richards
↦ M. Diagne
Wilson Eduardo 🔁
↦ Koka
76′
O. Aydın 🔁
↦ E. Karaca
76′
79′
F. Borini 1–2
2–2 Ivan Cavaleiro
Wilson Eduardo
83′
93′
🟨 Burak Kapacak
94′
🔁 S. Dursun
↦ M. Ozdoev
94′
🔁 A. Bertolacci
↦ F. Borini
94′
🔁 K. Frei
↦ R. Baniya
Jure Balkovec 🟨
95′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Alanyaspor

3-4-2-1
13 R. Rúnarsson G
8 L. Fer D
4 F. Bayır D
29 J. Balkovec D
10 Z. Ferhat M
6 U. Güneş M
97 A. Lusamba M
88 Y. Özdemir M
7 E. Karaca F
11 E. Bekiroğlu F
93 Koka F
Bench (10)
19 Ivan Cavaleiro
98 I. Doumbia
21 Candeias
17 Wilson Eduardo
70 O. Aydın
39 K. Erciyas
99 Y. Karagöz
27 Pedro Pereira
20 F. Aksoy
23 J. Rassoul

Coach: F. Farioli

Karagumruk

4-3-3
1 B. Şen G
4 D. Biraschi D
99 R. Baniya D
5 I. Drešević D
18 L. Mercan D
29 O. Shukurov M
8 M. Ricci M
27 M. Ozdoev M
19 E. Colley F
9 M. Diagne F
16 F. Borini F
Bench (10)
22 B. Kapacak
13 C. Kazim-Richards
54 S. Dursun
91 A. Bertolacci
11 K. Frei
17 S. Onur
89 S. Feghouli
24 L. Nicholas
77 A. Uğur
23 C. Kablan

Coach: A. Pirlo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,89
U ✓
3,96
B
3,62
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,51
U2,5
2,52
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Pakkan · 31 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,39 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.