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Eredivisie

Referee: D Higler

AZ Alkmaar

T S U S S

3–1

Full-time

For Sittard

T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar For Sittard

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,7

This season — Eredivisie · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 44%

63%

25%

Points per game

2,1

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

56%

Both score Ø 66%

69%

63%

Average goals

2,8

3,1

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

1,1

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

50% Possession 50%

16 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 2

0 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 5. · For Sittard 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	17	11	5	1	+25	38
2	PSV Eindhoven	17	11	2	4	+23	35
3	Ajax	17	9	6	2	+27	33
4	Twente	15	10	3	2	+20	33
5	AZ Alkmaar	16	10	3	3	+11	33
6	Sparta Rotterdam	15	9	3	3	+15	30
7	Heerenveen	16	6	6	4	+2	24
8	Utrecht	16	6	5	5	-2	23
9	Nijmegen	17	4	10	3	+5	22
10	Go Ahead Eagles	16	4	7	5	-1	19
11	Excelsior	17	6	1	10	-19	19
12	Waalwijk	16	4	6	6	-4	18
13	For Sittard	16	4	4	8	-9	16
14	Vitesse	17	3	6	8	-14	15
15	Groningen	17	3	3	11	-18	12
16	FC Emmen	17	2	6	9	-18	12
17	Volendam	17	3	3	11	-24	12
18	Cambuur	17	2	3	12	-19	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Twente	9	8	1	0	+21	25
2	PSV Eindhoven	9	7	1	1	+19	22
3	Feyenoord	8	5	3	0	+14	18
4	Sparta Rotterdam	8	6	0	2	+10	18
5	Ajax	8	4	3	1	+19	15
6	Excelsior	8	5	0	3	+0	15
7	Nijmegen	9	2	6	1	+6	12
8	Waalwijk	8	3	3	2	+5	12
9	AZ Alkmaar	7	3	3	1	+2	12
10	Heerenveen	8	3	2	3	+0	11
11	Go Ahead Eagles	9	2	4	3	-1	10
12	Utrecht	7	2	3	2	-1	9
13	FC Emmen	8	1	6	1	-2	9
14	For Sittard	9	2	2	5	-5	8
15	Groningen	8	2	1	5	-6	7
16	Vitesse	8	1	3	4	-11	6
17	Volendam	8	2	0	6	-12	6
18	Cambuur	9	1	0	8	-12	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	9	7	0	2	+9	21
2	Feyenoord	9	6	2	1	+11	20
3	Ajax	9	5	3	1	+8	18
4	Utrecht	9	4	2	3	-1	14
5	PSV Eindhoven	8	4	1	3	+4	13
6	Heerenveen	8	3	4	1	+2	13
7	Sparta Rotterdam	7	3	3	1	+5	12
8	Nijmegen	8	2	4	2	-1	10
9	Go Ahead Eagles	7	2	3	2	+0	9
10	Vitesse	9	2	3	4	-3	9
11	Twente	6	2	2	2	-1	8
12	For Sittard	7	2	2	3	-4	8
13	Cambuur	8	1	3	4	-7	6
14	Waalwijk	8	1	3	4	-9	6
15	Volendam	9	1	3	5	-12	6
16	Groningen	9	1	2	6	-12	5
17	Excelsior	9	1	1	7	-19	4
18	FC Emmen	9	1	0	8	-16	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.