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Serie B
Referee: F Cosso
Brescia
U T T U T
1–3
Full-time
Frosinone
S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brescia Frosinone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
0,3
1,5
Conceded
1,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+1,0
This season — Serie B · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 48%
30%
65%
Points per game
1,3
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
30%
45%
Both score Ø 43%
50%
35%
Average goals
2,4
2,1
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,4
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

56% Possession 44%
7 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 17
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brescia 13. · Frosinone 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Frosinone 20 13 3 4 +18 42
2 Reggina 21 12 3 6 +14 39
3 Genoa 21 11 6 4 +9 39
4 Bari 21 8 9 4 +14 33
5 Sudtirol 21 8 8 5 -1 32
6 Pisa 21 7 9 5 +9 30
7 Parma 21 8 6 7 +3 30
8 Cagliari 21 7 8 6 +2 29
9 Ternana 21 8 5 8 -4 29
10 Modena 21 8 4 9 +1 28
11 Palermo 21 7 7 7 -2 28
12 Ascoli 21 6 8 7 +0 26
13 Brescia 20 6 7 7 -7 25
14 Spal 21 5 9 7 -1 24
15 Benevento 21 5 8 8 -4 23
16 Como 21 5 8 8 -7 23
17 Cittadella 21 5 8 8 -10 23
18 Venezia 21 5 5 11 -7 20
19 Perugia 21 5 5 11 -10 20
20 Cosenza 21 4 6 11 -17 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brescia Frosinone
1–0 Pablo Rodríguez
J. Björkengren
18′
John Björkengren 🟨
26′
Pablo Rodríguez 🟨
32′
37′
L. Moro 1–1
K. Lulić
38′
🟨 Marcus Rohdén
40′
R. Insigne 1–2
Half-time 1–2
48′
🟨 Karlo Lulić
Federico Viviani 🟨
54′
T. van de Looi 🔁
↦ F. Viviani
59′
F. Bianchi 🔁
↦ F. Ayé
59′
61′
🔁 L. Garritano
↦ L. Mazzitelli
62′
🔁 J. Báez
↦ G. Caso
R. Niemeijer 🔁
↦ Pablo Rodríguez
69′
71′
🔁 F. Lucioni
↦ R. Insigne
76′
J. Báez 1–3
F. Pace 🔁
↦ J. Björkengren
77′
Andrea Papetti 🟨
79′
86′
🔁 G. Frabotta
↦ M. Cotali
87′
🔁 M. Bočić
↦ L. Moro
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Brescia

4-3-2-1
1 L. Andrenacci G
2 F. Karačić D
32 A. Papetti D
4 D. Adorni D
3 M. Huard D
25 D. Bisoli M
7 F. Viviani M
23 J. Björkengren M
6 N. Galazzi M
9 Pablo Rodríguez M
11 F. Ayé F
Bench (8)
5 T. van de Looi
24 F. Bianchi
20 R. Niemeijer
30 F. Pace
21 J. Łabojko
12 L. Lezzerini
18 A. Jallow
14 M. Mangraviti

Coach: Pep Clotet

Frosinone

5-3-2
22 S. Turati G
2 A. Oyono D
36 L. Mazzitelli D
23 S. Kalaj D
20 L. Ravanelli D
29 M. Cotali D
7 M. Rohdén M
8 K. Lulić M
10 G. Caso M
94 R. Insigne F
24 L. Moro F
Bench (12)
16 L. Garritano
32 J. Báez
5 F. Lucioni
99 G. Frabotta
19 M. Bočić
27 A. Selvini
31 M. Sampirisi
41 A. Oliveri
44 M. Bruno
25 P. Szymiński
1 L. Loria
30 I. Monterisi

Coach: F. Grosso

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,42
U
2,98
B ✓
2,30
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,37
U2,5
1,56
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Cosso · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.