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Referee: P van Boekel

FC Eindhoven

U S T T

1–0

Full-time

Willem II

S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Eindhoven Willem II

Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches

Win Ø 38%

25%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

75%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

100%

33%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

1,5

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%

17 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 0

6 Blocked shots 4

0 Goalkeeper saves 5

10 Corners 8

2 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 6

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hercules	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	ADO '20	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Sportlust '46	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Staphorst	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Hoek	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	OFC Oostzaan	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Blauw Geel	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	DVS 33 Ermelo	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	De Treffers	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	HV & CV Quick	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Kozakken Boys	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	URK	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Excelsior '31	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Dongen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Spakenburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Rijnvogels	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	TEC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	GVVV Veenendaal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Groene Ster	2	1	0	1	+0	3
20	AFC Amsterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Hsc 21	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	RKAV Volendam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Harkemase Boys	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	GVV Unitas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	DEM	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	VVOG	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	OJC Rosmalen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	ASWH	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Quick Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Gemert	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	OSS '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Excelsior Maassluis	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Dovo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	ACV	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	UNA	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Sparta Nijkerk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	JOS Watergraafsmeer	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Noordwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Barendrecht	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-3	0
44	FC Lisse	1	0	0	1	-3	0
45	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-3	0
46	UDI '19	1	0	0	1	-4	0
47	Ter Leede	1	0	0	1	-4	0
48	Baronie	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	ADO '20	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	OFC Oostzaan	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Hercules	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Blauw Geel	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Staphorst	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	De Treffers	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Rijnvogels	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	TEC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	GVVV Veenendaal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Groene Ster	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	AFC Amsterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Hsc 21	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	GVV Unitas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	OJC Rosmalen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	ASWH	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Quick Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Gemert	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	OSS '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Excelsior Maassluis	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Dovo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	JOS Watergraafsmeer	1	0	0	1	-2	0
25	FC Lisse	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sportlust '46	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Hoek	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	DVS 33 Ermelo	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	HV & CV Quick	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Kozakken Boys	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	URK	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Excelsior '31	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Dongen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Hercules	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Spakenburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Staphorst	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	RKAV Volendam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Harkemase Boys	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	DEM	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	VVOG	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	ACV	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	UNA	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Sparta Nijkerk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Noordwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Barendrecht	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-3	0
22	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-3	0
23	UDI '19	1	0	0	1	-4	0
24	Ter Leede	1	0	0	1	-4	0
25	Baronie	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.