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DBU Pokalen

Referee: J Hansen

Vanløse

S S

1–3

Full-time

Aalborg

U T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vanløse Aalborg

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

3,0

1,2

Conceded

0,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+3,0

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Middelfart	3	3	0	0	+14	9
2	Vejle	3	3	0	0	+10	9
3	Nykobing FC	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Aarhus Fremad	2	2	0	0	+11	6
5	Aarhus	2	2	0	0	+11	6
6	Hørsholm-Usserød	2	2	0	0	+9	6
7	Vendsyssel FF	2	2	0	0	+7	6
8	Ishøj	2	2	0	0	+7	6
9	Sonderjyske	2	2	0	0	+7	6
10	Vanløse	2	2	0	0	+6	6
11	Nordsjaelland	2	2	0	0	+6	6
12	Naestved	3	2	0	1	+5	6
13	Thisted FC	2	2	0	0	+5	6
14	Roskilde	2	2	0	0	+5	6
15	FA 2000	2	2	0	0	+5	6
16	Hobro	2	2	0	0	+5	6
17	FC Helsingor	2	2	0	0	+4	6
18	Fremad Amager	2	2	0	0	+2	6
19	Jammerbugt	2	2	0	0	+2	6
20	BSF	3	2	0	1	+1	6
21	AB Copenhagen	3	2	0	1	+0	6
22	HB Koge	2	1	1	0	+4	4
23	Kerteminde	2	1	1	0	+1	4
24	Brabrand	3	1	1	1	-2	4
25	Ringkøbing	2	1	0	1	+7	3
26	Fredericia	2	1	0	1	+7	3
27	Viborg	1	1	0	0	+7	3
28	Tårnby FF	2	1	0	1	+3	3
29	Silkeborg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
30	Brønshøj	2	1	0	1	+2	3
31	Skive	2	1	0	1	+2	3
32	Silkeborg KFUM	2	1	0	1	+2	3
33	Frem	2	1	0	1	+1	3
34	Karlslunde	2	1	0	1	+1	3
35	Horsens	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	FC Nakskov	2	1	0	1	+0	3
37	Næsby	2	1	0	1	+0	3
38	Kastrup	2	1	0	1	+0	3
39	Hedensted	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Kolding IF	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	Allerød	2	1	0	1	-1	3
42	Culpa	2	1	0	1	-1	3
43	Frederikshavn	2	1	0	1	-2	3
44	Jyllinge	2	1	0	1	-2	3
45	SfB-Oure	2	1	0	1	-2	3
46	Marienlyst	2	1	0	1	-2	3
47	Tuse	2	1	0	1	-4	3
48	Viby	2	1	0	1	-5	3
49	Vatanspor	2	1	0	1	-6	3
50	Tarup-Paarup	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Odder	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Marstal / Rise	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Odense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Varde	2	0	1	1	-2	1
55	SGI	3	0	1	2	-7	1
56	Aabenraa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Klitmøller	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	NB Bornholm	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Mosede	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Hillerød	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	HIK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Dalum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	B 1909	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Munkebo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Hvidovre IF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	FB	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	B 93	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	KFUM Roskilde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	Såby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	Avarta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	KFUM	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	VSK Århus	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	Herlev	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	Vejgaard	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	VRI	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	Lyseng	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	Esbjerg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	Maribo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
79	Lyngby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
80	Kjellerup	1	0	0	1	-3	0
81	Farsø/Ullits	1	0	0	1	-3	0
82	Ringsted	1	0	0	1	-3	0
83	Solrød	1	0	0	1	-3	0
84	ASA Aarhus	1	0	0	1	-3	0
85	BK Union	1	0	0	1	-3	0
86	OKS	1	0	0	1	-4	0
87	Nørresundby	1	0	0	1	-4	0
88	Tune	1	0	0	1	-4	0
89	B 1973 Herlev	1	0	0	1	-4	0
90	Skovshoved	1	0	0	1	-4	0
91	Dragør	1	0	0	1	-5	0
92	LUIF	1	0	0	1	-6	0
93	Give Fremad	1	0	0	1	-7	0
94	Broager	1	0	0	1	-8	0
95	Øster Hornum	1	0	0	1	-8	0
96	Slagelse B&I	2	0	0	2	-9	0
97	AIA-Tranbjerg	1	0	0	1	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hørsholm-Usserød	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	FC Helsingor	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Tuse	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Fremad Amager	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Middelfart	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Næsby	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Hedensted	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Kolding IF	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Allerød	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Culpa	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Frederikshavn	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Jyllinge	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	BSF	2	1	0	1	-4	3
14	Vatanspor	2	1	0	1	-6	3
15	Odder	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Kerteminde	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Nykobing FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Varde	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	SGI	3	0	1	2	-7	1
20	Aabenraa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Klitmøller	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Mosede	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Tårnby FF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Kastrup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Ringkøbing	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	HIK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	B 1909	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Munkebo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Silkeborg KFUM	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Frem	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Hvidovre IF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	FB	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	B 93	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Såby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Avarta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	KFUM	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	VSK Århus	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Herlev	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Vejgaard	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	VRI	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Kjellerup	1	0	0	1	-3	0
42	Farsø/Ullits	1	0	0	1	-3	0
43	Ringsted	1	0	0	1	-3	0
44	Solrød	1	0	0	1	-3	0
45	Marienlyst	1	0	0	1	-3	0
46	SfB-Oure	1	0	0	1	-3	0
47	Naestved	1	0	0	1	-3	0
48	AB Copenhagen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
49	Brabrand	1	0	0	1	-3	0
50	OKS	1	0	0	1	-4	0
51	Nørresundby	1	0	0	1	-4	0
52	Tune	1	0	0	1	-4	0
53	B 1973 Herlev	1	0	0	1	-4	0
54	Brønshøj	1	0	0	1	-4	0
55	Skovshoved	1	0	0	1	-4	0
56	FC Nakskov	1	0	0	1	-4	0
57	Dragør	1	0	0	1	-5	0
58	LUIF	1	0	0	1	-6	0
59	Give Fremad	1	0	0	1	-7	0
60	Viby	1	0	0	1	-7	0
61	Broager	1	0	0	1	-8	0
62	Øster Hornum	1	0	0	1	-8	0
63	Slagelse B&I	2	0	0	2	-9	0
64	AIA-Tranbjerg	1	0	0	1	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vejle	3	3	0	0	+10	9
2	Middelfart	2	2	0	0	+13	6
3	Aarhus Fremad	2	2	0	0	+11	6
4	Aarhus	2	2	0	0	+11	6
5	Naestved	2	2	0	0	+8	6
6	Vendsyssel FF	2	2	0	0	+7	6
7	Ishøj	2	2	0	0	+7	6
8	Sonderjyske	2	2	0	0	+7	6
9	Vanløse	2	2	0	0	+6	6
10	Nordsjaelland	2	2	0	0	+6	6
11	Thisted FC	2	2	0	0	+5	6
12	Roskilde	2	2	0	0	+5	6
13	FA 2000	2	2	0	0	+5	6
14	Hobro	2	2	0	0	+5	6
15	AB Copenhagen	2	2	0	0	+3	6
16	Nykobing FC	2	2	0	0	+2	6
17	Jammerbugt	2	2	0	0	+2	6
18	HB Koge	2	1	1	0	+4	4
19	Brabrand	2	1	1	0	+1	4
20	Ringkøbing	1	1	0	0	+8	3
21	Fredericia	2	1	0	1	+7	3
22	Viborg	1	1	0	0	+7	3
23	Brønshøj	1	1	0	0	+6	3
24	BSF	1	1	0	0	+5	3
25	Tårnby FF	1	1	0	0	+4	3
26	FC Nakskov	1	1	0	0	+4	3
27	Hørsholm-Usserød	1	1	0	0	+4	3
28	Silkeborg KFUM	1	1	0	0	+3	3
29	Silkeborg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
30	Skive	2	1	0	1	+2	3
31	FC Helsingor	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	Frem	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Viby	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	Karlslunde	2	1	0	1	+1	3
35	SfB-Oure	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Kastrup	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Fremad Amager	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Horsens	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Marienlyst	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Kerteminde	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Tarup-Paarup	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Marstal / Rise	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Odense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	NB Bornholm	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Hillerød	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Dalum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	KFUM Roskilde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Lyseng	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Esbjerg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Maribo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Lyngby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	ASA Aarhus	1	0	0	1	-3	0
53	BK Union	1	0	0	1	-3	0
54	Tuse	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vanløse Aalborg

🟨

22′

25′

🟨 S. Otoa

1–0 R. Lytsen ⚽

26′

W. Arnesen 🔁

↦ A. Nielsen

39′

Half-time 1–0

46′

🔁 M. Ramkilde

↦ O. Ross

46′

🔁 I. Fossum

↦ S. Otoa

C. Thorup 🔁

↦ R. Lytsen

64′

W. Hendriksen 🔁

↦ M. Qvarnstrøm

65′

70′

🔁 A. Ementa

↦ L. Prip

D. Dara 🔁

↦ G. Pyne-Cole

74′

75′

⚽ Allan Sousa 1–1

79′

🔁 Pedro Ferreira

↦ J. Pedersen

90′

🔁 L. Andersen

↦ Y. Bakiz

97′

🟨 M. Hojholt

97′

🟨 P. Ferreira

99′

🔁 J. Ahlmann

↦ A. Poulsen

L. Krogh 🟨

103′

⚽ M. Ramkilde 1–2

L. Andersen

L. Krogh 🟨

112′

L. Krogh 🟥

112′

J. Dahl Bagger 🔁

↦ D. Nielsen

112′

A. Gaub-Jakobsen 🔁

↦ S. Pedersen

112′

113′

⚽ Allan Sousa 1–3

Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Vanløse

1 L. Krogh

3 N. Johansen

6 D. Nielsen

2 M. Højland

25 M. Qvarnstrøm

10 K. El Haddouchi

21 K. Lauritzen

14 S. Pedersen

17 G. Pyne-Cole

12 A. Nielsen

9 R. Lytsen

Bench (9)

15 W. Arnesen

5 C. Thorup

19 W. Hendriksen

18 D. Dara

23 J. Dahl Bagger

27 A. Gaub-Jakobsen

26 M. Larsen

22 F. Skov Christensen

29 A. Østergaard

Coach: J. Svensson

Aalborg

T. Sander

2 K. Pallesen

A. Poulsen

32 K. Ludewig

S. Otoa

28 J. Pedersen

M. Højholt

7 Allan Sousa

Y. Bakiz

18 L. Prip

O. Ross

Bench (8)

29 M. Ramkilde

8 I. Fossum

19 A. Ementa

6 Pedro Ferreira

10 L. Andersen

3 J. Ahlmann

41 O. Linnér

33 E. Nymann

Coach: E. Hamrén

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5 ✓

–

🔒

U3,5

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

31. Aug POK 4 years ago

2. Aug POK 4 years ago

Referee

J Hansen · 45 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Vanløse

Aalborg

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee