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DBU Pokalen
Referee: S Rasmussen
Roskilde
S S
1–2
Full-time
Fremad Amager
S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roskilde Fremad Amager
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,0
Scored
3,0
1,5
Conceded
0,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+2,5
+1,0
This season — DBU Pokalen · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,0
Scored
3,0
1,5
Conceded
0,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+2,5
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Roskilde 14. · Fremad Amager 18. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Middelfart 3 3 0 0 +14 9
2 Vejle 3 3 0 0 +10 9
3 Nykobing FC 3 2 1 0 +2 7
4 Aarhus Fremad 2 2 0 0 +11 6
5 Aarhus 2 2 0 0 +11 6
6 Hørsholm-Usserød 2 2 0 0 +9 6
7 Vendsyssel FF 2 2 0 0 +7 6
8 Ishøj 2 2 0 0 +7 6
9 Sonderjyske 2 2 0 0 +7 6
10 Vanløse 2 2 0 0 +6 6
11 Nordsjaelland 2 2 0 0 +6 6
12 Naestved 3 2 0 1 +5 6
13 Thisted FC 2 2 0 0 +5 6
14 Roskilde 2 2 0 0 +5 6
15 FA 2000 2 2 0 0 +5 6
16 Hobro 2 2 0 0 +5 6
17 FC Helsingor 2 2 0 0 +4 6
18 Fremad Amager 2 2 0 0 +2 6
19 Jammerbugt 2 2 0 0 +2 6
20 BSF 3 2 0 1 +1 6
21 AB Copenhagen 3 2 0 1 +0 6
22 HB Koge 2 1 1 0 +4 4
23 Kerteminde 2 1 1 0 +1 4
24 Brabrand 3 1 1 1 -2 4
25 Ringkøbing 2 1 0 1 +7 3
26 Fredericia 2 1 0 1 +7 3
27 Viborg 1 1 0 0 +7 3
28 Tårnby FF 2 1 0 1 +3 3
29 Silkeborg 1 1 0 0 +3 3
30 Brønshøj 2 1 0 1 +2 3
31 Skive 2 1 0 1 +2 3
32 Silkeborg KFUM 2 1 0 1 +2 3
33 Frem 2 1 0 1 +1 3
34 Karlslunde 2 1 0 1 +1 3
35 Horsens 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 FC Nakskov 2 1 0 1 +0 3
37 Næsby 2 1 0 1 +0 3
38 Kastrup 2 1 0 1 +0 3
39 Hedensted 2 1 0 1 +0 3
40 Kolding IF 2 1 0 1 +0 3
41 Allerød 2 1 0 1 -1 3
42 Culpa 2 1 0 1 -1 3
43 Frederikshavn 2 1 0 1 -2 3
44 Jyllinge 2 1 0 1 -2 3
45 SfB-Oure 2 1 0 1 -2 3
46 Marienlyst 2 1 0 1 -2 3
47 Tuse 2 1 0 1 -4 3
48 Viby 2 1 0 1 -5 3
49 Vatanspor 2 1 0 1 -6 3
50 Tarup-Paarup 1 0 1 0 +0 1
51 Odder 1 0 1 0 +0 1
52 Marstal / Rise 1 0 1 0 +0 1
53 Odense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
54 Varde 2 0 1 1 -2 1
55 SGI 3 0 1 2 -7 1
56 Aabenraa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 Klitmøller 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 NB Bornholm 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Mosede 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Hillerød 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 HIK 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 Dalum 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 B 1909 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Munkebo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 Hvidovre IF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
66 FB 1 0 0 1 -2 0
67 B 93 1 0 0 1 -2 0
68 KFUM Roskilde 1 0 0 1 -2 0
69 Såby 1 0 0 1 -2 0
70 Avarta 1 0 0 1 -2 0
71 KFUM 1 0 0 1 -2 0
72 VSK Århus 1 0 0 1 -2 0
73 Herlev 1 0 0 1 -2 0
74 Vejgaard 1 0 0 1 -2 0
75 VRI 1 0 0 1 -2 0
76 Lyseng 1 0 0 1 -2 0
77 Esbjerg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
78 Maribo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
79 Lyngby 1 0 0 1 -2 0
80 Kjellerup 1 0 0 1 -3 0
81 Farsø/Ullits 1 0 0 1 -3 0
82 Ringsted 1 0 0 1 -3 0
83 Solrød 1 0 0 1 -3 0
84 ASA Aarhus 1 0 0 1 -3 0
85 BK Union 1 0 0 1 -3 0
86 OKS 1 0 0 1 -4 0
87 Nørresundby 1 0 0 1 -4 0
88 Tune 1 0 0 1 -4 0
89 B 1973 Herlev 1 0 0 1 -4 0
90 Skovshoved 1 0 0 1 -4 0
91 Dragør 1 0 0 1 -5 0
92 LUIF 1 0 0 1 -6 0
93 Give Fremad 1 0 0 1 -7 0
94 Broager 1 0 0 1 -8 0
95 Øster Hornum 1 0 0 1 -8 0
96 Slagelse B&I 2 0 0 2 -9 0
97 AIA-Tranbjerg 1 0 0 1 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Roskilde Fremad Amager
1′
⚽ J. Johansson 0–1
H. Bonnesen
41′
⚽ C. Boateng 0–2
Half-time 0–2
M. Christensen 🔁
↦ M. Karoli
46′
M. Julø 🔁
↦ A. Chabert
46′
A. Maarup 🔁
↦ J. Canto
46′
51′
🟨 J. Haahr
59′
🔁 M. Gundelach
↦ J. Haahr
59′
🔁 P. Kanstrup
↦ C. Boateng
T. Noer 🟨
67′
M. Skøtt 🔁
↦ T. Noer
72′
76′
🔁 D. Boysen
↦ M. Basse
82′
🔁 M. Lejbowicz
↦ J. Johansson
82′
🔁 P. Nielsen
↦ M. Aaquist
L. Martinsen 🔁
↦ R. Larsen
87′
1–2 M. Julø ⚽
95′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Roskilde

1 C. Monty
99 A. Hermansen
3 E. Staugaard
5 A. Chabert
17 F. Andersen
19 V. Montell
8 T. Noer
23 J. Canto
10 M. Etim
20 R. Larsen
11 M. Karoli
Bench (9)
6 M. Christensen
7 M. Julø
18 A. Maarup
21 M. Skøtt
34 L. Martinsen
35 O. Skolnik
4 J. Mwamba
12 L. Persson
30 O. Reenberg

Coach: J. Majgaard

Fremad Amager

95 J. Højbjerg
22 M. Lumb
5 J. Haahr
14 H. Bonnesen
4 C. Friedrich
13 M. Aaquist
10 M. Bay
8 G. Marcussen
16 M. Basse
45 C. Boateng
11 J. Johansson
Bench (9)
2 M. Gundelach
3 P. Kanstrup
21 D. Boysen
12 M. Lejbowicz
15 P. Nielsen
7 L. Haren
17 C. Allen
25 V. Matthiesen-Andersen
6 C. Palm

Coach: M. Hemmingsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Rasmussen · 21 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.