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Eredivisie
Referee: Stan Teuben
Volendam
T S S T S
1–1
Full-time
Twente
U T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Volendam Twente
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 29%
25%
33%
Points per game
1,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
75%
58%
Both score Ø 71%
75%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,39 xG 2,61
52% Possession 48%
11 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
5 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Volendam 13. · Twente 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 13 11 1 1 +24 +12.7 34
2 Feyenoord 12 9 1 2 +19 +18.4 28
3 AZ Alkmaar 12 7 3 2 +7 +10.2 24
4 Ajax 12 5 5 2 +5 +1.9 20
5 Groningen 12 6 1 5 +0 +3.3 19
6 Nijmegen 12 5 3 4 +9 +5.4 18
7 Utrecht 11 6 0 5 +6 -2.0 18
8 Twente 12 4 4 4 +2 +9.9 16
9 Go Ahead Eagles 12 4 4 4 +1 -3.7 16
10 For Sittard 12 5 1 6 -2 -6.2 16
11 Sparta Rotterdam 12 5 1 6 -10 -5.5 16
12 Heerenveen 11 3 4 4 -2 +8.2 13
13 Volendam 12 3 4 5 -4 -8.8 13
14 NAC Breda 13 3 3 7 -7 -6.9 12
15 Zwolle 12 3 3 6 -13 -10.3 12
16 Excelsior 12 3 1 8 -12 -7.6 10
17 Telstar 12 2 3 7 -7 -6.8 9
18 Heracles 12 3 0 9 -16 -12.1 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Volendam Twente
Half-time 0–1
46′
D. Rots 0–1
S. Orjasaeter
52′
🟨 Thomas Van den Belt
A. Descotte 🔁
↦ R. van Cruijsen
62′
68′
🟨 Sondre Ørjasæter
O. Kokcu 🔁
↦ N. Bukala
73′
J. Ideho 🔁
↦ B. Kuwas
73′
75′
🔁 M. Kjolo
↦ T. van den Belt
75′
🔁 A. Verschueren
↦ M. Pjaca
78′
🟨 Bart van Rooij
83′
🔁 S. Lammers
↦ S. Orjasaeter
X. Mbuyamba 🔁
↦ A. Oehlers
84′
R. Muhren 🔁
↦ P. Ugwu
84′
1–1 R. Muhren
O. Kokcu
86′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Volendam

4-2-3-1
1 K. van Oevelen G
5 P. Ugwu D
3 M. Amevor D
20 N. Verschuren D
32 Y. Leliendal D
8 G. Yah M
18 N. Bukala M
10 B. Kuwas M
40 R. van Cruijsen
11 A. Oehlers M
9 H. Veerman F
Bench (12)
16 R. Steur
22 D. Vlak
2 D. Payne
4 X. Mbuyamba
6 A. Plat
7 O. Kokcu
14 A. Meijers
17 J. Ideho
21 R. Muhren
28 S. Esajas
33 K. Dyer
99 A. Descotte

Coach: Rick Kruys

Twente

4-2-3-1
1 L. Unnerstall G
28 B. van Rooij D
23 S. Lemkin D
43 R. Nijstad D
39 M. Rots D
6 R. Zerrouki M
20 T. van den Belt M
7 M. Pjaca M
11 D. Rots M
27 S. Orjasaeter M
9 R. van Wolfswinkel F
Bench (9)
22 P. Tyton
21 S. Karssies
4 M. Kjolo
5 B. Kuipers
10 S. Lammers
12 G. Peixoto
25 L. Vennegoor of Hesselink
32 A. Verschueren
34 B. Titulaer

Coach: John Antonius van den Brom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,59
U ✓
4,13
B
1,64
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,50
U2,5 ✓
2,44
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.