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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: M Koløy
Brann
S U S U S
1–1
Full-time
Sogndal
T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brann Sogndal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,3
1,8
Scored
2,7
1,0
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,2
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,7
1,7
Scored
2,7
1,3
Conceded
1,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Brann 1. · Sogndal 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brann 3 2 1 0 +5 7
2 Stabaek 3 2 1 0 +5 7
3 Sogndal 3 2 1 0 +3 7
4 Mjondalen 3 2 1 0 +2 7
5 Sandnes ULF 2 2 0 0 +2 6
6 Fredrikstad 3 1 2 0 +1 5
7 KFUM Oslo 3 1 2 0 +1 5
8 Start 3 1 1 1 +3 4
9 Ranheim 3 1 1 1 -3 4
10 Kongsvinger 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Grorud 3 0 2 1 -1 2
12 Raufoss 3 0 2 1 -2 2
13 Stjørdals-Blink 3 0 1 2 -2 1
14 Asane 3 0 1 2 -8 1
15 Skeid 3 0 0 3 -3 0
16 Bryne 3 0 0 3 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brann Sogndal
F. Knudsen 🟨
18′
1–0 V. Moberg
38′
M. Rasmussen 🟨
40′
Half-time 1–0
M. Rasmussen 🟨
69′
M. Rasmussen 🟥
69′
70′
🔁 P. Michael
↦ K. Hoven
F. Myhre 🔁
↦ V. Moberg
75′
K. Skaanes 🔁
↦ N. Castro
75′
76′
🔁 J. Jónsson
↦ H. Gunnarsson
80′
J. Jónsson 1–1
83′
🟨 J. Jonsson
S. Crone 🟨
86′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Brann

1 M. Dyngeland
21 R. Kristiansen
13 S. Crone
3 F. Knudsen
5 A. Skovgaard
19 S. Nilsen
6 V. Moberg
7 M. Rasmussen
10 F. Børsting
9 N. Castro
20 A. Heggebø
Bench (9)
8 F. Myhre
15 K. Skaanes
2 O. Blomberg
11 B. Finne
12 E. Johansen
17 F. Delaveris
18 D. Wolfe
25 N. Jensen
31 I. Hjorteseth

Coach: E. Horneland

Sogndal

1 R. Fij
13 P. Flo
5 H. Gunnarsson
4 M. Roseth
26 A. van der Spa
15 K. Nessø
8 V. Ingimundarson
11 A. Hoven
19 U. Mathisen
27 S. Ørjasæter
18 K. Hoven
Bench (9)
14 P. Michael
7 J. Jónsson
6 A. Kryger
16 E. Lereng
17 M. Blårud
23 A. Nord
29 K. Steinset
30 E. Flataker
35 D. Saetren

Coach: T. Flo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.