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Eredivisie
Referee: J Kamphuis
Waalwijk
T U S U T
0–2
Full-time
Zwolle
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waalwijk Zwolle
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,5
1,8
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 21%
21%
21%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
52%
31%
Both score Ø 54%
66%
41%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,1
0,8
Conceded
1,6
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

51% Possession 49%
13 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Waalwijk 14. · Zwolle 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 30 24 3 3 +71 75
2 PSV Eindhoven 29 22 2 5 +39 68
3 Feyenoord 29 19 4 6 +39 61
4 Twente 30 18 7 5 +15 61
5 AZ Alkmaar 26 15 3 8 +17 48
6 Utrecht 27 11 8 8 +9 41
7 Vitesse 25 12 3 10 -8 39
8 Groningen 29 9 9 11 -6 36
9 Go Ahead Eagles 29 10 6 13 -8 36
10 Nijmegen 30 9 8 13 -12 35
11 Heerenveen 28 9 7 12 -8 34
12 Cambuur 29 10 3 16 -17 33
13 Heracles 29 8 6 15 -11 30
14 Waalwijk 29 6 10 13 -15 28
15 For Sittard 29 7 5 17 -31 26
16 Sparta Rotterdam 30 5 10 15 -23 25
17 Zwolle 29 6 5 18 -22 23
18 Willem II 29 6 5 18 -29 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Waalwijk Zwolle
16′
T. van den Belt 0–1
D. Anderson
M. Kramer 🔁
↦ J. Odgaard
23′
Shawn Adewoye 🟨
41′
Half-time 0–1
48′
ℹ️ Daishawn Redan
VAR: Penalty awarded
50′
B. van Polen 0–2
51′
🔁 S. van Wermeskerken
↦ M. de Wit
Michiel Kramer 🟨
52′
56′
🔁 R. Strieder
↦ O. Darfalou
I. Bel Hassani 🔁
↦ R. van der Venne
59′
Y. Oukili 🔁
↦ A. Büttner
60′
R. Kuijpers 🔁
↦ A. Azhil
60′
71′
🟨 Bram Van Polen
L. Daneels 🔁
↦ V. Anita
81′
87′
🔁 T. Beelen
↦ G. Kastaneer
87′
🔁 E. Reijnders
↦ P. Clement
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Waalwijk

3-4-1-2
1 E. Vaessen G
28 A. Büttner M
59 A. Touba D
3 M. Meulensteen D
4 S. Adewoye D
6 V. Anita M
10 R. van der Venne F
22 S. Bakari M
8 A. Azhil M
9 F. Stokkers F
7 J. Odgaard F
Bench (12)
29 M. Kramer
11 I. Bel Hassani
33 Y. Oukili
17 R. Kuijpers
20 L. Daneels
31 I. El Maach
14 A. El Bouchataoui
34 L. Wouters
2 J. Gaari
5 T. Lutonda
21 Joel Pereira
15 L. Nieuwpoort

Coach: J. Oosting

Zwolle

3-4-3
1 K. Lamprou G
2 B. van Polen D
21 D. Anderson M
5 K. Paal M
4 Y. Nakayama D
34 M. de Wit D
10 P. Clement M
20 T. van den Belt M
7 G. Kastaneer F
29 O. Darfalou F
19 D. Redan F
Bench (12)
31 S. van Wermeskerken
13 R. Strieder
36 T. Beelen
23 E. Reijnders
40 M. Hauptmeijer
37 R. Koolwijk
11 L. Adžić
16 J. Schendelaar
30 M. van der Werff
22 M. de Waal
3 S. Voet
9 S. Tedić

Coach: D. Schreuder

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,74
U
3,26
B ✓
2,61
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,05
U2,5 ✓
1,77
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Kamphuis · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.