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Serie A

Referee: D Ghersini

Torino

U T S U U

2–1

Full-time

Spezia

S T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Torino Spezia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,0

2,2

Scored

0,5

0,8

Conceded

0,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,5

This season — Serie A · 32/33 matches

Win Ø 29%

31%

27%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

38%

55%

Both score Ø 53%

50%

55%

Average goals

2,1

2,7

Scored

1,1

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

56% Possession 44%

14 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 6

1 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Torino 11. · Spezia 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	33	21	8	4	+29	71
2	Inter	32	20	9	3	+43	69
3	Napoli	33	20	7	6	+32	67
4	Juventus	33	18	9	6	+21	63
5	Roma	33	17	7	9	+17	58
6	Lazio	33	16	8	9	+17	56
7	Fiorentina	32	17	5	10	+13	56
8	Atalanta	32	14	9	9	+16	51
9	Verona	33	13	9	11	+8	48
10	Sassuolo	33	12	10	11	+5	46
11	Torino	32	10	10	12	+5	40
12	Udinese	32	9	12	11	-3	39
13	Bologna	32	10	8	14	-10	38
14	Empoli	33	8	10	15	-18	34
15	Spezia	33	9	6	18	-24	33
16	Sampdoria	33	8	5	20	-16	29
17	Cagliari	33	6	10	17	-30	28
18	Genoa	33	2	16	15	-30	22
19	Venezia	32	5	7	20	-32	22
20	Salernitana	32	5	7	20	-43	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	16	11	3	2	+25	36
2	Fiorentina	16	11	2	3	+18	35
3	Milan	17	10	4	3	+13	34
4	Roma	17	10	4	3	+10	34
5	Lazio	16	9	5	2	+16	32
6	Juventus	17	9	4	4	+10	31
7	Napoli	17	9	3	5	+13	30
8	Verona	16	9	2	5	+12	29
9	Torino	16	7	5	4	+11	26
10	Udinese	17	6	7	4	+4	25
11	Bologna	16	7	3	6	+2	24
12	Sassuolo	16	6	5	5	+1	23
13	Atalanta	16	4	6	6	+3	18
14	Spezia	16	5	3	8	-3	18
15	Sampdoria	17	4	3	10	-7	15
16	Cagliari	17	3	6	8	-10	15
17	Empoli	16	3	4	9	-15	13
18	Genoa	16	1	8	7	-12	11
19	Venezia	16	2	4	10	-16	10
20	Salernitana	15	1	5	9	-20	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	16	11	4	1	+19	37
2	Milan	16	11	4	1	+16	37
3	Inter	16	9	6	1	+18	33
4	Atalanta	16	10	3	3	+13	33
5	Juventus	16	9	5	2	+11	32
6	Roma	16	7	3	6	+7	24
7	Lazio	17	7	3	7	+1	24
8	Sassuolo	17	6	5	6	+4	23
9	Empoli	17	5	6	6	-3	21
10	Fiorentina	16	6	3	7	-5	21
11	Verona	17	4	7	6	-4	19
12	Spezia	17	4	3	10	-21	15
13	Torino	16	3	5	8	-6	14
14	Udinese	15	3	5	7	-7	14
15	Sampdoria	16	4	2	10	-9	14
16	Bologna	16	3	5	8	-12	14
17	Salernitana	17	4	2	11	-23	14
18	Cagliari	16	3	4	9	-20	13
19	Venezia	16	3	3	10	-16	12
20	Genoa	17	1	8	8	-18	11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.