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Belgisk cup

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 BX Brussels 2 1 1 0 +2 4
2 Drongen 1 1 0 0 +8 3
3 Svelta Melsele II 1 1 0 0 +8 3
4 Rotselaar 1 1 0 0 +7 3
5 Sottegem 1 1 0 0 +6 3
6 Beringen 1 1 0 0 +6 3
7 Sporting Kampenhout 1 1 0 0 +5 3
8 Villers-La-Ville 1 1 0 0 +5 3
9 Ethe Belmont 1 1 0 0 +5 3
10 Estaimbourg 1 1 0 0 +4 3
11 Rhodienne-De Hoek 1 1 0 0 +4 3
12 Gilly 1 1 0 0 +4 3
13 Péruwelz 1 1 0 0 +4 3
14 Sporting Tisselt 1 1 0 0 +4 3
15 Destelbergen 1 1 0 0 +4 3
16 De Kempen 1 1 0 0 +3 3
17 Saive 1 1 0 0 +3 3
18 Heusy Rouheid 1 1 0 0 +3 3
19 Berlare 1 1 0 0 +3 3
20 Biesme 1 1 0 0 +3 3
21 K. Kontich 1 1 0 0 +3 3
22 Montignies 1 1 0 0 +3 3
23 Groen Star Beek 1 1 0 0 +3 3
24 Kadijk Overpelt 1 1 0 0 +3 3
25 Wilrijk 1 1 0 0 +3 3
26 Vlijtingen 1 1 0 0 +3 3
27 JS Fizoise 1 1 0 0 +2 3
28 Ardooie 1 1 0 0 +2 3
29 Sassport Boezinge 1 1 0 0 +2 3
30 Lokeren Doorslaar 1 1 0 0 +2 3
31 DT Borsbeke 1 1 0 0 +2 3
32 FC Du Geer 1 1 0 0 +2 3
33 Jodoigne 1 1 0 0 +2 3
34 Libramont 1 1 0 0 +2 3
35 Denderhoutem 1 1 0 0 +2 3
36 Antonia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
37 Dottignies 1 1 0 0 +2 3
38 Paliseulois 1 1 0 0 +2 3
39 WIK Eine 1 1 0 0 +2 3
40 Wijnegem 1 1 0 0 +2 3
41 Achel 1 1 0 0 +2 3
42 Lauwe 1 1 0 0 +2 3
43 Hornu 1 1 0 0 +2 3
44 Beauraing 1 1 0 0 +2 3
45 Houdinois 1 1 0 0 +2 3
46 US Dinantaise 1 1 0 0 +2 3
47 Oostnieuwkerke 1 1 0 0 +2 3
48 Messancy 1 1 0 0 +1 3
49 Stade Bierbeek 1 1 0 0 +1 3
50 Wevelgem City 1 1 0 0 +1 3
51 Alken 1 1 0 0 +1 3
52 Ekeren Donk 1 1 0 0 +1 3
53 Galmaarden 1 1 0 0 +1 3
54 's Gravenwezel-Schilde 1 1 0 0 +1 3
55 Hannut 1 1 0 0 +1 3
56 Zwijndrecht 1 1 0 0 +1 3
57 Ternesse 1 1 0 0 +1 3
58 Roy-Lignieres 1 1 0 0 +1 3
59 Sparta Heestert 1 1 0 0 +1 3
60 Grembergen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
61 KBSK Retie 1 1 0 0 +1 3
62 Rumbeke 1 1 0 0 +1 3
63 Beaufays 1 1 0 0 +1 3
64 Ardennen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
65 Anvaing 1 1 0 0 +1 3
66 Herent 1 1 0 0 +1 3
67 Profondeville 1 1 0 0 +1 3
68 SC Zonnebeke 1 1 0 0 +1 3
69 Eendracht Maasmechelen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
70 Ster-Francorchamps 1 1 0 0 +1 3
71 Wanze / Bas-Oha II 1 1 0 0 +1 3
72 Walhain 1 1 0 0 +1 3
73 Haasdonk 1 1 0 0 +1 3
74 Evelette-Jallet 1 1 0 0 +1 3
75 WSAC Fleurus 1 1 0 0 +1 3
76 Sterrebeek 1 0 1 0 +0 1
77 Tielt-Winge 3000 1 0 1 0 +0 1
78 Spy 1 0 1 0 +0 1
79 Condruzien 1 0 1 0 +0 1
80 Fenixx BeigHum 1 0 1 0 +0 1
81 Eppegem 1 0 1 0 +0 1
82 Oppagne-Wéris 1 0 1 0 +0 1
83 RESC Houffaloise 1 0 1 0 +0 1
84 Svelta Melsele 1 0 1 0 +0 1
85 KSK Beveren 1 0 1 0 +0 1
86 Léopold 1 0 1 0 +0 1
87 Auderghem 1 0 1 0 +0 1
88 Kosova Schaerbeek 1 0 1 0 +0 1
89 Sporting Bruxelles 1 0 1 0 +0 1
90 Sint-Dymphna 1 0 1 0 +0 1
91 Zandhovense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
92 Ans Montegnée 1 0 1 0 +0 1
93 Richelle United II 1 0 1 0 +0 1
94 Isièroise 1 0 1 0 +0 1
95 Luingnois II 1 0 1 0 +0 1
96 Petigny-Frasnes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
97 Flavion-Morialmé 1 0 1 0 +0 1
98 Schriek 1 0 1 0 +0 1
99 Kalfort Puursica 1 0 1 0 +0 1
100 Bastogne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
101 Kattenbos 1 0 1 0 +0 1
102 Herk 1 0 1 0 +0 1
103 Genappe 1 0 1 0 +0 1
104 Saint-Michel 1 0 1 0 +0 1
105 Nieuwerkerken 1 0 1 0 +0 1
106 's Herenelderen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
107 PSV 1820 1 0 1 0 +0 1
108 Zuun 1 0 1 0 +0 1
109 Saint-André Ochamps 1 0 0 1 -1 0
110 Olympia Wijgmaal 1 0 0 1 -1 0
111 Varsenare 1 0 0 1 -1 0
112 Ritterklub Jette 1 0 0 1 -1 0
113 Hoboken 1 0 0 1 -1 0
114 Eendracht Mazenzele 1 0 0 1 -1 0
115 Brasschaat 1 0 0 1 -1 0
116 Honsfeld 1 0 0 1 -1 0
117 Olen United 1 0 0 1 -1 0
118 SC Duffel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
119 RUS Assenois 1 0 0 1 -1 0
120 Meulebeke 1 0 0 1 -1 0
121 Heikant Zele 1 0 0 1 -1 0
122 Loenhout 1 0 0 1 -1 0
123 Bredene 1 0 0 1 -1 0
124 Entité Wasseiges 1 0 0 1 -1 0
125 Jong Zulte 1 0 0 1 -1 0
126 Molenbaix 1 0 0 1 -1 0
127 Linden 1 0 0 1 -1 0
128 Chevetogne 1 0 0 1 -1 0
129 Moen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
130 Meeuwen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
131 Union La Calamine II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
132 Bütgenbach 1 0 0 1 -1 0
133 Saint-Josse 1 0 0 1 -1 0
134 Kleit Maldegem 1 0 0 1 -1 0
135 Meux II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
136 Thumaide 1 0 0 1 -1 0
137 Grün-Weiss Amel 1 0 0 1 -2 0
138 Daring Brugge 1 0 0 1 -2 0
139 Excelsior Zedelgem 1 0 0 1 -2 0
140 Munkzwalm 1 0 0 1 -2 0
141 Volkegem 1 0 0 1 -2 0
142 Aubel 1 0 0 1 -2 0
143 Grez-Doiceau 1 0 0 1 -2 0
144 Lorraine Arlon 1 0 0 1 -2 0
145 Bellem 1 0 0 1 -2 0
146 Meer 1 0 0 1 -2 0
147 Ruddervoorde II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
148 Jeunesse Freylangeoise 1 0 0 1 -2 0
149 Poesele 1 0 0 1 -2 0
150 Ixelles 1 0 0 1 -2 0
151 Herselt 1 0 0 1 -2 0
152 Genker 1 0 0 1 -2 0
153 Houthulst 1 0 0 1 -2 0
154 Naastois 1 0 0 1 -2 0
155 RAC Saint-Mard 1 0 0 1 -2 0
156 Havré 1 0 0 1 -2 0
157 Fernelmont-Hemptinne 1 0 0 1 -2 0
158 Geluwe 1 0 0 1 -2 0
159 Zwaluwen Olmen 1 0 0 1 -3 0
160 Oreye Union 1 0 0 1 -3 0
161 Seraing Athlétique 1 0 0 1 -3 0
162 Sint-Niklaas 1 0 0 1 -3 0
163 Nismes 1 0 0 1 -3 0
164 KFC Zammel 1 0 0 1 -3 0
165 RAEC Mons II 1 0 0 1 -3 0
166 Herkol 1 0 0 1 -3 0
167 Weerstand Koersel 1 0 0 1 -3 0
168 Eendracht Zoersel 1 0 0 1 -3 0
169 Halvenweg Zonhoven 1 0 0 1 -3 0
170 Morlanwelz 1 0 0 1 -4 0
171 FC Vilvoorde 1 0 0 1 -4 0
172 AEDEC Hyon 1 0 0 1 -4 0
173 Jumet 1 0 0 1 -4 0
174 Mortsel 1 0 0 1 -4 0
175 Voorwaarts Gijzel 1 0 0 1 -4 0
176 Newcastle United U21 1 0 0 1 -5 0
177 Etterbeek 1 0 0 1 -5 0
178 Vaux-Noville 1 0 0 1 -5 0
179 Zeveren Sportief 1 0 0 1 -6 0
180 SSD Opoeteren 1 0 0 1 -6 0
181 Binkom 1 0 0 1 -7 0
182 Excelsior Mariakerke 1 0 0 1 -8 0
183 Eendracht Zele 1 0 0 1 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.