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Eliteserien

Referee: D Higraff

Lillestrom

T S S S T

3–1

Full-time

Ham-Kam

T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Ham-Kam

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,5

3,8

Scored

2,2

2,3

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 43%

53%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

67%

73%

Both score Ø 57%

67%

47%

Average goals

3,4

3,5

Scored

1,9

1,3

Conceded

1,5

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

3,01 xG 1,02

68% Possession 32%

22 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 6

8 Blocked shots 0

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

4 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lillestrom 6. · Ham-Kam 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	16	13	2	1	+27	+5.4	41
2	Molde	17	10	2	5	+20	+7.9	32
3	Viking	15	10	2	3	+12	+1.0	32
4	Tromso	15	9	3	3	+7	+0.5	30
5	Brann	16	8	3	5	+7	-3.2	27
6	Lillestrom	15	8	2	5	+7	+5.2	26
7	Odd	16	6	4	6	-1	+1.7	22
8	Sarpsborg 08	15	6	3	6	+1	-0.3	21
9	Stromsgodset	15	6	2	7	+1	-0.9	20
10	Rosenborg	16	5	4	7	-4	-0.7	19
11	Haugesund	15	5	3	7	-7	-2.4	18
12	Stabaek	16	4	4	8	-8	+2.8	16
13	Ham-Kam	15	5	1	9	-15	-2.3	16
14	Sandefjord	15	3	4	8	-12	-8.9	13
15	Valerenga	15	3	2	10	-10	-3.3	11
16	Aalesund	16	2	1	13	-25	-2.5	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	8	6	2	0	+15	+1.7	20
2	Brann	8	6	2	0	+12	+0.3	20
3	Molde	8	6	1	1	+15	+4.5	19
4	Viking	8	6	1	1	+12	+1.1	19
5	Lillestrom	8	5	0	3	+7	+2.7	15
6	Haugesund	7	4	2	1	+3	-0.7	14
7	Tromso	8	4	2	2	+3	+1.6	14
8	Ham-Kam	8	4	1	3	+0	-2.3	13
9	Rosenborg	9	4	1	4	-1	-0.8	13
10	Stromsgodset	7	4	0	3	+4	-0.6	12
11	Stabaek	9	3	3	3	+2	-1.1	12
12	Odd	7	3	2	2	+1	+0.9	11
13	Sarpsborg 08	7	3	1	3	+3	-0.0	10
14	Sandefjord	6	2	2	2	+3	-4.4	8
15	Aalesund	8	2	1	5	-7	-0.7	7
16	Valerenga	8	1	0	7	-9	-0.4	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	8	7	0	1	+12	+3.7	21
2	Tromso	7	5	1	1	+4	-1.0	16
3	Molde	9	4	1	4	+5	+3.4	13
4	Viking	7	4	1	2	+0	-0.1	13
5	Lillestrom	7	3	2	2	+0	+2.5	11
6	Sarpsborg 08	8	3	2	3	-2	-0.3	11
7	Odd	9	3	2	4	-2	+0.7	11
8	Valerenga	7	2	2	3	-1	-2.8	8
9	Stromsgodset	8	2	2	4	-3	-0.3	8
10	Brann	8	2	1	5	-5	-3.6	7
11	Rosenborg	7	1	3	3	-3	+0.0	6
12	Sandefjord	9	1	2	6	-15	-4.5	5
13	Stabaek	7	1	1	5	-10	+3.9	4
14	Haugesund	8	1	1	6	-10	-1.7	4
15	Ham-Kam	7	1	0	6	-15	+0.0	3
16	Aalesund	8	0	0	8	-18	-1.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.