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Allsvenskan

Referee: J Östling

Goteborg

T U T U U

2–0

Full-time

Kalmar

U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Goteborg Kalmar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,3

2,8

Scored

0,3

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 25%

44%

Points per game

0,6

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

25%

50%

Both score Ø 47%

38%

56%

Average goals

2,0

2,6

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,10 xG 1,16

33% Possession 67%

13 Shots 16

4 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 6

4 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Goteborg 16. · Kalmar 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Elfsborg	17	12	3	2	+26	+6.0	39
2	Hacken	18	12	2	4	+25	-1.0	38
3	Malmo FF	16	11	2	3	+21	+0.7	35
4	Djurgarden	18	10	3	5	+4	-1.6	33
5	Norrkoping	17	7	4	6	+3	+5.0	25
6	Kalmar	16	7	4	5	-1	-0.3	25
7	Hammarby	18	7	4	7	-3	+0.7	25
8	Halmstad	17	7	4	6	-8	-1.0	25
9	Mjallby	17	6	4	7	-3	-4.4	22
10	Brommapojkarna	17	7	1	9	-6	+1.0	22
11	Varnamo	16	6	1	9	-4	+0.2	19
12	Sirius	16	4	5	7	-5	+0.2	17
13	Degerfors	18	5	2	11	-23	-2.1	17
14	AIK	16	3	5	8	-6	-1.7	14
15	Varberg	17	2	5	10	-14	-0.0	11
16	Goteborg	16	1	7	8	-6	-1.8	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Djurgarden	10	8	1	1	+9	-1.6	25
2	Hacken	9	8	0	1	+20	-0.8	24
3	Malmo FF	8	6	1	1	+15	+0.6	19
4	Hammarby	8	6	1	1	+7	+0.9	19
5	Elfsborg	8	5	2	1	+15	+1.0	17
6	Kalmar	8	5	1	2	+1	+0.1	16
7	Degerfors	10	4	2	4	-2	-0.3	14
8	Halmstad	9	3	3	3	-4	-0.5	12
9	Norrkoping	8	3	2	3	+0	+2.3	11
10	Brommapojkarna	8	3	1	4	-1	+0.2	10
11	Mjallby	9	2	3	4	+0	-3.3	9
12	Varnamo	8	3	0	5	-2	+0.2	9
13	Sirius	8	2	1	5	-3	+0.5	7
14	AIK	8	1	4	3	-3	-1.0	7
15	Goteborg	8	1	3	4	+2	-0.8	6
16	Varberg	8	0	3	5	-12	+0.7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Elfsborg	9	7	1	1	+11	+5.0	22
2	Malmo FF	8	5	1	2	+6	+0.1	16
3	Hacken	9	4	2	3	+5	-0.2	14
4	Norrkoping	9	4	2	3	+3	+2.7	14
5	Mjallby	8	4	1	3	-3	-1.2	13
6	Halmstad	8	4	1	3	-4	-0.5	13
7	Brommapojkarna	9	4	0	5	-5	+0.8	12
8	Sirius	8	2	4	2	-2	-0.2	10
9	Varnamo	8	3	1	4	-2	+0.1	10
10	Kalmar	8	2	3	3	-2	-0.3	9
11	Varberg	9	2	2	5	-2	-0.7	8
12	Djurgarden	8	2	2	4	-5	-0.0	8
13	AIK	8	2	1	5	-3	-0.7	7
14	Hammarby	10	1	3	6	-10	-0.2	6
15	Goteborg	8	0	4	4	-8	-1.0	4
16	Degerfors	8	1	0	7	-21	-1.8	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.