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Eliteserien
Referee: J Tennøy
Aalesund
S T T T T
1–0
Full-time
Stromsgodset
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Stromsgodset
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,7
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
2,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 16/15 matches
Win Ø 27%
13%
40%
Points per game
0,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
69%
27%
Both score Ø 42%
44%
40%
Average goals
2,9
2,5
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
2,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,6
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

3,61 xG 1,14
54% Possession 46%
22 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 2
8 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Corners 7
0 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aalesund 16. · Stromsgodset 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 16 13 2 1 +27 +5.4 41
2 Molde 17 10 2 5 +20 +7.9 32
3 Viking 15 10 2 3 +12 +1.0 32
4 Tromso 15 9 3 3 +7 +0.5 30
5 Brann 16 8 3 5 +7 -3.2 27
6 Lillestrom 15 8 2 5 +7 +5.2 26
7 Odd 16 6 4 6 -1 +1.7 22
8 Sarpsborg 08 15 6 3 6 +1 -0.3 21
9 Stromsgodset 15 6 2 7 +1 -0.9 20
10 Rosenborg 16 5 4 7 -4 -0.7 19
11 Haugesund 15 5 3 7 -7 -2.4 18
12 Stabaek 16 4 4 8 -8 +2.8 16
13 Ham-Kam 15 5 1 9 -15 -2.3 16
14 Sandefjord 15 3 4 8 -12 -8.9 13
15 Valerenga 15 3 2 10 -10 -3.3 11
16 Aalesund 16 2 1 13 -25 -2.5 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalesund Stromsgodset
John Kitolano 🟨
10′
45′
🟨 Thomas Grogaard
Half-time 0–0
K. Barmen 🔁
↦ M. Diop
46′
65′
🔁 O. Enersen
↦ M. Farji
72′
🔁 A. Thorsen
↦ E. Danso
K. Lunding 🔁
↦ K. Barmen
90′
1–0 B. Kristensen
M. Karlsbakk
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Aalesund

4-3-3
1 S. Grytebust G
31 A. Munksgaard D
5 D. Fällman D
4 N. Hopland D
25 J. Kitolano D
37 H. Melland M
6 E. Segberg M
22 M. Karlsbakk M
29 B. Kristensen F
27 M. Diop F
19 I. Atanga F
Bench (9)
10 K. Barmen
7 K. Lunding
13 M. Lansing
34 S. Holte
26 T. Larsen
35 S. Berntsen
30 A. Andersen
2 T. Murray
15 K. Ødemarksbakken

Coach: C. Johnsen

Stromsgodset

3-4-3
1 V. Myhra G
2 A. Leifsson D
71 G. Valsvik D
27 F. Dahl D
7 H. Stenevik M
20 E. Danso M
22 J. Therkelsen M
4 T. Grøgaard M
77 M. Mehnert F
10 H. Stengel F
21 M. Farji F
Bench (7)
14 O. Enersen
19 A. Thorsen
30 F. Holst-Larsen
3 S. Hanssen
40 M. Sætra
15 A. Heredia-Randen
28 E. Blikstad

Coach: J. Isnes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Tennøy · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
1,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
17,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.