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Eliteserien
Referee: E Eskås
Sarpsborg 08
S T T T T
2–1
Full-time
Haugesund
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Haugesund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
6,0
2,5
Scored
2,7
1,2
Conceded
3,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 37%
40%
33%
Points per game
1,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
67%
53%
Both score Ø 57%
67%
47%
Average goals
3,4
2,3
Scored
1,7
0,9
Conceded
1,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,16 xG 1,56
56% Possession 44%
17 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 8
3 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 8
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 8. · Haugesund 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 16 13 2 1 +27 +5.4 41
2 Molde 17 10 2 5 +20 +7.9 32
3 Viking 15 10 2 3 +12 +1.0 32
4 Tromso 15 9 3 3 +7 +0.5 30
5 Brann 16 8 3 5 +7 -3.2 27
6 Lillestrom 15 8 2 5 +7 +5.2 26
7 Odd 16 6 4 6 -1 +1.7 22
8 Sarpsborg 08 15 6 3 6 +1 -0.3 21
9 Stromsgodset 15 6 2 7 +1 -0.9 20
10 Rosenborg 16 5 4 7 -4 -0.7 19
11 Haugesund 15 5 3 7 -7 -2.4 18
12 Stabaek 16 4 4 8 -8 +2.8 16
13 Ham-Kam 15 5 1 9 -15 -2.3 16
14 Sandefjord 15 3 4 8 -12 -8.9 13
15 Valerenga 15 3 2 10 -10 -3.3 11
16 Aalesund 16 2 1 13 -25 -2.5 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sarpsborg 08 Haugesund
17′
A. Skipper 1–0
own goal
Half-time 2–0
2–0 V. Torp
M. Maigaard
52′
3–0 B. Utvik
J. Soltvedt
78′
85′
🔁 M. Samuelsen
↦ Bruno Leite
85′
🔁 A. Pajaziti
↦ J. Eskesen
S. Skålevik 🔁
↦ S. Tibbling
90′
P. Reinhardsen 🔁
↦ E. Wichne
91′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Sarpsborg 08

4-2-3-1
21 A. Kristiansen G
32 E. Wichne D
4 B. Utvik D
31 A. Skipper D
17 J. Soltvedt D
8 J. Andersen M
18 S. Martinsson Ngouali M
25 M. Maigaard M
11 S. Tibbling M
10 R. Lundqvist M
29 V. Torp F
Bench (9)
20 P. Reinhardsen
15 S. Skålevik
72 S. Christiansen
6 M. Høyland
74 A. Racaj
23 G. Mogensen
2 E. Haug
40 L. Øy
7 M. Andersen

Coach: S. Billborn

Haugesund

5-3-2
1 E. Selvik G
7 P. Therkildsen D
4 A. Bærtelsen D
8 K. Krygård D
5 S. Reese D
3 O. Krusnell D
27 M. Sande M
6 M. Christensen M
26 Bruno Leite M
29 S. Diarra F
21 J. Eskesen F
Bench (7)
14 M. Samuelsen
10 A. Pajaziti
25 M. Hope
24 T. Nyhammer
38 V. Solheim
2 C. Niyukuri
12 A. Wichne

Coach: J. Grindhaug

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Eskås · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.