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Belgisk cup
Fortuna Smeermaas
2–0
Full-time
KMR Biesen II

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 BX Brussels 2 1 1 0 +2 4
2 Drongen 1 1 0 0 +8 3
3 Svelta Melsele II 1 1 0 0 +8 3
4 Rotselaar 1 1 0 0 +7 3
5 Sottegem 1 1 0 0 +6 3
6 Beringen 1 1 0 0 +6 3
7 Sporting Kampenhout 1 1 0 0 +5 3
8 Villers-La-Ville 1 1 0 0 +5 3
9 Ethe Belmont 1 1 0 0 +5 3
10 Estaimbourg 1 1 0 0 +4 3
11 Rhodienne-De Hoek 1 1 0 0 +4 3
12 Gilly 1 1 0 0 +4 3
13 Péruwelz 1 1 0 0 +4 3
14 Sporting Tisselt 1 1 0 0 +4 3
15 Destelbergen 1 1 0 0 +4 3
16 De Kempen 1 1 0 0 +3 3
17 Saive 1 1 0 0 +3 3
18 Heusy Rouheid 1 1 0 0 +3 3
19 Berlare 1 1 0 0 +3 3
20 Biesme 1 1 0 0 +3 3
21 K. Kontich 1 1 0 0 +3 3
22 Montignies 1 1 0 0 +3 3
23 Groen Star Beek 1 1 0 0 +3 3
24 Kadijk Overpelt 1 1 0 0 +3 3
25 Wilrijk 1 1 0 0 +3 3
26 Vlijtingen 1 1 0 0 +3 3
27 JS Fizoise 1 1 0 0 +2 3
28 Ardooie 1 1 0 0 +2 3
29 Sassport Boezinge 1 1 0 0 +2 3
30 Lokeren Doorslaar 1 1 0 0 +2 3
31 DT Borsbeke 1 1 0 0 +2 3
32 FC Du Geer 1 1 0 0 +2 3
33 Jodoigne 1 1 0 0 +2 3
34 Libramont 1 1 0 0 +2 3
35 Denderhoutem 1 1 0 0 +2 3
36 Antonia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
37 Dottignies 1 1 0 0 +2 3
38 Paliseulois 1 1 0 0 +2 3
39 WIK Eine 1 1 0 0 +2 3
40 Landen 1 1 0 0 +2 3
41 Wijnegem 1 1 0 0 +2 3
42 Achel 1 1 0 0 +2 3
43 Lauwe 1 1 0 0 +2 3
44 Hornu 1 1 0 0 +2 3
45 Beauraing 1 1 0 0 +2 3
46 Houdinois 1 1 0 0 +2 3
47 US Dinantaise 1 1 0 0 +2 3
48 Oostnieuwkerke 1 1 0 0 +2 3
49 Malmundaria 1 1 0 0 +1 3
50 Messancy 1 1 0 0 +1 3
51 Stade Bierbeek 1 1 0 0 +1 3
52 Wevelgem City 1 1 0 0 +1 3
53 Alken 1 1 0 0 +1 3
54 Ekeren Donk 1 1 0 0 +1 3
55 Galmaarden 1 1 0 0 +1 3
56 's Gravenwezel-Schilde 1 1 0 0 +1 3
57 Hannut 1 1 0 0 +1 3
58 Zwijndrecht 1 1 0 0 +1 3
59 Ternesse 1 1 0 0 +1 3
60 Roy-Lignieres 1 1 0 0 +1 3
61 Sparta Heestert 1 1 0 0 +1 3
62 Grembergen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
63 KBSK Retie 1 1 0 0 +1 3
64 Rumbeke 1 1 0 0 +1 3
65 Beaufays 1 1 0 0 +1 3
66 Antoing 1 1 0 0 +1 3
67 Ardennen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
68 Anvaing 1 1 0 0 +1 3
69 Herent 1 1 0 0 +1 3
70 Profondeville 1 1 0 0 +1 3
71 SC Zonnebeke 1 1 0 0 +1 3
72 Eendracht Maasmechelen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
73 Ster-Francorchamps 1 1 0 0 +1 3
74 Wanze / Bas-Oha II 1 1 0 0 +1 3
75 Walhain 1 1 0 0 +1 3
76 Haasdonk 1 1 0 0 +1 3
77 Evelette-Jallet 1 1 0 0 +1 3
78 WSAC Fleurus 1 1 0 0 +1 3
79 Grand-Leez 1 0 1 0 +0 1
80 Loyers 1 0 1 0 +0 1
81 Sterrebeek 1 0 1 0 +0 1
82 Tielt-Winge 3000 1 0 1 0 +0 1
83 Spy 1 0 1 0 +0 1
84 Condruzien 1 0 1 0 +0 1
85 Fenixx BeigHum 1 0 1 0 +0 1
86 Eppegem 1 0 1 0 +0 1
87 Oppagne-Wéris 1 0 1 0 +0 1
88 RESC Houffaloise 1 0 1 0 +0 1
89 Svelta Melsele 1 0 1 0 +0 1
90 KSK Beveren 1 0 1 0 +0 1
91 Léopold 1 0 1 0 +0 1
92 Auderghem 1 0 1 0 +0 1
93 Kosova Schaerbeek 1 0 1 0 +0 1
94 Sporting Bruxelles 1 0 1 0 +0 1
95 Sint-Dymphna 1 0 1 0 +0 1
96 Zandhovense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
97 Ans Montegnée 1 0 1 0 +0 1
98 Richelle United II 1 0 1 0 +0 1
99 Isièroise 1 0 1 0 +0 1
100 Luingnois II 1 0 1 0 +0 1
101 Petigny-Frasnes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
102 Flavion-Morialmé 1 0 1 0 +0 1
103 Schriek 1 0 1 0 +0 1
104 Kalfort Puursica 1 0 1 0 +0 1
105 Bastogne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
106 Kattenbos 1 0 1 0 +0 1
107 Herk 1 0 1 0 +0 1
108 Genappe 1 0 1 0 +0 1
109 Saint-Michel 1 0 1 0 +0 1
110 Nieuwerkerken 1 0 1 0 +0 1
111 's Herenelderen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
112 PSV 1820 1 0 1 0 +0 1
113 Zuun 1 0 1 0 +0 1
114 Croatia Wandre 1 0 0 1 -1 0
115 Saint-André Ochamps 1 0 0 1 -1 0
116 Olympia Wijgmaal 1 0 0 1 -1 0
117 Varsenare 1 0 0 1 -1 0
118 Ritterklub Jette 1 0 0 1 -1 0
119 Hoboken 1 0 0 1 -1 0
120 Eendracht Mazenzele 1 0 0 1 -1 0
121 Brasschaat 1 0 0 1 -1 0
122 Honsfeld 1 0 0 1 -1 0
123 Olen United 1 0 0 1 -1 0
124 SC Duffel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
125 RUS Assenois 1 0 0 1 -1 0
126 Meulebeke 1 0 0 1 -1 0
127 Heikant Zele 1 0 0 1 -1 0
128 Loenhout 1 0 0 1 -1 0
129 Bredene 1 0 0 1 -1 0
130 Entité Wasseiges 1 0 0 1 -1 0
131 Obigies 1 0 0 1 -1 0
132 Jong Zulte 1 0 0 1 -1 0
133 Molenbaix 1 0 0 1 -1 0
134 Linden 1 0 0 1 -1 0
135 Chevetogne 1 0 0 1 -1 0
136 Moen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
137 Meeuwen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
138 Union La Calamine II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
139 Bütgenbach 1 0 0 1 -1 0
140 Saint-Josse 1 0 0 1 -1 0
141 Kleit Maldegem 1 0 0 1 -1 0
142 Meux II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
143 Thumaide 1 0 0 1 -1 0
144 Grün-Weiss Amel 1 0 0 1 -2 0
145 Daring Brugge 1 0 0 1 -2 0
146 Excelsior Zedelgem 1 0 0 1 -2 0
147 Munkzwalm 1 0 0 1 -2 0
148 Volkegem 1 0 0 1 -2 0
149 Aubel 1 0 0 1 -2 0
150 Grez-Doiceau 1 0 0 1 -2 0
151 Lorraine Arlon 1 0 0 1 -2 0
152 Bellem 1 0 0 1 -2 0
153 Meer 1 0 0 1 -2 0
154 Ruddervoorde II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
155 Jeunesse Freylangeoise 1 0 0 1 -2 0
156 Poesele 1 0 0 1 -2 0
157 Stormvogels Drieslinter 1 0 0 1 -2 0
158 Ixelles 1 0 0 1 -2 0
159 Herselt 1 0 0 1 -2 0
160 Genker 1 0 0 1 -2 0
161 Houthulst 1 0 0 1 -2 0
162 Naastois 1 0 0 1 -2 0
163 RAC Saint-Mard 1 0 0 1 -2 0
164 Havré 1 0 0 1 -2 0
165 Fernelmont-Hemptinne 1 0 0 1 -2 0
166 Geluwe 1 0 0 1 -2 0
167 Zwaluwen Olmen 1 0 0 1 -3 0
168 Oreye Union 1 0 0 1 -3 0
169 Seraing Athlétique 1 0 0 1 -3 0
170 Sint-Niklaas 1 0 0 1 -3 0
171 Nismes 1 0 0 1 -3 0
172 KFC Zammel 1 0 0 1 -3 0
173 RAEC Mons II 1 0 0 1 -3 0
174 Herkol 1 0 0 1 -3 0
175 Weerstand Koersel 1 0 0 1 -3 0
176 Eendracht Zoersel 1 0 0 1 -3 0
177 Halvenweg Zonhoven 1 0 0 1 -3 0
178 Morlanwelz 1 0 0 1 -4 0
179 FC Vilvoorde 1 0 0 1 -4 0
180 AEDEC Hyon 1 0 0 1 -4 0
181 Jumet 1 0 0 1 -4 0
182 Mortsel 1 0 0 1 -4 0
183 Voorwaarts Gijzel 1 0 0 1 -4 0
184 Newcastle United U21 1 0 0 1 -5 0
185 Etterbeek 1 0 0 1 -5 0
186 Vaux-Noville 1 0 0 1 -5 0
187 Zeveren Sportief 1 0 0 1 -6 0
188 SSD Opoeteren 1 0 0 1 -6 0
189 Binkom 1 0 0 1 -7 0
190 Excelsior Mariakerke 1 0 0 1 -8 0
191 Eendracht Zele 1 0 0 1 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
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U1,5
–
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O2,5
–
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U2,5 ✓
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O3,5
–
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U3,5 ✓
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Both teams to score
BLS ja
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BLS nei ✓
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Recent matches

No matches played yet.

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The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.