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DBU Pokalen

Referee: J Karlsen

Middelfart

S S S

1–2

Full-time

Aalborg

S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Middelfart Aalborg

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

4,7

3,0

Scored

4,7

1,5

Conceded

0,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+4,7

+0,0

This season — DBU Pokalen · 3/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

4,7

4,0

Scored

4,7

3,0

Conceded

0,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+4,7

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Middelfart 3. · Aalborg 35. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sonderjyske	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Aarhus Fremad	3	3	0	0	+15	9
3	Middelfart	3	3	0	0	+14	9
4	Vejle	3	3	0	0	+10	9
5	Thisted FC	3	3	0	0	+6	9
6	Fremad Amager	3	3	0	0	+3	9
7	Hobro	3	2	1	0	+5	7
8	Nykobing FC	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Aarhus	2	2	0	0	+11	6
10	Hørsholm-Usserød	3	2	0	1	+8	6
11	Viborg	2	2	0	0	+8	6
12	Ishøj	3	2	0	1	+6	6
13	Nordsjaelland	2	2	0	0	+6	6
14	Vendsyssel FF	3	2	0	1	+5	6
15	Naestved	3	2	0	1	+5	6
16	Roskilde	3	2	0	1	+4	6
17	Vanløse	3	2	0	1	+4	6
18	FC Helsingor	3	2	0	1	+3	6
19	Horsens	2	2	0	0	+2	6
20	Jammerbugt	2	2	0	0	+2	6
21	BSF	3	2	0	1	+1	6
22	AB Copenhagen	3	2	0	1	+0	6
23	FA 2000	3	2	0	1	-1	6
24	HB Koge	3	1	1	1	+1	4
25	Kerteminde	2	1	1	0	+1	4
26	Brabrand	3	1	1	1	-2	4
27	Ringkøbing	2	1	0	1	+7	3
28	Fredericia	2	1	0	1	+7	3
29	Midtjylland	1	1	0	0	+6	3
30	Tårnby FF	2	1	0	1	+3	3
31	Silkeborg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
32	Brønshøj	2	1	0	1	+2	3
33	Skive	2	1	0	1	+2	3
34	Silkeborg KFUM	2	1	0	1	+2	3
35	Aalborg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
36	Randers FC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
37	Frem	2	1	0	1	+1	3
38	Karlslunde	2	1	0	1	+1	3
39	FC Nakskov	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Næsby	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	Kastrup	2	1	0	1	+0	3
42	Hedensted	2	1	0	1	+0	3
43	Kolding IF	2	1	0	1	+0	3
44	Allerød	2	1	0	1	-1	3
45	Culpa	2	1	0	1	-1	3
46	Frederikshavn	2	1	0	1	-2	3
47	Jyllinge	2	1	0	1	-2	3
48	SfB-Oure	2	1	0	1	-2	3
49	Marienlyst	2	1	0	1	-2	3
50	Tuse	2	1	0	1	-4	3
51	Viby	2	1	0	1	-5	3
52	Vatanspor	2	1	0	1	-6	3
53	Tarup-Paarup	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Odder	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Marstal / Rise	1	0	1	0	+0	1
56	FC Copenhagen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Odense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	Varde	2	0	1	1	-2	1
59	SGI	3	0	1	2	-7	1
60	Aabenraa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Klitmøller	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	NB Bornholm	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Mosede	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Hillerød	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	HIK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Dalum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	B 1909	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Munkebo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Hvidovre IF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	FB	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	B 93	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	KFUM Roskilde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	Såby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	Avarta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	KFUM	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	VSK Århus	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	Lyngby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	Herlev	1	0	0	1	-2	0
79	Vejgaard	1	0	0	1	-2	0
80	VRI	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	Lyseng	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Esbjerg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Maribo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Kjellerup	1	0	0	1	-3	0
85	Farsø/Ullits	1	0	0	1	-3	0
86	Ringsted	1	0	0	1	-3	0
87	Solrød	1	0	0	1	-3	0
88	ASA Aarhus	1	0	0	1	-3	0
89	BK Union	1	0	0	1	-3	0
90	OKS	1	0	0	1	-4	0
91	Nørresundby	1	0	0	1	-4	0
92	Tune	1	0	0	1	-4	0
93	B 1973 Herlev	1	0	0	1	-4	0
94	Skovshoved	1	0	0	1	-4	0
95	Brondby	1	0	0	1	-4	0
96	Dragør	1	0	0	1	-5	0
97	LUIF	1	0	0	1	-6	0
98	Give Fremad	1	0	0	1	-7	0
99	Broager	1	0	0	1	-8	0
100	Øster Hornum	1	0	0	1	-8	0
101	Slagelse B&I	2	0	0	2	-9	0
102	AIA-Tranbjerg	1	0	0	1	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hørsholm-Usserød	2	1	0	1	+4	3
2	Aarhus Fremad	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	FC Helsingor	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Thisted FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Tuse	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Fremad Amager	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Middelfart	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Næsby	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Hedensted	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Kolding IF	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Allerød	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Culpa	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Frederikshavn	2	1	0	1	-2	3
14	Jyllinge	2	1	0	1	-2	3
15	BSF	2	1	0	1	-4	3
16	Vatanspor	2	1	0	1	-6	3
17	Odder	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Hobro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Kerteminde	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Nykobing FC	2	0	1	1	-1	1
21	Varde	2	0	1	1	-2	1
22	SGI	3	0	1	2	-7	1
23	Ishøj	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Roskilde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Aabenraa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Klitmøller	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Ringkøbing	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Mosede	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Kastrup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Tårnby FF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	HIK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Silkeborg KFUM	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Frem	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	B 1909	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Munkebo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Hvidovre IF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	FB	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	B 93	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Vanløse	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Såby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Avarta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	KFUM	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	VSK Århus	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Herlev	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Vejgaard	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	VRI	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Vendsyssel FF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Kjellerup	1	0	0	1	-3	0
49	HB Koge	1	0	0	1	-3	0
50	Farsø/Ullits	1	0	0	1	-3	0
51	Brabrand	1	0	0	1	-3	0
52	Ringsted	1	0	0	1	-3	0
53	Naestved	1	0	0	1	-3	0
54	SfB-Oure	1	0	0	1	-3	0
55	Solrød	1	0	0	1	-3	0
56	Marienlyst	1	0	0	1	-3	0
57	AB Copenhagen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
58	OKS	1	0	0	1	-4	0
59	Nørresundby	1	0	0	1	-4	0
60	Brønshøj	1	0	0	1	-4	0
61	Tune	1	0	0	1	-4	0
62	B 1973 Herlev	1	0	0	1	-4	0
63	Skovshoved	1	0	0	1	-4	0
64	FC Nakskov	1	0	0	1	-4	0
65	Dragør	1	0	0	1	-5	0
66	FA 2000	1	0	0	1	-6	0
67	LUIF	1	0	0	1	-6	0
68	Viby	1	0	0	1	-7	0
69	Give Fremad	1	0	0	1	-7	0
70	Broager	1	0	0	1	-8	0
71	Øster Hornum	1	0	0	1	-8	0
72	Slagelse B&I	2	0	0	2	-9	0
73	AIA-Tranbjerg	1	0	0	1	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sonderjyske	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Vejle	3	3	0	0	+10	9
3	Middelfart	2	2	0	0	+13	6
4	Aarhus Fremad	2	2	0	0	+11	6
5	Aarhus	2	2	0	0	+11	6
6	Viborg	2	2	0	0	+8	6
7	Naestved	2	2	0	0	+8	6
8	Vendsyssel FF	2	2	0	0	+7	6
9	Ishøj	2	2	0	0	+7	6
10	Vanløse	2	2	0	0	+6	6
11	Nordsjaelland	2	2	0	0	+6	6
12	Thisted FC	2	2	0	0	+5	6
13	Roskilde	2	2	0	0	+5	6
14	FA 2000	2	2	0	0	+5	6
15	Hobro	2	2	0	0	+5	6
16	AB Copenhagen	2	2	0	0	+3	6
17	Fremad Amager	2	2	0	0	+2	6
18	Horsens	2	2	0	0	+2	6
19	Nykobing FC	2	2	0	0	+2	6
20	Jammerbugt	2	2	0	0	+2	6
21	HB Koge	2	1	1	0	+4	4
22	Brabrand	2	1	1	0	+1	4
23	Ringkøbing	1	1	0	0	+8	3
24	Fredericia	2	1	0	1	+7	3
25	Midtjylland	1	1	0	0	+6	3
26	Brønshøj	1	1	0	0	+6	3
27	BSF	1	1	0	0	+5	3
28	Tårnby FF	1	1	0	0	+4	3
29	FC Nakskov	1	1	0	0	+4	3
30	Hørsholm-Usserød	1	1	0	0	+4	3
31	Silkeborg KFUM	1	1	0	0	+3	3
32	Silkeborg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
33	Skive	2	1	0	1	+2	3
34	Aalborg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	Frem	1	1	0	0	+2	3
36	Viby	1	1	0	0	+2	3
37	Randers FC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
38	FC Helsingor	2	1	0	1	+1	3
39	Karlslunde	2	1	0	1	+1	3
40	SfB-Oure	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Kastrup	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Marienlyst	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Kerteminde	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Tarup-Paarup	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Marstal / Rise	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	FC Copenhagen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Odense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	NB Bornholm	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Hillerød	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Dalum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	KFUM Roskilde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Lyngby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Lyseng	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Esbjerg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Maribo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	ASA Aarhus	1	0	0	1	-3	0
57	BK Union	1	0	0	1	-3	0
58	Brondby	1	0	0	1	-4	0
59	Tuse	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.