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Super League
Referee: F San
Luzern
T U S S U
0–2
Full-time
Basel
S U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern Basel
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
This season — Super League · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 33%
36%
29%
Points per game
1,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
50%
43%
Both score Ø 61%
64%
57%
Average goals
3,1
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,4
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%
17 Shots 15
7 Shots on target 10
4 Blocked shots 1
7 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 3
5 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Luzern 4. · Basel 7. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 15 9 5 1 +23 32
2 Servette 15 6 7 2 +4 25
3 St. Gallen 15 6 3 6 +4 21
4 Luzern 14 5 5 4 +5 20
5 Sion 15 5 5 5 -1 20
6 Lugano 15 6 2 7 -2 20
7 Basel 14 4 6 4 +3 18
8 Grasshoppers 15 4 5 6 -3 17
9 Winterthur 15 4 4 7 -16 16
10 Zurich 15 1 6 8 -17 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

24. Apr -22 Basel – Luzern 3–0 30. Jan -22 Luzern – Basel 0–3 28. Nov -21 Luzern – Basel 1–3 3. Oct -21 Basel – Luzern 1–1 10. Apr -21 Luzern – Basel 3–4

Match report

Luzern Basel
3′
ℹ️ Andi Zeqiri
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Denis Simani 🟨
4′
6′
⚽ D. Males 0–1
Half-time 0–1
Asumah Abubakar 🟨
47′
L. Emini 🔁
↦ C. Gentner
61′
61′
🔁 K. Sène
↦ D. Males
P. Schürpf 🔁
↦ Asumah Abubakar
71′
J. Ardaiz 🔁
↦ T. Klidjé
72′
72′
🔁 F. Frei
↦ T. Xhaka
72′
🔁 B. Fink
↦ A. Zeqiri
N. Toggenburger 🔁
↦ A. Jashari
81′
Pius Dorn 🟨
83′
84′
🟨 Kasim Adams
87′
⚽ B. Fink 0–2
K. Sène
88′
🟨 Riccardo Calafiori
94′
🔁 L. Millar
↦ D. Ndoye
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Luzern

4-2-3-1
1 M. Müller G
2 M. Dräger D
5 D. Simani D
46 M. Burch D
20 P. Dorn D
18 N. Beloko M
6 A. Jashari M
17 T. Klidjé M
4 C. Gentner M
7 M. Meyer M
21 Asumah Abubakar F
Bench (9)
31 L. Emini
11 P. Schürpf
19 J. Ardaiz
22 N. Toggenburger
10 S. Campo
71 L. Jaquez
90 V. Vasić
30 I. Beka
41 N. Rupp

Coach: M. Frick

Basel

4-1-4-1
1 M. Hitz G
34 T. Xhaka D
4 Arnau Comas D
15 K. Nuhu D
33 R. Calafiori D
21 A. Pelmard M
19 D. Males M
8 A. Diouf M
23 W. Burger M
27 D. Ndoye M
17 A. Zeqiri F
Bench (9)
26 K. Sène
20 F. Frei
14 B. Fink
7 L. Millar
13 M. Salvi
9 Z. Amdouni
3 N. Katterbach
10 J. Augustin
30 A. Kade

Coach: A. Frei

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B ✓
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F San · 140 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.