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DBU Pokalen
Referee: J Burchardt
HIK
T S S
0–3
Full-time
Brondby
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

HIK Brondby
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fredericia 3 3 0 0 +16 9
2 Ishøj 3 3 0 0 +9 9
3 FC Helsingor 3 3 0 0 +8 9
4 AB Copenhagen 3 3 0 0 +3 9
5 Kolding IF 2 2 0 0 +22 6
6 B 93 2 2 0 0 +21 6
7 Aalborg 3 2 0 1 +13 6
8 FA 2000 3 2 0 1 +11 6
9 Aarhus Fremad 3 2 0 1 +11 6
10 Esbjerg 2 2 0 0 +8 6
11 Vejle 2 2 0 0 +8 6
12 Naestved 2 2 0 0 +8 6
13 Viby 2 2 0 0 +5 6
14 Hobro 2 2 0 0 +5 6
15 Lyseng 2 2 0 0 +4 6
16 Lyngby 2 2 0 0 +4 6
17 Thisted FC 2 2 0 0 +3 6
18 Nykobing FC 2 2 0 0 +3 6
19 HB Koge 3 2 0 1 +2 6
20 Vanløse 3 2 0 1 +2 6
21 HIK 2 2 0 0 +2 6
22 tst Fodbold 3 1 1 1 -6 4
23 Midtjylland 1 1 0 0 +13 3
24 Hvidovre IF 1 1 0 0 +8 3
25 Hillerød 2 1 0 1 +5 3
26 Odense 1 1 0 0 +5 3
27 Middelfart 2 1 0 1 +4 3
28 Næsby 2 1 0 1 +3 3
29 Kolding B 2 1 0 1 +2 3
30 SfB-Oure 2 1 0 1 +1 3
31 Skjold Sæby 2 1 0 1 +1 3
32 Ringsted 2 1 0 1 +1 3
33 Gørslev 2 1 0 1 +1 3
34 Silkeborg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 VSK Århus 2 1 0 1 +0 3
36 Sonderjyske 2 1 0 1 +0 3
37 Silkeborg KFUM 2 1 0 1 +0 3
38 B 1908 2 1 0 1 +0 3
39 AB Tårnby 2 1 0 1 +0 3
40 VRI 2 1 0 1 -1 3
41 Tune 2 1 0 1 -1 3
42 Skjold Birkerød 2 1 0 1 -1 3
43 Skive 2 1 0 1 -1 3
44 Brønshøj 2 1 0 1 -2 3
45 Ringkøbing 2 1 0 1 -3 3
46 Taastrup 2 1 0 1 -4 3
47 Dalum 2 1 0 1 -5 3
48 Bagsværd 2 1 0 1 -5 3
49 Søften 2 1 0 1 -6 3
50 Aabenraa 2 1 0 1 -12 3
51 B 1909 1 0 1 0 +0 1
52 Vejgaard B 1 0 1 0 +0 1
53 Fjordager 2 0 1 1 -8 1
54 Brabrand 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Glostrup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 Amager FF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 Gug 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 Horsens 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Fremad Amager 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Vendsyssel FF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 Greve 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 LSF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 Tåsinge 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Nibe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 Odder 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Frem 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Kjellerup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Roskilde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 ASA Aarhus 1 0 0 1 -2 0
70 Otterup 1 0 0 1 -2 0
71 OKS 1 0 0 1 -2 0
72 NB Bornholm 1 0 0 1 -2 0
73 Tårnby FF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
74 Jetsmark 1 0 0 1 -2 0
75 Allerød 1 0 0 1 -2 0
76 B 1960 1 0 0 1 -2 0
77 Køge Union 1 0 0 1 -2 0
78 Holstebro 1 0 0 1 -3 0
79 KFUM Roskilde 1 0 0 1 -3 0
80 Bispebjerg 1 0 0 1 -3 0
81 Aarhus 1900 1 0 0 1 -3 0
82 Morud/Veflinge 1 0 0 1 -4 0
83 Dragør 1 0 0 1 -4 0
84 Frem Sakskøbing 1 0 0 1 -4 0
85 Varde 1 0 0 1 -4 0
86 Frederiksholm Sydhavnen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
87 Nørresundby 1 0 0 1 -5 0
88 Højslev IF 1 0 0 1 -5 0
89 KFUM Odense 1 0 0 1 -6 0
90 Vallensbæk 1 0 0 1 -6 0
91 BSF 1 0 0 1 -7 0
92 FC Nakskov 1 0 0 1 -7 0
93 KRFK 1 0 0 1 -7 0
94 Egen 1 0 0 1 -8 0
95 Bredballe 1 0 0 1 -8 0
96 LUIF 1 0 0 1 -16 0
97 Avrasya 1 0 0 1 -18 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

HIK Brondby
19′
⚽ Y. Suzuki 0–1
21′
⚽ O. Schwartau 0–2
Half-time 1–2
63′
⚽ E. Ogura 1–2
own goal
Abdul Arshad 🔁
↦ F. Andersen
64′
H. Bedzeti 🔁
↦ W. Maretti
64′
68′
🔁 M. Kowalczyk
↦ N. Vallys
68′
🔁 M. Kvistgaarden
↦ O. Schwartau
68′
🔁 C. Bischoff
↦ M. Divković
77′
🔁 D. Wass
↦ J. Radošević
77′
🔁 E. Yeboah
↦ Y. Suzuki
C. Henriksen 🔁
↦ M. Veltz
78′
B. Sahin 🔁
↦ M. Rasmussen
78′
F. Perlman 🔁
↦ A. Garly
83′
F. Valdbjorn 🟨
94′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

HIK

16 E. Ogura
2 D. Thorup
3 L. Lykkegaard
5 O. Møller
77 W. Maretti
8 F. Andersen
10 A. Garly
6 E. Thomsen
23 F. Valbjørn
11 M. Rasmussen
9 M. Veltz
Bench (8)
7 Abdul Arshad
4 H. Bedzeti
20 C. Henriksen
14 B. Sahin
18 F. Perlman
19 L. Christensen
27 O. Thorup
26 M. Larsen

Coach: D. Simacon

Brondby

16 T. Mikkelsen
14 K. Mensah
4 J. Rasmussen
5 R. Lauritsen
18 K. Tshiembe
22 J. Radošević
11 H. Evjen
7 N. Vallys
28 Y. Suzuki
24 M. Divković
41 O. Schwartau
Bench (9)
20 M. Kowalczyk
36 M. Kvistgaarden
37 C. Bischoff
10 D. Wass
99 E. Yeboah
31 S. Klaiber
32 F. Alves
1 P. Pentz
35 N. Nartey

Coach: J. Sørensen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

J Burchardt · 36 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.