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Superligaen

Referee: J Burchardt

Midtjylland

T T T S S

0–1

Full-time

Brondby

U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Midtjylland Brondby

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,3

4,2

Scored

1,8

2,5

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 63%

75%

50%

Points per game

2,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 63%

50%

75%

Average goals

2,8

3,3

Scored

1,5

1,8

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,74 xG 1,69

47% Possession 53%

8 Shots 10

1 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 2

2 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Midtjylland 3. · Brondby 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	5	5	0	0	+9	+4.1	15
2	Nordsjaelland	5	4	0	1	+10	+0.1	12
3	Midtjylland	4	3	0	1	+1	+2.6	9
4	Aarhus	4	2	1	1	+1	+2.2	7
5	Lyngby	5	2	1	2	+0	-0.2	7
6	Silkeborg	5	2	1	2	+0	+4.5	7
7	Brondby	4	2	0	2	+1	-0.7	6
8	Viborg	4	1	2	1	-2	+1.4	5
9	Odense	4	1	1	2	-1	-1.4	4
10	Hvidovre IF	5	0	2	3	-5	-3.9	2
11	Randers FC	5	0	2	3	-10	-1.3	2
12	Vejle	4	0	0	4	-4	-7.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Nordsjaelland	2	2	0	0	+5	+0.9	6
2	FC Copenhagen	2	2	0	0	+5	+2.8	6
3	Lyngby	3	2	0	1	+3	+0.9	6
4	Midtjylland	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.2	6
5	Silkeborg	3	2	0	1	+2	+5.2	6
6	Aarhus	3	1	1	1	-1	+2.2	4
7	Brondby	2	1	0	1	+2	+1.7	3
8	Viborg	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.4	2
9	Odense	2	0	1	1	-1	–	1
10	Randers FC	2	0	1	1	-5	+1.6	1
11	Vejle	2	0	0	2	-2	-2.7	0
12	Hvidovre IF	2	0	0	2	-4	–	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	3	3	0	0	+4	+1.4	9
2	Nordsjaelland	3	2	0	1	+5	-0.8	6
3	Aarhus	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
4	Odense	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.4	3
5	Brondby	2	1	0	1	-1	-2.4	3
6	Viborg	2	1	0	1	-2	–	3
7	Midtjylland	2	1	0	1	-2	+1.4	3
8	Hvidovre IF	3	0	2	1	-1	-3.9	2
9	Silkeborg	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.7	1
10	Lyngby	2	0	1	1	-3	-1.2	1
11	Randers FC	3	0	1	2	-5	-2.9	1
12	Vejle	2	0	0	2	-2	-4.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.