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Superligaen

Referee: M Krogh

Brondby

S S S S S

2–3

Full-time

FC Copenhagen

T U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brondby FC Copenhagen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 75%

75%

Points per game

2,3

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

75%

Both score Ø 57%

50%

63%

Average goals

2,8

3,4

Scored

1,9

2,3

Conceded

0,9

1,1

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+1,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,47 xG 1,49

52% Possession 48%

13 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 8

5 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 8

1 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brondby 2. · FC Copenhagen 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	8	6	1	1	+9	+4.1	19
2	Brondby	8	6	0	2	+8	+1.8	18
3	Nordsjaelland	8	5	2	1	+13	+3.0	17
4	Silkeborg	8	5	1	2	+6	+4.9	16
5	Lyngby	9	3	3	3	+0	-1.2	12
6	Aarhus	8	3	3	2	-1	+3.4	12
7	Midtjylland	8	3	2	3	-3	+0.1	11
8	Viborg	8	2	3	3	-4	+2.6	9
9	Odense	8	2	2	4	-1	-2.0	8
10	Randers FC	8	2	2	4	-10	-2.2	8
11	Vejle	9	1	1	7	-6	-9.1	4
12	Hvidovre IF	8	0	2	6	-11	-5.6	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Nordsjaelland	4	3	1	0	+8	+1.9	10
2	FC Copenhagen	4	3	0	1	+5	+2.8	9
3	Silkeborg	4	3	0	1	+3	+5.2	9
4	Lyngby	5	2	2	1	+3	-0.9	8
5	Midtjylland	4	2	1	1	+2	+0.3	7
6	Aarhus	5	2	1	2	-3	+2.2	7
7	Brondby	3	2	0	1	+4	+2.2	6
8	Viborg	4	1	3	0	+1	+2.6	6
9	Randers FC	3	1	1	1	-4	+1.6	4
10	Odense	5	0	2	3	-5	-1.3	2
11	Vejle	4	0	0	4	-4	-3.4	0
12	Hvidovre IF	4	0	0	4	-9	-1.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brondby	5	4	0	1	+4	-0.4	12
2	FC Copenhagen	4	3	1	0	+4	+1.4	10
3	Nordsjaelland	4	2	1	1	+5	+1.1	7
4	Silkeborg	4	2	1	1	+3	-0.2	7
5	Odense	3	2	0	1	+4	-0.7	6
6	Aarhus	3	1	2	0	+2	+1.3	5
7	Vejle	5	1	1	3	-2	-5.8	4
8	Lyngby	4	1	1	2	-3	-0.2	4
9	Midtjylland	4	1	1	2	-5	-0.1	4
10	Randers FC	5	1	1	3	-6	-3.8	4
11	Viborg	4	1	0	3	-5	–	3
12	Hvidovre IF	4	0	2	2	-2	-3.9	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.