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Svenska Cupen
4–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brommapojkarna Falkenbergs FF
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,5
4,0
Scored
1,0
3,3
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+2,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Svenska Cupen · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
2,5
2,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+2,5
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Brommapojkarna 12. · Falkenbergs FF 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norrkoping 3 3 0 0 +7 9
2 Mjallby 3 3 0 0 +6 9
3 Elfsborg 3 3 0 0 +6 9
4 Goteborg 3 2 1 0 +8 7
5 Oster 3 2 1 0 +7 7
6 Degerfors 3 2 1 0 +4 7
7 Sirius 2 2 0 0 +11 6
8 Hacken 2 2 0 0 +9 6
9 AIK 3 2 0 1 +8 6
10 GAIS 2 2 0 0 +5 6
11 Hammarby 2 2 0 0 +5 6
12 Brommapojkarna 2 2 0 0 +5 6
13 IF Karlstad 3 2 0 1 +4 6
14 Halmstad 2 2 0 0 +4 6
15 Falkenbergs FF 2 2 0 0 +4 6
16 Vasteras SK 2 2 0 0 +3 6
17 Malmo FF 2 2 0 0 +2 6
18 IFK Skövde 3 2 0 1 +1 6
19 Varnamo 2 1 1 0 +2 4
20 Orebro SK 2 1 1 0 +2 4
21 Täby 2 1 1 0 +1 4
22 Orgryte 3 1 1 1 -2 4
23 Karlberg 2 1 0 1 +4 3
24 Kalmar 2 1 0 1 +3 3
25 Oddevold 3 1 0 2 +2 3
26 Lund 2 1 0 1 +2 3
27 Kubikenborg 2 1 0 1 +2 3
28 Olympic 2 1 0 1 +2 3
29 Järfälla 2 1 0 1 +1 3
30 Onsala 2 1 0 1 +1 3
31 Enköping 2 1 0 1 +1 3
32 Djurgarden 2 1 0 1 +1 3
33 Eskilsminne 2 1 0 1 +1 3
34 Assyriska FF 2 1 0 1 +1 3
35 Zenith 2 1 0 1 +0 3
36 Haninge 2 1 0 1 +0 3
37 Sölvesborg 2 1 0 1 +0 3
38 Öckerö 2 1 0 1 +0 3
39 Varberg 2 1 0 1 +0 3
40 Ostersunds FK 3 0 3 0 +0 3
41 Lödde 2 1 0 1 -1 3
42 Piteå 2 1 0 1 -1 3
43 Syrianska FC 2 1 0 1 -1 3
44 Myresjö / Vetlanda 2 1 0 1 -1 3
45 Stockholm Internazionale 2 1 0 1 -1 3
46 Torstorps 2 1 0 1 -1 3
47 Sandviken 2 1 0 1 -1 3
48 Viggbyholms IK 2 1 0 1 -2 3
49 Korsnäs 2 1 0 1 -2 3
50 Landskrona 3 1 0 2 -3 3
51 Räppe 2 1 0 1 -3 3
52 Sylvia 2 1 0 1 -3 3
53 Qviding FIF 2 1 0 1 -3 3
54 Helsingborg 2 1 0 1 -3 3
55 IK brage 3 1 0 2 -4 3
56 Nässjö 2 1 0 1 -5 3
57 Sundsvall 3 1 0 2 -5 3
58 FBK Karlstad 2 1 0 1 -5 3
59 Trelleborg 3 1 0 2 -6 3
60 Friska Viljor 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Högaborg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Torslanda 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Vänersborgs FK 2 0 1 1 -1 1
64 Centern 2 0 1 1 -2 1
65 Hudiksvall 2 0 1 1 -7 1
66 Rosengård 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Gauthiod 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Utsikten 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Gute 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Gimo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Ursvik 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Arlanda 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Umeå FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Hjulsbro 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Farsta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Stenungsund 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Gefle IF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Kristianstad 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Karlslund 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Lindome 1 0 0 1 -2 0
81 Vasalund 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 Berga 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Laholm 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 Trollhättan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 Arameiska / Syrianska 1 0 0 1 -2 0
86 Sollentuna 1 0 0 1 -2 0
87 Västboås 1 0 0 1 -2 0
88 Dvärsätt 1 0 0 1 -3 0
89 Balkan 1 0 0 1 -3 0
90 Jönköping Torpa 1 0 0 1 -3 0
91 Eslov 1 0 0 1 -3 0
92 IFK Tidaholm 1 0 0 1 -3 0
93 Franke 1 0 0 1 -4 0
94 Skellefteå 1 0 0 1 -4 0
95 Viken 1 0 0 1 -4 0
96 Stocksund 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brommapojkarna Falkenbergs FF
6′
N. Bertilsson 0–1
1–1 O. Berg
14′
M. Hansen 🟨
35′
36′
🟨 E. Mohammad
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 W. Ljunggren
↦ N. Bertilsson
R. Orqvist 🔁
↦ S. Oppong
59′
K. Barslund 🔁
↦ C. Nilden
59′
66′
🔁 O. Lindberg
↦ L. Beqiri
66′
🔁 H. Komano
↦ W. Videhult
D. Isso 🔁
↦ K. Sever
74′
2–1 A. Troelsen
75′
3–1 D. Isso
77′
78′
🔁 H. Kallstrom
↦ E. Mohammad
86′
🔁 A. Miftari
↦ N. Hansson
90′
🟨 G. Aguda
4–1 M. Hansen
90′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Brommapojkarna

25 D. Blazevic
21 A. Timossi
23 J. Simpson
3 A. Troelsen
16 S. Strand
12 C. Nilden
24 K. Ackermann
9 M. Hansen
10 O. Berg
33 S. Oppong
14 K. Sever
Bench (9)
40 J. Lacayo
4 O. Cotton
11 R. Orqvist
17 A. Kurochkin
19 O. Jarde
26 B. Apiiga
27 K. Barslund
30 L. Bjorklund
34 D. Isso

Coach: Ulf Kristiansson

Falkenbergs FF

31 G. Lillienberg
18 L. Beqiri
5 N. Hansson
23 A. Salo
8 N. Bertilsson
6 L. Borgstrom
30 G. Aguda
28 M. Nilsson
10 E. Mohammad
21 A. Andersson
14 W. Videhult
Bench (9)
2 G. Johansson
3 N. Lundgren
4 T. Stalheden
11 H. Kallstrom
15 W. Ljunggren
17 A. Miftari
19 O. Lindberg
22 L. Sangare
24 H. Komano

Coach: Christoffer Andersson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.