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La Liga
Referee: R De Burgos
Betis
S T S S U
2–2
Full-time
Sevilla
S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Betis Sevilla
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 38%
44%
32%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
48%
60%
Both score Ø 62%
64%
60%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,6
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,58 xG 0,94
45% Possession 55%
9 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 3
0 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Betis 5. · Sevilla 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Barcelona 26 21 1 4 +45 +34.1 64
2 Real Madrid 25 19 3 3 +33 +29.3 60
3 Ath Madrid 26 15 6 5 +20 +11.5 51
4 Villarreal 26 16 3 7 +17 +6.4 51
5 Betis 25 11 9 5 +10 +8.4 42
6 Celta 25 9 10 6 +7 +5.4 37
7 Espanol 26 10 6 10 -6 -1.9 36
8 Sociedad 26 9 8 9 +0 -0.5 35
9 Ath Bilbao 26 10 5 11 -6 +8.9 35
10 Osasuna 26 9 6 11 +0 -5.7 33
11 Girona 25 7 9 9 -14 -9.8 30
12 Sevilla 25 8 5 12 -7 -14.0 29
13 Getafe 25 8 5 12 -9 -6.3 29
14 Valencia 26 7 8 11 -12 -0.8 29
15 Vallecano 25 6 9 10 -9 +0.9 27
16 Alaves 26 7 6 13 -11 -3.2 27
17 Elche 26 5 11 10 -5 -17.1 26
18 Mallorca 26 6 6 14 -13 -16.3 24
19 Levante 26 5 6 15 -16 -11.8 21
20 Oviedo 25 3 8 14 -24 -17.6 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Betis Sevilla
11′
🟨 Gabriel Suazo
1–0 Antony
16′
Antony 🟨
24′
2–0 A. Fidalgo
A. Ezzalzouli
37′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 C. Ejuke
↦ J. A. Carmona
46′
🔁 Oso
↦ G. Suazo
62′
A. Sanchez 2–1
Oso
S. Altimira 🔁
↦ A. Fidalgo
70′
C. Bakambu 🔁
↦ Cucho Hernandez
70′
70′
🔁 I. Romero
↦ A. Sanchez
74′
🔁 A. Januzaj
↦ C. Azpilicueta
Diego Llorente 🟨
75′
Natan 🟨
82′
85′
🟨 Isaac Romero
85′
I. Romero 2–2
D. Sow
90′
🟨 Juanlu Sánchez
90′
🔁 B. Mendy
↦ D. Sow
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Betis

4-3-3
1 A. Valles G
24 A. Ruibal D
3 D. Llorente D
4 Natan D
12 R. Rodriguez D
8 P. Fornals M
21 M. Roca M
15 A. Fidalgo M
7 Antony F
19 Cucho Hernandez F
10 A. Ezzalzouli F
Bench (12)
13 Adrian
25 P. Lopez
2 H. Bellerin
5 M. Bartra
23 J. Firpo
40 A. Ortiz
6 S. Altimira
18 N. Deossa
9 C. Avila
11 C. Bakambu
17 R. Riquelme
52 P. Garcia

Coach: Manuel Pellegrini

Sevilla

3-4-2-1
1 O. Vlachodimos G
3 C. Azpilicueta D
6 N. Gudelj D
4 K. Salas D
2 J. A. Carmona M
18 L. Agoume M
20 D. Sow M
12 G. Suazo M
16 J. Sanchez F
10 A. Sanchez F
9 A. Adams F
Bench (12)
13 O. Nyland
7 I. Romero
14 Peque
19 B. Mendy
21 C. Ejuke
22 F. Gattoni
24 A. Januzaj
28 M. Bueno
29 M. Sierra
32 Castrin
36 Oso
15 F. Cardoso

Coach: Luis Garcia Plaza

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,77
U ✓
3,63
B
4,42
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,93
U2,5
1,81
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R De Burgos · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.